CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26999979c4b19d439af0b7da6335ff2b4e846e2efdcc8f669b097c10da26057d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,578
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,253
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,578 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Over | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.98 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 37c | 7,835$2,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,936.65 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…0b1bbacked Under | 49c | 2,565$1,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,308.27 | 11 | 100%11 W · 0 L | +5.1wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +97.2%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Under | 49c | 2,512$1,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,281.24 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked Under | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.9 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 44c | 1,900$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.61 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5020…36fcbacked Over | 49c | 1,616$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.44 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Under | 49c | 1,587$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.34 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc700…31a1backed Under | 49c | 1,428$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.05 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 51c | 1,222$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.25 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 39c | 1,193$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.07 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 41c | 1,182$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.07 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 50c | 1,111$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.5 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed Over | 49c | 999.97$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.99 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Over | 36c | 828.21$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.74 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc93b…93c6backed Over | 72c | 516$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc299…b630backed Under | 75c | 509.82$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.81 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…bedfbacked Over | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 40c | 415.93$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.37 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 51c | 299.98$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.99 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 52c | 282.5$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.6 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Under | 52c | 270$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.95 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Under | 20c | 208$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.4 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…70d9backed Over | 50c | 199.01$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Over | 68c | 198.16$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.01 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 59c | 196.44$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.59 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a12…e633backed Over | 54c | 185.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 300 | 39.7%119 W · 181 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66da…69b0backed Over | 51c | 112.14$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.15 | 280 | 42.5%119 W · 161 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5093…8d00backed Over | 39c | 107.5$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.42 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca5e…4a1cbacked Under | 62c | 101.5$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c42…e05cbacked Under | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.08 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec33…fad3backed Over | 52c | 90.73$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 25c | 86.24$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc5…e315backed Over | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 41c | 62.74$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.22 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 53c | 55.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.54 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 347 | 42.9%149 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76d4…c512backed Over | 39c | 49.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -7.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c11…02c8backed Over | 49c | 48.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacff…3872backed Under | 45c | 46.13$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.37 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Over | 64c | 43.01$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 401 | 41.6%167 W · 234 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbbb…5693backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcbd…191dbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x901f…b8b0backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 295 | 58.6%173 W · 122 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c86…7effbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x977c…57ecbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 17.1%6 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -51%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd84d…cc32backed Under | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 330 | 48.8%161 W · 169 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17af…2a45backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1b…555bbacked Over | 40c | 34.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 49c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x101c…543dbacked Under | 60c | 33.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd558…a218backed Over | 60c | 32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…0ed2backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 233 | 54.5%127 W · 106 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1d…7ff3backed Over | 51c | 28.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 176 | 54.5%96 W · 80 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff66…39cfbacked Over | 40c | 27.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Under | 69c | 26.19$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…927fbacked Under | 49c | 24.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Over | 44c | 24.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 50c | 24.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 57c | 22.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe068…c5eabacked Over | 49c | 21.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb26…512fbacked Under | 65c | 16.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07e4…186ebacked Under | 62c | 16.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.14 | 333 | 62.2%207 W · 126 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed1c…2e25backed Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group BTheMongolz won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION - Map 1 WinnerTheMongolz won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION - Map 2 WinnerTheMongolz won
- Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)TheMongolz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.