TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Liverpool win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$234,762
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$234,346

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $234,762 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x14dd…2996backed Yes12c3,143$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2114…2c48backed Yes12c2,467$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x70af…e586backed Yes12c2,384$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe1e5…a9f4backed Yes12c2,365$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfa21…72d4backed Yes12c1,986$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd2f5…75c4backed Yes12c1,850$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1077…3afcbacked Yes12c1,805$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0aba…ee0cbacked Yes12c1,770$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa700…a6e9backed Yes12c1,748$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4893…887dbacked Yes12c1,702$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x36de…6b2bbacked Yes12c1,632$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8200…29f3backed Yes12c1,617$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2ddb…1111backed Yes12c1,612$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdafa…e874backed Yes12c1,584$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb443…ab0fbacked Yes12c1,572$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9705…6844backed Yes12c1,550$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5c18…3e45backed Yes12c1,497$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfe74…0810backed Yes12c1,474$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcefd…5069backed Yes12c1,453$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4a83…a574backed Yes12c1,448$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd42a…c156backed Yes12c1,421$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdf7e…b302backed Yes12c1,389$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x30ef…e9a2backed Yes12c1,388$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x702a…40c8backed Yes12c1,356$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x91ac…85d9backed Yes12c1,349$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5157…ecb8backed Yes12c1,318$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfa6e…6419backed Yes12c1,310$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x76d7…10edbacked Yes12c1,247$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xefa8…56d0backed Yes12c1,229$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbb79…d747backed Yes12c1,146$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf0e5…1fa9backed Yes12c1,139$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0481…595dbacked Yes12c1,133$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x167b…adb4backed Yes12c1,112$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcdbb…8e8ebacked Yes12c1,084$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe79b…5577backed Yes12c1,068$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2dd6…871bbacked Yes12c1,065$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xad5f…ab9ebacked Yes12c1,062$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7036…dfedbacked Yes12c1,032$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1396…02abbacked Yes12c1,027$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x93c1…58fdbacked Yes12c1,021$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfd9f…6a18backed Yes12c995$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x19da…1666backed Yes13c990$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea9b…732fbacked Yes13c988$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4229…a471backed Yes12c985$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1efe…b1d1backed Yes12c981$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8660…79f8backed Yes13c960$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14c3…f0b6backed Yes12c936$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbb59…baa2backed Yes13c932$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeefc…8218backed Yes12c929$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0e47…21fcbacked Yes12c916$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8bc1…5b53backed Yes12c916$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x53c4…a89fbacked Yes13c911$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f2a…165fbacked Yes12c905$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc53b…871ebacked Yes12c886$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa771…c281backed Yes12c879$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2bd2…d01cbacked Yes12c871$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x527c…3c43backed Yes12c862$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfa51…ef1bbacked Yes12c852$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x997f…8716backed Yes12c828$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3b55…a6a4backed Yes13c814$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5cf…4e28backed Yes12c792$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1fb2…f0cbbacked Yes12c787$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xab9d…aababacked Yes12c778$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0bc1…00d8backed Yes12c769$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe0ac…bc1bbacked Yes13c724$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7d5…9348backed Yes12c716$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4f86…573cbacked Yes12c716$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x20f0…49bcbacked Yes12c708$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xde08…2504backed Yes12c685$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x402b…3f0cbacked Yes13c656$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef26…89bdbacked Yes16c639.38$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29b3…4468backed Yes12c610$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf33a…0971backed Yes12c603$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x181d…9db6backed Yes13c603$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9adb…bcd2backed Yes12c599$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0bf1…af27backed Yes13c596$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1fd…1934backed Yes13c588$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb068…834bbacked Yes12c581$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9038…83eabacked Yes13c557$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f91…fce7backed Yes12c465$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc8c7…3726backed Yes14c386.81$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.151136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes15c374.8$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.4218748.1%90 W · 97 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6223…6d15backed Yes12c323$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x370e…5df3backed Yes12c274$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.8812450.8%63 W · 61 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes11c209.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1375.4%2 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick3cpaid-79.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa33c…12bebacked Yes14c196.63$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.53633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-42.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes12c157.66$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.094712.8%6 W · 41 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-46.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes13c153.12$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.245733.3%19 W · 38 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf87…ebc0backed Yes12c146$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1b7e…d0f7backed Yes12c120$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6c08…5c69backed Yes11c99.96$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4611449.1%56 W · 58 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.