CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc245de91bbebca2764eabc6402c92b88885f1ded4a869d74cc41bd73b269c2eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spiritof Spirit, 9z
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,329,985
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,525,754
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,329,985 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,280 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x47a8…52f9backed 9z | 12c | 125,000$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,999.94 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Spirit | 78c | 110,405$85,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,425.08 | 233 | 55.4%129 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed 9z | 32c | 74,159$23,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,730.86 | 253 | 55.7%141 W · 112 L | +19.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Spirit | 79c | 65,977$52,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,914.95 | 216 | 55.1%119 W · 97 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked 9z | 28c | 65,000$18,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,150 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed 9z | 52c | 60,076$31,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,131.33 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Spirit | 77c | 53,289$40,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,392.87 | 376 | 46.3%174 W · 202 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Spirit | 67c | 50,000$33,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,499.96 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +22%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked 9z | 50c | 49,050$24,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,729.52 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked 9z | 15c | 44,538$6,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,672.07 | 410 | 40%164 W · 246 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9854…6bf2backed Spirit | 80c | 40,854$32,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,354.26 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2a…5ae1backed Spirit | 79c | 38,156$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,155.73 | 129 | 55%71 W · 58 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8d…65e7backed 9z | 33c | 35,000$11,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,550 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed 9z | 32c | 33,525$10,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,728.16 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…73fdbacked 9z | 32c | 30,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,599.96 | 256 | 55.1%141 W · 115 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Spirit | 54c | 28,590$15,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,239.52 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked 9z | 11c | 25,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +8.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07e2…4b9cbacked 9z | 47c | 24,878$11,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,654.4 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed 9z | 10c | 24,341$2,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,536.48 | 327 | 32.4%106 W · 221 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed 9z | 47c | 23,720$11,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,155.38 | 177 | 37.3%66 W · 111 L | -16.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed 9z | 11c | 23,332$2,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,566.52 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed 9z | 13c | 22,071$2,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,869.23 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6902…b4cabacked Spirit | 68c | 22,059$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,058.82 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe111…685abacked 9z | 18c | 19,163$3,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,514.21 | 175 | 40%70 W · 105 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed 9z | 14c | 18,250$2,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,529.98 | 421 | 42%177 W · 244 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47b3…039cbacked Spirit | 68c | 17,000$11,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,440 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked Spirit | 63c | 16,102$10,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,021.2 | 345 | 59.1%204 W · 141 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…18a4backed Spirit | 67c | 15,888$10,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,190.64 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf886…2620backed Spirit | 72c | 15,322$11,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,291.09 | 103 | 59.2%61 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…b3bbbacked 9z | 15c | 15,204$2,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,314.46 | 291 | 27.5%80 W · 211 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Spirit | 47c | 15,033$7,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,958.96 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed 9z | 32c | 15,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 114 | 39.5%45 W · 69 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed 9z | 47c | 14,850$7,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,053.63 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9732…1539backed 9z | 33c | 14,606$4,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,796.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Spirit | 68c | 14,200$9,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,543.99 | 223 | 54.7%122 W · 101 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18f0…3d5ebacked 9z | 31c | 13,741$4,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,278.49 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79be…b605backed 9z | 25c | 13,522$3,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,444.25 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Spirit | 76c | 13,145$9,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,216.46 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed 9z | 32c | 12,806$4,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,122.33 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc84…04b2backed 9z | 24c | 12,333$3,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,013.3 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…5a4ebacked 9z | 21c | 12,130$2,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,560.84 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ee…1391backed 9z | 26c | 12,070$3,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,131.77 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e23…e933backed Spirit | 76c | 11,872$8,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,881.89 | 126 | 60.3%76 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…2d3dbacked 9z | 32c | 11,839$3,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,832.75 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x118c…3fffbacked 9z | 56c | 11,650$6,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,546.84 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…f324backed 9z | 22c | 11,047$2,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,430.34 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Spirit | 78c | 10,500$8,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,309.99 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2b…afc5backed Spirit | 41c | 10,485$4,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,177.18 | 196 | 59.2%116 W · 80 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Spirit | 50c | 10,110$5,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,007.18 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Spirit | 42c | 10,068$4,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,858.55 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed 9z | 21c | 10,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Spirit | 41c | 9,888$4,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,811.92 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked 9z | 34c | 9,800$3,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,288.27 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd32f…1496backed Spirit | 43c | 9,689$4,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,505.87 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Spirit | 42c | 9,688$4,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,632.51 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed 9z | 12c | 9,503$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.37 | 172 | 40.7%70 W · 102 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed 9z | 32c | 9,036$2,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,891.51 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa453…b665backed Spirit | 80c | 7,963$6,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,613.18 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked 9z | 39c | 7,947$3,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,066.71 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa579…d090backed Spirit | 57c | 7,847$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,347.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed 9z | 24c | 7,750$1,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,865.3 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed 9z | 44c | 7,672$3,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,395.4 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Spirit | 27c | 7,576$2,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,556.05 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa40a…fa62backed Spirit | 71c | 7,523$5,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,186.53 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…d87cbacked Spirit | 49c | 7,364$3,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,731.45 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e02…1f4abacked Spirit | 68c | 7,299$4,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,335.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Spirit | 26c | 7,283$1,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,406.95 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2b…2c91backed 9z | 13c | 7,274$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…34a5backed 9z | 37c | 7,256$2,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,678.01 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e430backed Spirit | 47c | 7,128$3,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,750.64 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe6…7027backed 9z | 37c | 7,017$2,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,591.37 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31d1…cf6fbacked Spirit | 71c | 6,967$4,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,026.8 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked 9z | 13c | 6,600$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.99 | 149 | 34.9%52 W · 97 L | -14.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…d152backed Spirit | 77c | 6,337$4,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,471.47 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c4…7433backed 9z | 11c | 6,186$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.09 | 132 | 44.7%59 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked 9z | 21c | 6,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 285 | 38.2%109 W · 176 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed 9z | 21c | 6,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 238 | 48.3%115 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed 9z | 12c | 6,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e71…e570backed 9z | 33c | 5,706$1,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,882.98 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Spirit | 42c | 5,693$2,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,278.72 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Spirit | 25c | 5,360$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,025.48 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Spirit | 46c | 5,338$2,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,909.25 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed 9z | 68c | 5,314$3,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600.63 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7128…75a2backed 9z | 19c | 5,289$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.63 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed Spirit | 68c | 5,167$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.67 | 483 | 50.9%246 W · 237 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Spirit | 60c | 5,002$3,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,979.28 | 379 | 46.4%176 W · 203 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e8…88a4backed Spirit | 69c | 5,000$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,549.98 | 171 | 62%106 W · 65 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed 9z | 12c | 5,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d29…0206backed Spirit | 65c | 5,000$3,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,769.98 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed 9z | 42c | 4,974$2,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,064.59 | 421 | 54.6%230 W · 191 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x132f…453bbacked 9z | 25c | 4,813$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206.48 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Spirit | 48c | 4,790$2,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,502.73 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e3…706fbacked Spirit | 79c | 4,700$3,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.64 | 179 | 67.6%121 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc790…85b1backed 9z | 33c | 4,633$1,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,509 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3f…8e2bbacked Spirit | 68c | 4,528$3,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.96 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed 9z | 16c | 4,500$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.86 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…90d0backed Spirit | 70c | 4,500$3,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364.97 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…519dbacked Spirit | 63c | 4,436$2,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,623.45 | 69 | 72.5%50 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee80…f34ebacked Spirit | 71c | 4,310$3,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,258 | 354 | 60.7%215 W · 139 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed 9z | 42c | 4,276$1,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,815.17 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3this page
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner9z won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 WinnerSpirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs 9z (+3.5)9z won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5Over won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-6.5) vs 9z (+6.5)9z won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5Over won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs 9z (+3.5)9z won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-6.5) vs 9z (+6.5)9z won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5Over won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)9z won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.