CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4dca485e68560d6186333c6c5f89532031a6c7d2f252677a3376f77f602674b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TheMongolzof TheMongolz, PARIVISION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,364
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,405
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,364 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked PARIVISION | 42c | 2,708$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.01 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked TheMongolz | 62c | 2,426$1,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.76 | 766 | 57.8%443 W · 323 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed TheMongolz | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.91 | 352 | 36.4%128 W · 224 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked PARIVISION | 67c | 1,600$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072 | 1,167 | 48.2%562 W · 605 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…73fdbacked PARIVISION | 40c | 1,207$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.03 | 258 | 55%142 W · 116 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd163…1428backed TheMongolz | 63c | 1,020$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.4 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked TheMongolz | 41c | 579.99$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 492 | 45.9%226 W · 266 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…afb0backed TheMongolz | 33c | 392.11$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.71 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked PARIVISION | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 661 | 62.6%414 W · 247 L | +29.2wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9f…31e3backed PARIVISION | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52c5…5878backed PARIVISION | 67c | 217$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.39 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed PARIVISION | 70c | 130.18$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.13 | 267 | 43.1%115 W · 152 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed PARIVISION | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd468…f6febacked TheMongolz | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 461 | 42.7%197 W · 264 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec33…fad3backed PARIVISION | 38c | 85.13$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x461f…8719backed PARIVISION | 67c | 82.09$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 125 | 44.8%56 W · 69 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1def…2e16backed TheMongolz | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf04…ad65backed TheMongolz | 34c | 71.59$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.25 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0354…2913backed TheMongolz | 30c | 65.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.17 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked TheMongolz | 34c | 60$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed TheMongolz | 34c | 55.88$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.88 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…f793backed TheMongolz | 50c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed PARIVISION | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…29ebbacked PARIVISION | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed TheMongolz | 30c | 37.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.17 | 405 | 58.8%238 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520e…9ed1backed TheMongolz | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f43…d8a0backed PARIVISION | 62c | 30.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ca…61e4backed PARIVISION | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked PARIVISION | 67c | 26.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 470 | 47.9%225 W · 245 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked PARIVISION | 39c | 25.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 1,659 | 32.7%542 W · 1,117 L | -49.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…1068backed TheMongolz | 62c | 23.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 325 | 61.5%200 W · 125 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed PARIVISION | 67c | 19.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 231 | 58.4%135 W · 96 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed TheMongolz | 61c | 16.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 1,377 | 66.4%914 W · 463 L | +77.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group BTheMongolz won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION - Map 1 WinnerTheMongolz won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION - Map 2 WinnerTheMongolz won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.