TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
TheMongolzof TheMongolz, PARIVISION
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$693,762
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$812,618

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $693,762 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 526 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0dcf…c556backed TheMongolz57c79,706$45,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,078.7323839.9%95 W · 143 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed PARIVISION43c40,000$17,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,199.9972453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47a8…52f9backed TheMongolz56c35,427$19,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,58810142.6%43 W · 58 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked PARIVISION42c30,000$12,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,699.8275452.7%397 W · 357 L+27.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked TheMongolz58c21,660$12,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,173.0564852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked TheMongolz58c21,600$12,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,103.75,02855%2,763 W · 2,265 L+112.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cd1…285dbacked PARIVISION43c20,000$8,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,6309248.9%45 W · 47 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7df…5eeebacked PARIVISION43c19,452$8,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,269.8216245.1%73 W · 89 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked TheMongolz58c17,478$10,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,318.1836453.8%196 W · 168 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5faf…1183backed PARIVISION12c16,000$1,928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,928.410935.8%39 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed TheMongolz58c15,000$8,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,30050054.4%272 W · 228 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed PARIVISION42c15,000$6,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,299.9641649.8%207 W · 209 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf054…eae7backed PARIVISION20c14,494$2,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9696737.3%25 W · 42 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked PARIVISION33c13,644$4,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,557.481,62144.8%726 W · 895 L+3.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed PARIVISION42c12,500$5,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,249.98250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked PARIVISION44c11,364$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00016344.2%72 W · 91 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb370…1e7fbacked PARIVISION0c11,000$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-40.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa69d…509bbacked TheMongolz57c10,000$5,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,30019757.4%113 W · 84 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked TheMongolz57c10,000$5,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,30038358.7%225 W · 158 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed PARIVISION43c9,000$3,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,869.9667041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed PARIVISION18c8,884$1,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,591.016147.5%29 W · 32 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6902…b4cabacked TheMongolz57c8,772$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,771.9325751.8%133 W · 124 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x482d…ba5ebacked PARIVISION43c8,405$3,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,614.237441.9%31 W · 43 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6978…9897backed TheMongolz58c7,709$4,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,237.6612449.2%61 W · 63 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xed44…4f76backed PARIVISION26c7,588$1,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,991.5451842.3%219 W · 299 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-24.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked TheMongolz76c7,247$5,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,754.463,25650.3%1,637 W · 1,619 L+97.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked PARIVISION43c7,000$3,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,009.9428538.2%109 W · 176 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked PARIVISION33c6,888$2,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,292.9435940.4%145 W · 214 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed PARIVISION30c6,787$2,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,036.046,46642.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L-78.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked PARIVISION27c6,716$1,802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,801.972,20547.6%1,049 W · 1,156 L-4.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed PARIVISION43c6,000$2,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,58071645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked TheMongolz57c6,000$3,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5806555.4%36 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked TheMongolz78c5,827$4,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,256.187447.3%35 W · 39 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5540…fbf4backed TheMongolz69c5,802$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,801.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfaf…d959backed PARIVISION44c5,594$2,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,461.223435.3%12 W · 22 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9919…f261backed PARIVISION41c5,053$2,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,06941847.1%197 W · 221 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe111…685abacked PARIVISION43c5,000$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,15017540%70 W · 105 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked PARIVISION43c4,308$1,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,870.3127552%143 W · 132 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed PARIVISION25c3,977$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.761,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8688…9d8cbacked PARIVISION44c3,826$1,684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,683.537948.1%38 W · 41 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2831…5473backed TheMongolz80c3,693$2,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.5510969.7%76 W · 33 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed TheMongolz57c3,509$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,508.7733359.8%199 W · 134 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7353…b476backed PARIVISION20c3,504$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7009246.7%43 W · 49 L-0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb9b…6df8backed PARIVISION43c3,500$1,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50555845.7%255 W · 303 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb93b…4208backed PARIVISION38c3,289$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,250.0924339.5%96 W · 147 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2200…2640backed PARIVISION42c3,211$1,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,348.83520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-67.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdff0…f573backed PARIVISION38c3,053$1,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,14634146.6%159 W · 182 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed PARIVISION43c3,000$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,29017045.9%78 W · 92 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed TheMongolz57c3,000$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,29026952.8%142 W · 127 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c63…3cbbbacked TheMongolz61c2,945$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,145.2446165.5%302 W · 159 L+0.4wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x594d…059dbacked TheMongolz56c2,751$1,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,218.092152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed PARIVISION17c2,629$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.454,22049.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L+61.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked PARIVISION28c2,625$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.091,15448.3%557 W · 597 L+4.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed PARIVISION43c2,542$1,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,092.978639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4dd…4f27backed PARIVISION42c2,500$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05050846.9%238 W · 270 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe52c…01f4backed PARIVISION43c2,500$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,074.994542.2%19 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed PARIVISION43c2,461$1,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,058.3260248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d40…ec52backed TheMongolz68c2,400$1,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77838954.5%212 W · 177 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked PARIVISION17c2,379$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.7169624%167 W · 529 L+2.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed TheMongolz65c2,374$1,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841.515947.8%76 W · 83 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc6e…fa6fbacked TheMongolz57c2,273$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$972.5816248.1%78 W · 84 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed PARIVISION38c2,204$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.811434.2%39 W · 75 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x930e…38cfbacked PARIVISION17c2,174$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.8521522.3%48 W · 167 L-0.3wins0.00per pick22cpaid-45.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed PARIVISION25c2,032$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.5487047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b9c…a518backed PARIVISION42c2,009$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.7416544.8%74 W · 91 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed TheMongolz58c2,000$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84040558.8%238 W · 167 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed PARIVISION41c1,948$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80048350.9%246 W · 237 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a74…6cd2backed TheMongolz59c1,724$1,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.5924262%150 W · 92 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51c7…98aabacked TheMongolz58c1,716$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.5225261.5%155 W · 97 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed PARIVISION43c1,650$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.51,40833.7%475 W · 933 L+43.0wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x48b8…4b69backed PARIVISION43c1,526$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.2220249%99 W · 103 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed PARIVISION42c1,500$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63024935.7%89 W · 160 L-14.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf917…bde0backed TheMongolz57c1,500$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.9912253.3%65 W · 57 L-0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77ac…1bf6backed TheMongolz75c1,410$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.9827961.3%171 W · 108 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x79dc…b1a9backed PARIVISION18c1,368$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2441010%1 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick30cpaid-81.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked PARIVISION37c1,350$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.751,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked PARIVISION30c1,318$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.761,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c6…d14dbacked TheMongolz57c1,299$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.5811952.1%62 W · 57 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed PARIVISION43c1,273$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.4815740.8%64 W · 93 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed PARIVISION42c1,250$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5305,81037.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L+78.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked PARIVISION23c1,239$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.7497952.4%513 W · 466 L+26.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed TheMongolz57c1,234$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.511,99853.7%1,073 W · 925 L+5.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12ff…0852backed PARIVISION17c1,200$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20420445.6%93 W · 111 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed PARIVISION43c1,190$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.722750.2%114 W · 113 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c67…e40ebacked PARIVISION25c1,157$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.819642.9%84 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed PARIVISION10c1,132$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.561,60646.8%752 W · 854 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52e3…3337backed TheMongolz57c1,120$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.699551.6%49 W · 46 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked TheMongolz62c1,100$681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.621,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9345…0afbbacked TheMongolz57c1,067$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.9315363.4%97 W · 56 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c5e…269bbacked TheMongolz57c1,050$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.4942050%210 W · 210 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2662…3f84backed TheMongolz62c1,040$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.8120958.9%123 W · 86 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked PARIVISION36c1,037$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.672,59947.8%1,242 W · 1,357 L-30.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe471…34c0backed TheMongolz57c1,037$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.982254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc617…25e8backed TheMongolz58c1,007$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.015655.4%31 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked TheMongolz57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43076748%368 W · 399 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6ab…b16ebacked PARIVISION43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4302347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9958…36b9backed PARIVISION35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3503327.3%9 W · 24 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-36.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xadd4…15c2backed PARIVISION42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4203036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-31.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed PARIVISION42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4208748.3%42 W · 45 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed PARIVISION42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4201,08050.9%550 W · 530 L+38.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.