CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32d6bb690a9bb997ea2f7644637496c17c562533cbcb4b0ed579d5d963432d4d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aurora Gamingof TheMongolz, Aurora Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $305,158
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $332,449
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $305,158 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 283 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Aurora Gaming | 72c | 24,329$17,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,882.45 | 224 | 68.8%154 W · 70 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…509bbacked TheMongolz | 51c | 17,000$8,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,639.2 | 197 | 57.4%113 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Aurora Gaming | 41c | 15,368$6,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,115.77 | 231 | 45.9%106 W · 125 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed TheMongolz | 50c | 14,027$7,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,053.16 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed TheMongolz | 52c | 12,628$6,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,575.02 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked TheMongolz | 53c | 10,840$5,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,721.66 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8bf3backed TheMongolz | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,799.94 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -5.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked TheMongolz | 51c | 9,935$5,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,076.61 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked TheMongolz | 58c | 9,167$5,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,313.72 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Aurora Gaming | 41c | 8,737$3,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,141.67 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…eb66backed Aurora Gaming | 58c | 8,191$4,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,455.18 | 125 | 71.2%89 W · 36 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Aurora Gaming | 42c | 7,786$3,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,520.26 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Aurora Gaming | 49c | 6,765$3,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,435.76 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Aurora Gaming | 42c | 6,000$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,479.99 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…6de3backed Aurora Gaming | 42c | 6,000$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,479.97 | 426 | 51.6%220 W · 206 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked TheMongolz | 48c | 5,757$2,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,740.42 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Aurora Gaming | 42c | 5,743$2,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,302.84 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Aurora Gaming | 50c | 5,562$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,762.38 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bae…885abacked TheMongolz | 60c | 4,500$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 276 | 58%160 W · 116 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Aurora Gaming | 42c | 4,071$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,361.08 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed TheMongolz | 52c | 3,721$1,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920.92 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Aurora Gaming | 43c | 3,623$1,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,065.26 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Aurora Gaming | 56c | 3,577$2,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,572.97 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6a…925fbacked TheMongolz | 59c | 3,184$1,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,878.72 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked TheMongolz | 38c | 3,091$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.33 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked TheMongolz | 44c | 3,016$1,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,334.02 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606d…1aafbacked TheMongolz | 59c | 2,940$1,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,734.83 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc68…f899backed TheMongolz | 59c | 2,373$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed TheMongolz | 48c | 2,316$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.75 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Aurora Gaming | 43c | 2,310$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.22 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed TheMongolz | 40c | 2,243$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.15 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Aurora Gaming | 41c | 2,164$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271.9 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked TheMongolz | 58c | 2,121$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…3c9cbacked Aurora Gaming | 50c | 2,095$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.81 | 286 | 57.7%165 W · 121 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked TheMongolz | 56c | 2,089$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.57 | 359 | 40.4%145 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed TheMongolz | 39c | 2,003$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.75 | 193 | 29%56 W · 137 L | -23.4wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Aurora Gaming | 43c | 1,933$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.94 | 267 | 43.1%115 W · 152 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4a…3b84backed TheMongolz | 60c | 1,800$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.37 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda1a…3407backed Aurora Gaming | 50c | 1,798$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.22 | 289 | 60.6%175 W · 114 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Aurora Gaming | 43c | 1,576$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.38 | 325 | 42.2%137 W · 188 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Aurora Gaming | 47c | 1,546$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.09 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…55a2backed TheMongolz | 58c | 1,517$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.43 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked TheMongolz | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a6…0dcfbacked Aurora Gaming | 33c | 1,425$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.44 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed TheMongolz | 43c | 1,345$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.28 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf693…202fbacked Aurora Gaming | 47c | 1,296$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.2 | 180 | 67.8%122 W · 58 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…1550backed TheMongolz | 58c | 1,241$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x146c…b807backed Aurora Gaming | 51c | 1,143$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.41 | 400 | 48.8%195 W · 205 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…7cedbacked TheMongolz | 58c | 1,124$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…fdc6backed TheMongolz | 57c | 1,093$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.99 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked Aurora Gaming | 64c | 1,074$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.57 | 163 | 44.8%73 W · 90 L | -32.6wins | -0.20per pick | 65cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked TheMongolz | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Aurora Gaming | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 388 | 68.3%265 W · 123 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Aurora Gaming | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 320 | 42.5%136 W · 184 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed TheMongolz | 53c | 898.53$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 405 | 58.8%238 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa889…ebcdbacked TheMongolz | 58c | 849.14$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.5 | 192 | 56.8%109 W · 83 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2d…dd1ebacked TheMongolz | 79c | 842.38$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.23 | 399 | 70.7%282 W · 117 L | +38.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked TheMongolz | 57c | 840.64$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.94 | 410 | 40%164 W · 246 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…d3c7backed TheMongolz | 59c | 830.51$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked TheMongolz | 49c | 829$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.85 | 190 | 30.5%58 W · 132 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed TheMongolz | 43c | 813.95$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 417 | 16.5%69 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2542…7821backed Aurora Gaming | 38c | 790.84$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.84 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b0…2aaebacked Aurora Gaming | 41c | 784.29$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.73 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Aurora Gaming | 60c | 769.36$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.36 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Aurora Gaming | 58c | 755.01$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.33 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…420cbacked Aurora Gaming | 36c | 750$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481 | 101 | 53.5%54 W · 47 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59c…4da7backed TheMongolz | 56c | 749.99$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 152 | 64.5%98 W · 54 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93a9…5aa1backed TheMongolz | 42c | 745.5$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.11 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed TheMongolz | 51c | 740.98$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.35 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked TheMongolz | 53c | 702.23$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.14 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x994d…3d8dbacked Aurora Gaming | 32c | 699.95$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.96 | 528 | 34.3%181 W · 347 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d18…0465backed TheMongolz | 58c | 690.41$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.47 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc056…e188backed TheMongolz | 58c | 689.66$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f4adbacked Aurora Gaming | 45c | 670.84$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.84 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Aurora Gaming | 57c | 648.33$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.35 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…de56backed Aurora Gaming | 43c | 644.67$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.54 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe843…0699backed TheMongolz | 32c | 609.99$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.2 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked TheMongolz | 43c | 600$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.15 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…b170backed TheMongolz | 58c | 595.76$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.54 | 114 | 42.1%48 W · 66 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed TheMongolz | 38c | 559.98$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.83 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Aurora Gaming | 35c | 555$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.69 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…3e23backed TheMongolz | 31c | 533.39$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.35 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked TheMongolz | 59c | 525.42$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 173 | 57.2%99 W · 74 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked TheMongolz | 58c | 520.22$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.73 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Aurora Gaming | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc953…01bfbacked TheMongolz | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…3126backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 151 | 32.5%49 W · 102 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed TheMongolz | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 508 | 46.3%235 W · 273 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Aurora Gaming | 44c | 490.97$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.66 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Aurora Gaming | 47c | 472.58$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.87 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed TheMongolz | 72c | 472.25$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.79 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed TheMongolz | 54c | 467.36$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.18 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Aurora Gaming | 43c | 464.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.55 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed TheMongolz | 55c | 455.55$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.55 | 184 | 42.9%79 W · 105 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf424…9723backed TheMongolz | 63c | 447.08$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.52 | 211 | 35.5%75 W · 136 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc304…c6bbbacked Aurora Gaming | 22c | 446.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.06 | 104 | 49%51 W · 53 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x210a…1080backed TheMongolz | 48c | 433$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.47 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -44%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ee…0d15backed TheMongolz | 59c | 420.56$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.13 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Aurora Gaming | 55c | 417.55$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.42 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0c…41d9backed TheMongolz | 48c | 415.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group StageAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)Aurora Gaming won
- Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)Aurora Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.