Will Manchester City win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a20817e4900c33d9b4965c68172a9b3918f0285ea5a9ad108ac909c235b4d1d

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: May 16, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $134,074
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $159,155

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,074 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 217 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe4d3…c2f0backed Yes	75c	17,551$13,241 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,309.84	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	66cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd49b…bdf9backed No	27c	17,472$4,736 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,736.43	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-65.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9106…afcbbacked No	28c	17,088$4,767 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,766.7	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+10%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Yes	73c	8,748$6,378 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,369.62	19	73.7%14 W · 5 L	+2.0wins	+0.11per pick	63cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd97…0ec5backed Yes	71c	7,122$5,074 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,048.58	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	60cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8575…87febacked No	27c	5,522$1,490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,490.38	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1223…d424backed Yes	74c	5,490$4,040 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,449.9	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.18per pick	62cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef2c…40b6backed Yes	72c	4,584$3,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,283.4	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.33per pick	67cpaid	+48.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3690…e16fbacked No	27c	4,187$1,146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,145.96	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-53.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed No	26c	3,614$940 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$939.76	47	36.2%17 W · 30 L	-5.0wins	-0.11per pick	47cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4698…d7a5backed Yes	71c	3,500$2,485 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,014.99	10	80%8 W · 2 L	+1.2wins	+0.12per pick	68cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x30f8…5edbbacked Yes	72c	2,992$2,154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$837.67	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	59cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c0a…cbc9backed Yes	73c	2,853$2,083 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$770.24	61	42.6%26 W · 35 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes	62c	2,000$1,240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$760	38	44.7%17 W · 21 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked No	54c	2,000$1,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,080	69	39.1%27 W · 42 L	+4.8wins	+0.07per pick	32cpaid	+9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked No	27c	1,829$494 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$493.77	111	49.5%55 W · 56 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0957…77e8backed No	28c	1,789$506 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$505.92	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c58…a5a1backed No	30c	1,564$465 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$465.39	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b5d…cdfcbacked Yes	73c	1,507$1,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$406.85	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.11per pick	61cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x72b2…5548backed Yes	77c	1,482$1,136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$346.11	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.19per pick	39cpaid	-73.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed No	33c	1,477$481 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$481.34	113	24.8%28 W · 85 L	-6.5wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No	27c	1,457$396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$396.2	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44ac…dc9ebacked Yes	73c	1,373$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$372.77	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.4wins	-0.19per pick	62cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x70e9…836abacked Yes	74c	1,351$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$351.35	36	33.3%12 W · 24 L	-2.0wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-27%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked No	27c	1,236$338 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$338.34	35	45.7%16 W · 19 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No	30c	1,177$355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$354.76	200	40.5%81 W · 119 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes	66c	1,151$760 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$391.75	907	51.3%465 W · 442 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed No	30c	1,134$341 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$341.22	61	50.8%31 W · 30 L	+3.6wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf2d…8452backed No	33c	1,063$346 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$345.88	59	33.9%20 W · 39 L	-4.3wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes	26c	949.54$249 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$700.7	187	48.1%90 W · 97 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No	62c	871.27$543 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$542.67	51	60.8%31 W · 20 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes	64c	841.8$539 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$302.93	66	48.5%32 W · 34 L	+2.4wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2937…ad07backed No	33c	762$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d7d…ec26backed Yes	34c	750$255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$495	44	47.7%21 W · 23 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x764b…6badbacked No	31c	738.45$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.29	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb032…6977backed No	28c	714.29$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1a6…1507backed No	29c	711.59$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206.09	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f42…a8febacked Yes	70c	710$497 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$213	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+1.4wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Yes	70c	701.32$489 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$212.82	153	37.3%57 W · 96 L	-7.0wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed No	66c	694$458 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$458.04	71	39.4%28 W · 43 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No	24c	664.11$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.01	58	39.7%23 W · 35 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20f7…5527backed Yes	69c	653.18$451 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$202.49	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+1.3wins	+0.32per pick	68cpaid	+47.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b3f…994fbacked Yes	70c	642.86$450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192.86	50	54%27 W · 23 L	-4.2wins	-0.08per pick	62cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x407a…6ebdbacked Yes	70c	642.86$450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192.86	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.30per pick	70cpaid	+42.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6af9…a022backed Yes	27c	620$167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$452.6	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked No	5c	549.99$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.5	35	8.6%3 W · 32 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes	65c	500$325 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175	35	45.7%16 W · 19 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-12%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Yes	71c	443.76$315 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.69	152	63.2%96 W · 56 L	-8.1wins	-0.05per pick	68cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa313…eb44backed Yes	71c	441$313 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.92	73	57.5%42 W · 31 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcbd4…e342backed Yes	73c	429.01$313 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.01	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.27per pick	73cpaid	+37.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3416…0c7cbacked Yes	71c	422.54$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.54	37	43.2%16 W · 21 L	+2.3wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b32…8052backed Yes	71c	418.51$297 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121.27	41	39%16 W · 25 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x155d…3ec8backed Yes	72c	417.22$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.22	100	29%29 W · 71 L	-9.5wins	-0.09per pick	38cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x600c…908bbacked Yes	72c	416.44$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.44	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	64cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24f1…6a07backed Yes	73c	397.59$289 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.53	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.17per pick	67cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a5f…dc31backed Yes	72c	391.67$282 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.67	15	66.7%10 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	66cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed No	30c	389.72$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.6	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+1.1wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+29.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes	27c	387.61$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$282.77	138	32.6%45 W · 93 L	+5.5wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2afd…deb4backed No	31c	371.68$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.63	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes	71c	364$258 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.68	1,240	42.2%523 W · 717 L	-29.8wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0be4…d131backed Yes	71c	340.84$241 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.87	10	70%7 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	72cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xa61d…df1abacked Yes	69c	330.43$228 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.43	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	-4.5wins	-0.17per pick	61cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6854…67d0backed No	27c	328.89$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.19	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4f8…2869backed No	31c	322.58$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed Yes	68c	307.85$209 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.48	78	47.4%37 W · 41 L	-6.7wins	-0.09per pick	56cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes	69c	306.99$212 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.17	323	45.2%146 W · 177 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes	68c	300$204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.49	291	58.4%170 W · 121 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc774…2777backed Yes	68c	294.12$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.12	47	51.1%24 W · 23 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f86…4fa9backed Yes	73c	281.67$204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.39	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-2.2wins	-0.11per pick	56cpaid	-14%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f7c…d582backed Yes	72c	278.17$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.17	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.11per pick	56cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34c4…2249backed Yes	72c	277.78$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.78	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.16per pick	44cpaid	+53%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes	71c	273.99$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.46	964	43.7%421 W · 543 L	-10.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Yes	74c	271.35$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.35	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	73cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1121…52b7backed Yes	73c	259.56$189 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.23	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.09per pick	62cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes	23c	247.13$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$189.36	57	33.3%19 W · 38 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes	65c	227$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.29	122	51.6%63 W · 59 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba3…6c19backed Yes	45c	221$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121.55	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.3wins	+0.43per pick	57cpaid	+82.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x503a…860abacked Yes	63c	217.46$137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.46	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	+33.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09fe…76eebacked No	27c	215.39$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.15	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No	24c	213.89$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.64	79	46.8%37 W · 42 L	+5.5wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	+15%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Yes	73c	212.33$155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.33	194	60.3%117 W · 77 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	63cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e9a…06b6backed Yes	71c	211.27$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.27	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.31per pick	69cpaid	+44.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2127…37f2backed Yes	70c	200$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60	70	62.9%44 W · 26 L	-4.6wins	-0.07per pick	69cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc0eb…6d57backed Yes	25c	200$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150	104	59.6%62 W · 42 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Yes	73c	199.99$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54	149	45%67 W · 82 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x08b8…af7abacked Yes	73c	191.29$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.65	21	66.7%14 W · 7 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	63cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No	21c	187.51$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.29	25	64%16 W · 9 L	+2.5wins	+0.10per pick	54cpaid	+29.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes	19c	184.9$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.34	47	12.8%6 W · 41 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-46.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3d7…61b8backed Yes	69c	182.18$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.13	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	+3.2wins	+0.12per pick	42cpaid	+24.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x74e0…d590backed No	28c	178.57$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+2.3wins	+0.15per pick	45cpaid	+32.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No	27c	178.54$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.09	1,074	45%483 W · 591 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d9d…992bbacked Yes	62c	176.88$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.21	45	31.1%14 W · 31 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6dd6…c442backed Yes	18c	173.83$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$142.54	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.82per pick	18cpaid	+455.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x73ed…310ebacked No	29c	172.41$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a88…4e57backed No	29c	172.41$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-41.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4aa…43a1backed Yes	71c	164.35$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.66	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.29per pick	71cpaid	+40.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb030…9afdbacked Yes	70c	162.42$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.73	21	66.7%14 W · 7 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	64cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc26a…76a1backed No	31c	160.35$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.71	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x823e…fc4fbacked Yes	64c	156.25$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.25	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x370e…5df3backed No	45c	148$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.15	124	50.8%63 W · 61 L	+7.1wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Manchester City win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?this page
Will Arsenal win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?No won
Will Chelsea win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?No won
Will Leeds United AFC win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?No won
Will Liverpool win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?No won
Will Port Vale win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?No won
Will Southampton win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?No won
Will West Ham United win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Manchester City win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event