TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$54,411
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$65,055

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,411 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa579…d090backed Over33c9,065$3,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,039.1540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under69c7,271$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,999.595,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under67c3,170$2,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1125658.9%33 W · 23 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+23.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked Under44c2,040$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.471,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under68c2,030$1,373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,373.392,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ea6…180dbacked Under66c2,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3202642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8cbf…0eb4backed Over31c1,514$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,044.5637157.7%214 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Under17c1,316$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.6835054.6%191 W · 159 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over30c1,201$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84027753.8%149 W · 128 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Under70c1,009$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.462,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed Over30c1,000$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70049935.1%175 W · 324 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over31c1,000$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69081244.3%360 W · 452 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Over32c969.44$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.2246243.3%200 W · 262 L+1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4c4…6dfdbacked Over63c790.1$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.3416853.6%90 W · 78 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a25…8055backed Under67c656.23$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.6711349.6%56 W · 57 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Under68c554.99$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.3988242.3%373 W · 509 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c98…186dbacked Over32c547.62$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.4635947.9%172 W · 187 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed Over32c546.88$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.8859343.2%256 W · 337 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Over80c519.85$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.991,36566.3%905 W · 460 L+76.1wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2067…7350backed Over39c512.82$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.8227657.6%159 W · 117 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under66c500.1$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.0726650.8%135 W · 131 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under66c457.97$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.181,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09c1…0ddfbacked Over30c454.89$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.422584%21 W · 4 L+7.2wins+0.29per pick55cpaid+65.5%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under67c399.99$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.832,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under67c380.2$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.7319351.3%99 W · 94 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc7d…8895backed Over79c379.75$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.7522460.7%136 W · 88 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfce…5c3ebacked Over31c330.9$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.328537.6%32 W · 53 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x589a…8dc5backed Over32c324.22$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.4739038.5%150 W · 240 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3812…e4b0backed Over34c323.53$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.5311242%47 W · 65 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa7…003fbacked Over34c300$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19811753.8%63 W · 54 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83ba…2404backed Over34c297.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.8921856%122 W · 96 L+0.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked Over31c289$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.9734943%150 W · 199 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef9f…1b36backed Over32c281.53$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.44560%3 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.33per pick27cpaid+206.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f87…f04ebacked Over54c266.71$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.126653.4%142 W · 124 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Under70c260.19$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.2950051.4%257 W · 243 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under61c244.83$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.182,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8cd2…648cbacked Under53c244.76$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.7214351.7%74 W · 69 L+8.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Over33c200$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13415648.1%75 W · 81 L-0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2fd…5dabbacked Over39c199.99$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.999746.4%45 W · 52 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Under67c199.35$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.5799148.3%479 W · 512 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over10c198.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.662,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over54c197.22$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.43,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe3b0…b4d1backed Under69c160$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.426650.8%135 W · 131 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Over58c159.23$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.7868659.5%408 W · 278 L+65.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Under68c157$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.7674054.6%404 W · 336 L+15.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over37c152.57$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.832,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Over32c150$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10213240.9%54 W · 78 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under68c135.63$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.7740635.7%145 W · 261 L-33.0wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-31%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2fc0…7c96backed Under23c131.3$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x455b…e3d7backed Under77c127.56$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.225354.7%29 W · 24 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dcb…50fcbacked Over77c116.3$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.7514037.1%52 W · 88 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2455…7559backed Over32c105.53$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.764862.5%30 W · 18 L+5.1wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+20.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Under68c104$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.7216648.2%80 W · 86 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5ff…abd0backed Over32c103.1$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.1138650.8%196 W · 190 L+11.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under43c102.74$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.473,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Under70c100$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7036057.5%207 W · 153 L+13.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under30c96.14$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.992,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x6a65…5864backed Over34c84.68$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.895349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Over30c80.48$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3397040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x581f…9d8ebacked Over65c79.82$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.9413351.1%68 W · 65 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0584…75eabacked Over32c78.13$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.136663.6%42 W · 24 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd3b…cea6backed Under69c78$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.532352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Over46c77.44$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.9660032.3%194 W · 406 L-49.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-38.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8144…8472backed Under69c76.8$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.997250%36 W · 36 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked Over31c73.64$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.0189248%428 W · 464 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x71db…aba8backed Over43c69.09$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.097349.3%36 W · 37 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under24c68.51$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.461,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Under46c66.41$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5573948.4%358 W · 381 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Over30c63.17$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.021,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb434…8b4fbacked Over32c62.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.52475%18 W · 6 L+6.8wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+74.5%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x9d2a…9ee3backed Over32c62.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.521650.9%110 W · 106 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a19…eb54backed Over32c62.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.59762.9%61 W · 36 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+9.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3337…780bbacked Over32c62.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.52951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa379…5047backed Over34c52.94$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.943865.8%25 W · 13 L+4.5wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+12.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb3d…58f5backed Under69c51.14$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2337855.3%209 W · 169 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x219a…f65bbacked Over42c50.65$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.215040%20 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x848d…9867backed Under68c49.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9958755.9%328 W · 259 L+24.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f8f…b302backed Under67c44.66$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9211358.4%66 W · 47 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83fd…2aabbacked Over32c43.75$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.7511232.1%36 W · 76 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfcdd…0ecdbacked Under69c43.48$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3032956.8%187 W · 142 L-13.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed Over64c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.420353.2%108 W · 95 L+1.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x252f…2561backed Under51c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.456454.3%306 W · 258 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb44…f556backed Over32c38.66$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.297258.3%42 W · 30 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x428b…4f48backed Under67c38$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.463050%15 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed Under70c35$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.434750.7%176 W · 171 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ca8…7e67backed Over33c33$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1112343.9%54 W · 69 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef2b…70efbacked Under67c29.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012564.8%81 W · 44 L+7.0wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under68c29.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1249149.9%245 W · 246 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under46c27.59$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6979951.7%413 W · 386 L+25.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Under70c23.1$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1750056.6%283 W · 217 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under54c22.68$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.212,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xaa52…3607backed Under69c19.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.791838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-38.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xead6…b510backed Under76c19.74$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155651.8%29 W · 27 L-7.0wins-0.13per pick64cpaid-22.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under57c19.12$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8237149.6%184 W · 187 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba17…5c67backed Under69c17.1$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8319052.6%100 W · 90 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70b4…6815backed Under71c17$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0723465%152 W · 82 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.