CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce5960b98648bae511f21a70a50187e47e48d2785ab4885760ce13c26fe93877
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aurora Gamingof TheMongolz, Aurora Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $349,926
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $382,441
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $349,926 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 237 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed TheMongolz | 48c | 25,535$12,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,136.93 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked TheMongolz | 49c | 13,116$6,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,366.71 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Aurora Gaming | 54c | 12,688$6,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,873.84 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed TheMongolz | 55c | 11,960$6,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,523.85 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed TheMongolz | 41c | 10,570$4,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,383.28 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed TheMongolz | 0c | 9,495$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Aurora Gaming | 39c | 8,833$3,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,410.69 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Aurora Gaming | 58c | 8,000$4,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,381.12 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Aurora Gaming | 52c | 5,911$3,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,855.75 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked TheMongolz | 32c | 4,033$1,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300.6 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed TheMongolz | 48c | 3,308$1,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,587.86 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked TheMongolz | 31c | 3,231$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.09 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e62…f6ffbacked Aurora Gaming | 51c | 3,184$1,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,562.25 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Aurora Gaming | 56c | 3,103$1,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.24 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Aurora Gaming | 42c | 2,960$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,717.17 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed TheMongolz | 36c | 2,718$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.92 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52a6…ab62backed TheMongolz | 46c | 2,436$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6e…fa6fbacked TheMongolz | 48c | 2,418$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.59 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d52…bd18backed TheMongolz | 60c | 2,150$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked TheMongolz | 39c | 2,002$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.64 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked TheMongolz | 12c | 2,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.27 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6a…925fbacked Aurora Gaming | 52c | 1,925$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.08 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked TheMongolz | 53c | 1,915$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.43 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…d3c7backed TheMongolz | 59c | 1,908$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,126 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed TheMongolz | 56c | 1,813$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.74 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606d…1aafbacked Aurora Gaming | 70c | 1,788$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.3 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Aurora Gaming | 56c | 1,783$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.87 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed TheMongolz | 60c | 1,670$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.22 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd56b…342dbacked Aurora Gaming | 68c | 1,609$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.93 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | -12.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x31a6…0dcfbacked Aurora Gaming | 48c | 1,600$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.93 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked TheMongolz | 24c | 1,563$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.45 | 528 | 37.1%196 W · 332 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f05…a9b9backed Aurora Gaming | 54c | 1,534$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.68 | 274 | 59.5%163 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Aurora Gaming | 48c | 1,500$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.84 | 454 | 55.1%250 W · 204 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked TheMongolz | 38c | 1,480$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.56 | 401 | 40.6%163 W · 238 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Aurora Gaming | 43c | 1,471$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.12 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…1550backed TheMongolz | 49c | 1,453$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.95 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed TheMongolz | 14c | 1,452$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.76 | 417 | 16.5%69 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bae…885abacked TheMongolz | 48c | 1,400$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.11 | 276 | 58%160 W · 116 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked TheMongolz | 48c | 1,306$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Aurora Gaming | 54c | 1,162$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.26 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2d…dd1ebacked TheMongolz | 65c | 1,138$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.37 | 399 | 70.7%282 W · 117 L | +38.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed TheMongolz | 45c | 1,120$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.8 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…3c9cbacked Aurora Gaming | 54c | 1,100$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.9 | 286 | 57.7%165 W · 121 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed TheMongolz | 33c | 1,031$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.59 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Aurora Gaming | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed TheMongolz | 47c | 998.11$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.11 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d18…0465backed TheMongolz | 64c | 970.59$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.01 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Aurora Gaming | 60c | 926.2$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.45 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…6de3backed TheMongolz | 44c | 900$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 426 | 51.6%220 W · 206 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked TheMongolz | 39c | 899.99$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.33 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Aurora Gaming | 48c | 868.46$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.23 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x146c…b807backed Aurora Gaming | 53c | 842.39$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.39 | 400 | 48.8%195 W · 205 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc056…e188backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 841.46$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.46 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6f…f0f0backed TheMongolz | 51c | 787.97$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.61 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Aurora Gaming | 46c | 693.68$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.59 | 332 | 37%123 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…55a2backed TheMongolz | 48c | 629.99$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.4 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Aurora Gaming | 43c | 623$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.83 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed TheMongolz | 31c | 599.8$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.7 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8e…c29ebacked Aurora Gaming | 35c | 565.2$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.2 | 281 | 43.8%123 W · 158 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6117…2fafbacked TheMongolz | 54c | 535.78$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.07 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe843…0699backed TheMongolz | 25c | 527$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.25 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed TheMongolz | 20c | 503.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 550 | 43.1%237 W · 313 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Aurora Gaming | 52c | 499.99$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed TheMongolz | 52c | 497.7$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.35 | 157 | 43.9%69 W · 88 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb238…4961backed Aurora Gaming | 39c | 495.72$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.72 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…b170backed TheMongolz | 52c | 491.09$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 114 | 42.1%48 W · 66 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…fb3dbacked Aurora Gaming | 53c | 484.68$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.8 | 354 | 66.1%234 W · 120 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…5f8fbacked Aurora Gaming | 55c | 477.38$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.82 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb5…6fe9backed Aurora Gaming | 49c | 472.43$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.94 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +10.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c2…1e3abacked TheMongolz | 78c | 462.84$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.41 | 45 | 75.6%34 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked TheMongolz | 54c | 460.56$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.9 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Aurora Gaming | 37c | 457.15$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.48 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed TheMongolz | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 177 | 56.5%100 W · 77 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed TheMongolz | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994d…3d8dbacked TheMongolz | 14c | 429.13$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.08 | 528 | 34.3%181 W · 347 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a1…8d6fbacked TheMongolz | 48c | 429.04$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked Aurora Gaming | 38c | 415.79$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.79 | 401 | 48.4%194 W · 207 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked TheMongolz | 49c | 400.71$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 530 | 34.7%184 W · 346 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Aurora Gaming | 26c | 400$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Aurora Gaming | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 500 | 50.6%253 W · 247 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Aurora Gaming | 49c | 361.02$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.8 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3600…f72bbacked TheMongolz | 35c | 358.09$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 319 | 50.5%161 W · 158 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Aurora Gaming | 52c | 346.92$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.87 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…7cedbacked TheMongolz | 8c | 341.34$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.31 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed TheMongolz | 25c | 337.95$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.92 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…0626backed TheMongolz | 30c | 328.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfeff…42fbbacked Aurora Gaming | 39c | 319$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.59 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked TheMongolz | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe7…ddf5backed TheMongolz | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 341 | 56.6%193 W · 148 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed TheMongolz | 18c | 307.11$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.28 | 299 | 34.4%103 W · 196 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…3c43backed Aurora Gaming | 50c | 302.08$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.08 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed TheMongolz | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda00…5c4dbacked Aurora Gaming | 41c | 299.9$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.94 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -4.9wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -38%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked TheMongolz | 29c | 281.31$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.43 | 483 | 19%92 W · 391 L | -65.4wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Aurora Gaming | 51c | 265.85$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.27 | 282 | 48.9%138 W · 144 L | +21.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…3126backed TheMongolz | 50c | 260$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 151 | 32.5%49 W · 102 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed TheMongolz | 59c | 256.26$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 203 | 44.3%90 W · 113 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0db0…6424backed Aurora Gaming | 42c | 253.64$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.11 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed Aurora Gaming | 20c | 250$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 321 | 36.8%118 W · 203 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed TheMongolz | 45c | 250$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group StageAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)Aurora Gaming won
- Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)Aurora Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.