CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a5d859ba2bc091a64fc2fe5e5767e10e7107f33a24071703953fd3c277bd3e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aurora Gamingof TheMongolz, Aurora Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $952,570
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,011,751
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $952,570 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 814 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked TheMongolz | 53c | 62,000$32,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,859.97 | 223 | 54.7%122 W · 101 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Aurora Gaming | 49c | 60,000$29,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,599.88 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c4…7433backed Aurora Gaming | 47c | 53,113$24,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,149.71 | 132 | 44.7%59 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Aurora Gaming | 67c | 41,096$27,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,361.54 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Aurora Gaming | 57c | 40,939$23,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,459.73 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Aurora Gaming | 47c | 37,751$17,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,008.09 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked Aurora Gaming | 53c | 36,580$19,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,075.97 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked TheMongolz | 36c | 35,065$12,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,732.61 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Aurora Gaming | 49c | 25,000$12,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,750 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…ec43backed TheMongolz | 53c | 24,237$12,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,805.11 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Aurora Gaming | 67c | 23,781$16,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,747.86 | 231 | 45.9%106 W · 125 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…3eacbacked TheMongolz | 28c | 23,221$6,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,596.14 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked TheMongolz | 51c | 23,000$11,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,730 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…5eeebacked Aurora Gaming | 49c | 22,548$10,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,574.13 | 162 | 45.1%73 W · 89 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed TheMongolz | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,200 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed TheMongolz | 53c | 19,811$10,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,500 | 238 | 39.9%95 W · 143 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Aurora Gaming | 68c | 19,000$12,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,059.98 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Aurora Gaming | 61c | 17,863$10,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,019.94 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed TheMongolz | 50c | 17,635$8,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,817.69 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked TheMongolz | 51c | 15,200$7,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,722 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Aurora Gaming | 49c | 15,013$7,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,664.54 | 238 | 48.3%115 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Aurora Gaming | 47c | 15,000$7,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,949.97 | 361 | 52.6%190 W · 171 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6e…fa6fbacked TheMongolz | 35c | 14,924$5,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,211.8 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Aurora Gaming | 52c | 14,500$7,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,908.78 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked TheMongolz | 37c | 13,032$4,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,857.71 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Aurora Gaming | 49c | 12,000$5,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,179.92 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Aurora Gaming | 47c | 11,132$5,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,871.06 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…9a17backed TheMongolz | 51c | 11,111$5,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,666.61 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed TheMongolz | 53c | 11,111$5,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,888.83 | 150 | 52.7%79 W · 71 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Aurora Gaming | 42c | 11,000$4,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,371.95 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed TheMongolz | 54c | 10,911$5,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,916.17 | 77 | 66.2%51 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed TheMongolz | 44c | 10,735$4,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,705.84 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…509bbacked TheMongolz | 52c | 10,150$5,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,278 | 197 | 57.4%113 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked TheMongolz | 34c | 10,022$3,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,372.87 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Aurora Gaming | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6902…b4cabacked TheMongolz | 51c | 9,865$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3936…366dbacked TheMongolz | 34c | 9,769$3,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,342.56 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked TheMongolz | 53c | 9,500$5,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,035 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d32…9dfcbacked TheMongolz | 32c | 9,494$3,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,037.97 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x83b8…09e5backed Aurora Gaming | 48c | 9,398$4,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,887.06 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x482d…ba5ebacked Aurora Gaming | 47c | 8,500$3,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,504.98 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked TheMongolz | 35c | 8,302$2,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,886.17 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe169…4653backed TheMongolz | 52c | 7,678$3,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,992.63 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked TheMongolz | 48c | 7,289$3,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,527.49 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed TheMongolz | 32c | 7,089$2,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,268.48 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Aurora Gaming | 40c | 6,977$2,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,173.08 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed TheMongolz | 34c | 6,438$2,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,215.96 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…285dbacked TheMongolz | 51c | 6,000$3,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,077.63 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70d8…a237backed Aurora Gaming | 55c | 6,000$3,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,720 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked TheMongolz | 33c | 5,715$1,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,895.59 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf65f…4493backed TheMongolz | 51c | 5,712$2,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,913.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed TheMongolz | 53c | 5,660$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed TheMongolz | 35c | 5,597$1,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,948.05 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf917…bde0backed TheMongolz | 52c | 5,500$2,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,855 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…c58ebacked Aurora Gaming | 47c | 5,196$2,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,753.88 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked TheMongolz | 35c | 5,185$1,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,810.33 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Aurora Gaming | 68c | 5,127$3,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,629.43 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed Aurora Gaming | 50c | 5,048$2,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,523.79 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked TheMongolz | 32c | 5,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Aurora Gaming | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,599.99 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff89…a94abacked TheMongolz | 53c | 4,764$2,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,524.7 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked TheMongolz | 52c | 4,724$2,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,467 | 252 | 61.5%155 W · 97 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Aurora Gaming | 48c | 4,629$2,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,407.17 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked TheMongolz | 51c | 4,600$2,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,345.98 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…5040backed Aurora Gaming | 79c | 4,565$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.48 | 86 | 70.9%61 W · 25 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…a7abbacked TheMongolz | 46c | 4,500$2,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,053.93 | 164 | 47%77 W · 87 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Aurora Gaming | 50c | 4,468$2,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,254.12 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Aurora Gaming | 50c | 4,276$2,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,121.29 | 257 | 47.5%122 W · 135 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Aurora Gaming | 42c | 4,270$1,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,456.81 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7c…b7dbbacked TheMongolz | 33c | 4,143$1,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,366.07 | 236 | 46.2%109 W · 127 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50ac…a924backed TheMongolz | 53c | 4,115$2,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,191.2 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb4…00eabacked TheMongolz | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb51…d2f5backed Aurora Gaming | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e171backed TheMongolz | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Aurora Gaming | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120 | 269 | 52.8%142 W · 127 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4b…5345backed TheMongolz | 51c | 3,876$1,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,976.85 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b9…bdf4backed TheMongolz | 51c | 3,776$1,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,925.96 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce80…08edbacked TheMongolz | 52c | 3,770$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960.46 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Aurora Gaming | 49c | 3,656$1,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,871.11 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x106e…e672backed TheMongolz | 52c | 3,631$1,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,887.92 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f2…b422backed TheMongolz | 67c | 3,607$2,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,429.36 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed TheMongolz | 48c | 3,438$1,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650.65 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed TheMongolz | 51c | 3,400$1,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,734 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4a…3b84backed Aurora Gaming | 66c | 3,275$2,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.98 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e23…e933backed TheMongolz | 55c | 3,134$1,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733.14 | 126 | 60.3%76 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed TheMongolz | 37c | 3,114$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.31 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…ec52backed TheMongolz | 54c | 3,100$1,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,665.32 | 389 | 54.5%212 W · 177 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…3a14backed Aurora Gaming | 65c | 3,058$1,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.16 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc9…7552backed TheMongolz | 40c | 3,000$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.76 | 167 | 49.1%82 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bae…885abacked TheMongolz | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 276 | 58%160 W · 116 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked TheMongolz | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed TheMongolz | 50c | 3,000$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.99 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Aurora Gaming | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.99 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc84…81edbacked Aurora Gaming | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.98 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Aurora Gaming | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,589.98 | 170 | 45.9%78 W · 92 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed TheMongolz | 51c | 2,992$1,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,526 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb79b…6591backed TheMongolz | 51c | 2,989$1,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,524.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x787f…d40cbacked TheMongolz | 51c | 2,952$1,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505.52 | 279 | 40.5%113 W · 166 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecee…a577backed TheMongolz | 37c | 2,931$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.38 | 82 | 26.8%22 W · 60 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Aurora Gaming | 56c | 2,931$1,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.56 | 267 | 43.1%115 W · 152 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)Aurora Gaming won
- Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)Aurora Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.