TailMyPicks
Market

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
TheMongolzof TheMongolz, PARIVISION
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$385,138
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$425,208

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $385,138 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 317 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x67bb…b6efbacked TheMongolz62c25,234$15,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,588.8776657.8%443 W · 323 L+3.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed PARIVISION44c17,146$7,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,495.1633343.8%146 W · 187 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked TheMongolz54c16,000$8,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,357.9436753.7%197 W · 170 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee21…6f5fbacked PARIVISION41c15,936$6,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,557.561233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed PARIVISION38c13,246$5,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,033.6223848.3%115 W · 123 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xed44…4f76backed PARIVISION36c12,790$4,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,602.9352242.5%222 W · 300 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-24.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed TheMongolz61c12,650$7,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,970.4950254.2%272 W · 230 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e53…bf9abacked PARIVISION37c10,809$3,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,999.36947.8%33 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed TheMongolz62c10,708$6,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,082.8775550.6%382 W · 373 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked PARIVISION42c10,096$4,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,257.043,25950.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L+98.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed PARIVISION40c9,879$3,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,939.611,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked PARIVISION44c9,495$4,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,170.762,22347.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L-5.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed TheMongolz52c9,197$4,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,371.1912454%67 W · 57 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0562…18a4backed TheMongolz47c8,200$3,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,375.3920947.8%100 W · 109 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed PARIVISION39c8,025$3,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,132.546349.9%231 W · 232 L-1.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed PARIVISION40c7,500$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,999.996744.8%30 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed PARIVISION42c7,304$3,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,044.376,50142.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L-79.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed PARIVISION47c6,701$3,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,120.1282143%353 W · 468 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed TheMongolz63c6,349$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,349.2133359.8%199 W · 134 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked TheMongolz56c6,250$3,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,734.1625655.5%142 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked PARIVISION37c5,561$2,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,072.9225855%142 W · 116 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x482d…ba5ebacked TheMongolz60c5,222$3,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,088.887441.9%31 W · 43 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed PARIVISION38c4,500$1,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,71067951.4%349 W · 330 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa69d…509bbacked TheMongolz45c4,459$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,458.6819757.4%113 W · 84 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…aea3backed TheMongolz39c4,451$1,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,697.621346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick36cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked PARIVISION39c4,380$1,705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,705.422,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed PARIVISION32c4,200$1,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,338.7687847.9%421 W · 457 L+16.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked PARIVISION30c3,982$1,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,185.511,26346.9%592 W · 671 L+18.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked TheMongolz62c3,691$2,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,402.581,02052.2%532 W · 488 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed PARIVISION50c3,242$1,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,615.284,23849.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L+60.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed PARIVISION49c2,457$1,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,197.7310044%44 W · 56 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-21%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa538…12c3backed TheMongolz60c2,447$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$986.282360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c63…3cbbbacked PARIVISION55c2,411$1,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,325.1546565.6%305 W · 160 L+0.5wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadd4…15c2backed PARIVISION38c2,250$847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.493036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-31.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed PARIVISION53c2,158$1,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,136.315,34131.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L-390.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked PARIVISION51c2,050$1,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,046.471,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed TheMongolz41c2,010$826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,184.6145455.1%250 W · 204 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed PARIVISION37c1,956$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.9957422.5%129 W · 445 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd528…a2d2backed TheMongolz51c1,950$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95018056.7%102 W · 78 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed PARIVISION19c1,735$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.5246246.8%216 W · 246 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked PARIVISION37c1,680$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.591,16748.2%562 W · 605 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdff0…f573backed PARIVISION57c1,504$862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86234146.6%159 W · 182 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked TheMongolz61c1,482$904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.3465351.9%339 W · 314 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked TheMongolz56c1,429$805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.8615153.6%81 W · 70 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked PARIVISION48c1,414$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.253,23651.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L+88.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb9b…6df8backed TheMongolz63c1,250$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.555845.7%255 W · 303 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb66…c8dfbacked PARIVISION38c1,191$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.648645.3%39 W · 47 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+38.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf27…026fbacked PARIVISION68c1,100$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74414257%81 W · 61 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed TheMongolz48c1,089$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.996654.5%36 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-11.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfffe…4e6cbacked TheMongolz63c1,070$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.6127749.5%137 W · 140 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2be…78c2backed TheMongolz48c1,043$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.315862.1%36 W · 22 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd6a…4119backed PARIVISION47c1,041$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.213056.7%17 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77ac…1bf6backed TheMongolz63c1,037$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.5328261.3%173 W · 109 L+13.1wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc6f…f0f0backed PARIVISION70c1,001$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7006949.3%34 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc011…0a62backed PARIVISION29c972.41$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28216553.3%88 W · 77 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed PARIVISION57c875.6$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015155%83 W · 68 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked PARIVISION37c864.99$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.0740140.6%163 W · 238 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed PARIVISION36c849.99$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3021,04139.9%415 W · 626 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked TheMongolz77c834.24$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.625,58047.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L+47.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked PARIVISION55c818.39$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.931,79059.2%1,060 W · 730 L+106.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed PARIVISION47c810.31$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.0764046.3%296 W · 344 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5e2…5208backed PARIVISION37c807.36$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.7230%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37c4…3e8fbacked TheMongolz63c798.75$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.545052%26 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cf5…8483backed TheMongolz63c793.65$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.6511061.8%68 W · 42 L+0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bb4…a903backed TheMongolz63c793.65$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.651464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed PARIVISION46c793.28$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.912,66430.8%820 W · 1,844 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d0c…1249backed PARIVISION55c771.05$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.8118338.8%71 W · 112 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22c7…3e23backed TheMongolz45c763.68$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.6414037.1%52 W · 88 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed PARIVISION46c758.3$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.574,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed TheMongolz48c750$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.250846.3%235 W · 273 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…5762backed TheMongolz44c749.99$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.517354.9%95 W · 78 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b14…039bbacked TheMongolz63c744.54$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.1511871.2%84 W · 34 L+10.2wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1e33…bf4dbacked TheMongolz42c739.99$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.73748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a9a…a9c7backed TheMongolz55c711.72$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.849241.3%38 W · 54 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd888…3c9fbacked TheMongolz55c677.29$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.788258.5%48 W · 34 L+9.9wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+28.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3a86…cc01backed PARIVISION45c650$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.56136.1%22 W · 39 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-28.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1101…dfd5backed PARIVISION52c650$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.51040%4 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick31cpaid-25.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd65…5726backed TheMongolz56c625$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.122751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x949e…20afbacked TheMongolz17c601.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.5243437.6%163 W · 271 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54ac…47e6backed TheMongolz48c591.48$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.2468172.2%492 W · 189 L+120.9wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+24.7%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked PARIVISION52c549.3$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.063,94936.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L-201.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked PARIVISION58c544.85$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.0121146%97 W · 114 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x930b…0223backed PARIVISION75c535.84$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40023861.3%146 W · 92 L+0.8wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6033…8a83backed TheMongolz38c521.68$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.6815632.7%51 W · 105 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed TheMongolz22c520$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.641716.5%69 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked TheMongolz58c519.48$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.4823249.1%114 W · 118 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed PARIVISION38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19053945.5%245 W · 294 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3724…c59abacked PARIVISION38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1909732%31 W · 66 L-8.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3914…3db9backed PARIVISION45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2252334.8%8 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed TheMongolz51c495.2$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.821,00869.3%699 W · 309 L+152.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xa660…4483backed TheMongolz60c491.87$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.75250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x847e…3c43backed PARIVISION40c483.94$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.3629052.4%152 W · 138 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf56c…fcbdbacked TheMongolz60c483.33$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.3335749.9%178 W · 179 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfeff…42fbbacked PARIVISION77c447.1$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.275754.4%31 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f0b…f901backed PARIVISION59c425.04$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25035953.2%191 W · 168 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ab9…3facbacked TheMongolz60c420.35$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.421241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed TheMongolz55c407$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.1522564.9%146 W · 79 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed TheMongolz56c400$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.618442.9%79 W · 105 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bcd…2051backed TheMongolz32c391.34$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.316749.3%33 W · 34 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf91c…baa7backed PARIVISION56c388$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.2817345.7%79 W · 94 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.