TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
TheMongolzof TheMongolz, PARIVISION
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$237,070
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$278,259

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $237,070 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 197 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x67bb…b6efbacked PARIVISION50c26,259$13,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,129.5376058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x369f…abb5backed TheMongolz50c11,023$5,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,511.53748.6%18 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b9c…e333backed PARIVISION0c11,000$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed PARIVISION47c9,057$4,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,256.8575450.5%381 W · 373 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed TheMongolz53c7,777$4,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,655.1933343.8%146 W · 187 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked TheMongolz50c6,912$3,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,45621655.1%119 W · 97 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0562…18a4backed PARIVISION54c6,300$3,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,404.6920448.5%99 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked PARIVISION41c5,000$2,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,058.2825555.3%141 W · 114 L+1.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked PARIVISION29c4,276$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2403,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed TheMongolz71c3,507$2,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,026.3910044%44 W · 56 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-21%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked TheMongolz50c3,448$1,724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,72464852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed44…4f76backed TheMongolz66c3,352$2,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,130.2751942.2%219 W · 300 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-24.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked PARIVISION36c3,207$1,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,148.882,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed TheMongolz49c2,881$1,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,469.4521945.7%100 W · 119 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked PARIVISION51c2,860$1,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,449.535940.4%145 W · 214 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed TheMongolz51c2,588$1,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,256.214,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed TheMongolz74c2,447$1,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.9345646.9%214 W · 242 L-1.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed TheMongolz79c2,416$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.4933359.8%199 W · 134 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed PARIVISION51c2,396$1,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,228.9587047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked TheMongolz50c1,828$914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91432542.2%137 W · 188 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked TheMongolz49c1,640$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.713,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed TheMongolz63c1,560$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.225,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed TheMongolz49c1,500$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7652,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed TheMongolz47c1,438$681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75780942.3%342 W · 467 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked TheMongolz55c1,361$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.515,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked PARIVISION49c1,310$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.911,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked PARIVISION42c1,130$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.4615053.3%80 W · 70 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cf5…8483backed TheMongolz44c1,130$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.8711061.8%68 W · 42 L+0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cef…fa91backed PARIVISION45c1,102$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.095251.9%27 W · 25 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed TheMongolz62c1,092$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.0645058.9%265 W · 185 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd528…a2d2backed PARIVISION20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20018056.7%102 W · 78 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked TheMongolz50c987$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.540140.6%163 W · 238 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked PARIVISION37c983.17$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.864,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7353…b476backed PARIVISION54c928.97$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009246.7%43 W · 49 L-0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed PARIVISION40c920.38$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36596545.7%441 W · 524 L+10.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed TheMongolz76c915$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21861034.3%209 W · 401 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfffe…4e6cbacked PARIVISION48c886.04$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.327749.5%137 W · 140 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c4…3e8fbacked TheMongolz51c870.24$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.425052%26 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe72b…3c9cbacked TheMongolz50c795$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.528657.7%165 W · 121 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d0c…1249backed PARIVISION35c794.61$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.8618338.8%71 W · 112 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d63…aea3backed TheMongolz77c794.42$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.21346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick36cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed PARIVISION42c764.54$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.681,00869.3%699 W · 309 L+152.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed TheMongolz55c670.42$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.662441.7%10 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-27.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed PARIVISION29c664.36$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.611,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54ac…47e6backed TheMongolz50c656.27$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.6167372.2%486 W · 187 L+119.1wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+24.7%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed PARIVISION49c637.73$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3145,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e33…bf4dbacked TheMongolz49c628.57$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.573748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked PARIVISION2c617.09$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8327452.2%143 W · 131 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed TheMongolz53c599.99$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.996851.5%35 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed TheMongolz44c599.62$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.613646.3%63 W · 73 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked TheMongolz56c594.55$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.151,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed PARIVISION22c581.28$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.176,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked TheMongolz53c566.04$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.0481751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed PARIVISION40c557.26$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.941716.5%69 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed PARIVISION31c551.97$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.814,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked PARIVISION53c549.37$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.671,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe36c…a856backed PARIVISION7c540.86$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.868637.2%32 W · 54 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3090…be73backed TheMongolz49c538.99$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.894252.4%22 W · 20 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e69…7f76backed PARIVISION51c532.62$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.6432346.1%149 W · 174 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed PARIVISION13c529.12$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.9715155%83 W · 68 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed PARIVISION7c506.71$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.476654.5%36 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-11.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c63…3cbbbacked TheMongolz79c504.3$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.346165.5%302 W · 159 L+0.4wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6c3…55a3backed PARIVISION21c500$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1052218.2%4 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick32cpaid-63%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcd65…5726backed PARIVISION42c500$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.242751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed PARIVISION45c499.99$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22528738%109 W · 178 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed TheMongolz55c499.99$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22540558.8%238 W · 167 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76f9…3c97backed PARIVISION30c499.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+19.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked TheMongolz58c458.23$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.1438454.2%208 W · 176 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9ea…59a1backed PARIVISION50c443.19$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22019238%73 W · 119 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked TheMongolz61c439.5$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.583,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed PARIVISION48c418.45$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.862,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…5762backed PARIVISION52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20817054.7%93 W · 77 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked PARIVISION51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20031451.6%162 W · 152 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked TheMongolz80c379.77$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.9558254.3%316 W · 266 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf56c…fcbdbacked PARIVISION51c378.69$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.1335449.7%176 W · 178 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked TheMongolz67c360.98$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.721,63043.2%704 W · 926 L-32.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x930b…0223backed TheMongolz50c336$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16823861.3%146 W · 92 L+0.8wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22c7…3e23backed TheMongolz45c330$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.414037.1%52 W · 88 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbcc…edc9backed TheMongolz79c324.74$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.951266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked PARIVISION33c323.57$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.992,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed TheMongolz57c322$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.5578348.4%379 W · 404 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa72a…5685backed TheMongolz51c309.18$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.531241.3%129 W · 183 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x847e…3c43backed TheMongolz48c307.94$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.9429052.4%152 W · 138 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ff7…bf32backed PARIVISION40c305.28$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.1113754%74 W · 63 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ab9…3facbacked TheMongolz52c301.28$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.281241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53e9…5ef8backed PARIVISION33c300$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9932136.8%118 W · 203 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed TheMongolz51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1471,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01b8…82c1backed TheMongolz39c291.67$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.6712651.6%65 W · 61 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9b25…93ccbacked PARIVISION60c282.47$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1703154.8%17 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a42…6338backed TheMongolz75c267.05$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.057042.9%30 W · 40 L-6.4wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-22.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6fb2…bd2dbacked PARIVISION42c263.4$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.3313850%69 W · 69 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e82…4cfbbacked TheMongolz50c250.06$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.034240.5%17 W · 25 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-23.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb378…e4c0backed PARIVISION20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5038312.8%49 W · 334 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf91e…7e0bbacked TheMongolz63c232.17$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.5953859.3%319 W · 219 L+18.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed TheMongolz51c231$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.4299148.3%479 W · 512 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed TheMongolz51c230$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.61,48558%862 W · 623 L+66.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed TheMongolz52c227.01$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.9653444.9%240 W · 294 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa073…a3babacked TheMongolz66c227$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.181,11768.6%766 W · 351 L+20.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked PARIVISION45c220.34$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.394,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed PARIVISION18c207.55$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.634036.5%124 W · 216 L-1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.