Premier League · resolved market
Will Chelsea win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3b892a495703e26c87f8226817c9d884a62692b6f98d20c42b5353e854cdcdd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $150,461
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $149,892
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $150,461 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7c58…a5a1backed Yes | 31c | 58,308$18,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,113.47 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 72c | 17,314$12,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,887.31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed No | 68c | 16,590$11,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,308.72 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9106…afcbbacked No | 68c | 15,054$10,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,762.56 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c5…a526backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 70c | 5,218$3,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,582.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1223…d424backed No | 71c | 4,235$3,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.76 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 71c | 4,182$2,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb291…cdcabacked Yes | 29c | 3,765$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.49 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…1cbdbacked Yes | 30c | 2,337$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…0329backed Yes | 31c | 2,212$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.83 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 28c | 2,006$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.83 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked No | 68c | 2,004$1,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.55 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 6c | 1,824$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.11 | 543 | 40.5%220 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0957…77e8backed No | 70c | 1,793$1,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7969…6432backed Yes | 13c | 1,739$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 13c | 1,736$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.67 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb4…672fbacked Yes | 11c | 1,644$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…ca19backed Yes | 13c | 1,593$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 72c | 1,488$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf978…a8a5backed Yes | 13c | 1,451$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20f7…5527backed No | 69c | 1,320$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.33 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0db…56d5backed No | 72c | 1,046$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.85 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca3…590fbacked Yes | 29c | 1,034$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb15…8393backed Yes | 30c | 1,018$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.37 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 200 | 40.5%81 W · 119 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf855…1885backed Yes | 11c | 970$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc6…448ebacked Yes | 22c | 910.59$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 31cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Yes | 27c | 903.81$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.5 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…14d1backed Yes | 11c | 868$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e7d…3c7fbacked Yes | 34c | 834.53$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19de…d65fbacked Yes | 11c | 714$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 70c | 711.59$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.21 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 69c | 708.33$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.36 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 74c | 664.11$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.52 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48c8…b981backed Yes | 13c | 660$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd547…f892backed Yes | 13c | 637$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9a…19a4backed Yes | 13c | 601$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc1…8187backed Yes | 11c | 598$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3df1…72e7backed Yes | 25c | 555.23$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +127.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe1…befbbacked Yes | 30c | 530$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -76%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41f9…84e6backed Yes | 24c | 500.65$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.81 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Yes | 28c | 499.97$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.99 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 68c | 486.86$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.63 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 71c | 467.01$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.33 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…3ec8backed Yes | 31c | 441.94$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 100 | 29%29 W · 71 L | -9.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd13e…f2d6backed No | 72c | 417.43$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.43 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…9d56backed Yes | 23c | 392.37$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.69 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -59%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes | 24c | 382.98$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.68 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…70dcbacked No | 70c | 357.14$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4de1…8b78backed Yes | 29c | 350$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 22c | 349$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.76 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 6c | 335.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 35 | 8.6%3 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0705…a86fbacked Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 70c | 326.69$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.97 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 28c | 300$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.96 | 291 | 58.4%170 W · 121 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed No | 78c | 299$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.62 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 72c | 292.94$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.7 | 154 | 61%94 W · 60 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10ec…3f30backed Yes | 18c | 288.37$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.52 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 23c | 275.01$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.14 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Yes | 30c | 274.89$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.47 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 71c | 250.51$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.56 | 113 | 24.8%28 W · 85 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8aa…f4fbbacked No | 68c | 249.99$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x823e…fc4fbacked Yes | 42c | 249.74$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…e99bbacked Yes | 24c | 239.86$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.21 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked Yes | 20c | 232.85$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.77 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked No | 61c | 216.7$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.37 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 71c | 215.39$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…03d8backed Yes | 30c | 204.2$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc4…6e31backed Yes | 16c | 203$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 74c | 193.95$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.51 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…ec26backed Yes | 15c | 189.36$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 71c | 185.1$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.76 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c16…31eabacked Yes | 31c | 183.03$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.74 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 71c | 180.62$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.42 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa46f…2cf6backed Yes | 22c | 178.88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Yes | 17c | 169.47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 194 | 60.3%117 W · 77 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf3…8f91backed Yes | 36c | 166.81$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fa…4d49backed Yes | 30c | 162.88$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.86 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 68c | 156$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.57 | 209 | 56%117 W · 92 L | +15.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa492…adbebacked Yes | 33c | 153.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e88…57b9backed Yes | 30c | 153.33$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e56…f4b8backed Yes | 14c | 148.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1152…caa8backed Yes | 20c | 147.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…31edbacked Yes | 30c | 144.13$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 71c | 137.24$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.14 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…be19backed Yes | 31c | 129.83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.25 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6794…0a8bbacked Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f7…fd94backed Yes | 13c | 118.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce3f…67c9backed Yes | 17c | 110$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…fd24backed Yes | 30c | 109.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5990…2183backed Yes | 29c | 102.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…bf77backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a3…7739backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ff…879cbacked Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ea…7f8dbacked Yes | 33c | 99.52$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.84 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked No | 77c | 99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.26 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 71c | 96.63$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.3 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chelsea win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?this page
- Will Arsenal win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?No won
- Will Leeds United AFC win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?No won
- Will Liverpool win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?No won
- Will Manchester City win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?Yes won
- Will Port Vale win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?No won
- Will Southampton win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?No won
- Will West Ham United win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.