CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54e384dd99ea90e09c5c788a5ceca3ec2e17535fcffbf8bbb2a681e284e00195
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aurora Gamingof TheMongolz, Aurora Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,635
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,389
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,635 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5faf…1183backed TheMongolz | 36c | 12,000$4,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,319.98 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed Aurora Gaming | 64c | 4,593$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,653.48 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked TheMongolz | 29c | 4,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.51 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Aurora Gaming | 71c | 3,530$2,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.56 | 361 | 52.6%190 W · 171 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6e…fa6fbacked TheMongolz | 32c | 3,304$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.5 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Aurora Gaming | 73c | 2,200$1,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594 | 267 | 43.1%115 W · 152 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed TheMongolz | 27c | 1,941$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.17 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Aurora Gaming | 66c | 1,865$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.09 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50ac…a924backed Aurora Gaming | 64c | 1,530$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.82 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Aurora Gaming | 72c | 1,500$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.01 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8976…7367backed Aurora Gaming | 64c | 1,456$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.16 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Aurora Gaming | 64c | 1,022$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.05 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaf…051bbacked TheMongolz | 28c | 1,022$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.42 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Aurora Gaming | 69c | 998.99$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.25 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1da…dffbbacked TheMongolz | 27c | 898.99$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.83 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Aurora Gaming | 71c | 865.35$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.03 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb1…4ed2backed TheMongolz | 33c | 821.31$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.95 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f99…db70backed TheMongolz | 47c | 739.96$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.25 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…954ebacked Aurora Gaming | 64c | 657.81$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.81 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed Aurora Gaming | 64c | 654.62$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.57 | 443 | 43.3%192 W · 251 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd5…12a2backed Aurora Gaming | 64c | 631.38$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.3 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Aurora Gaming | 73c | 479.45$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.45 | 212 | 63.7%135 W · 77 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5e…1468backed Aurora Gaming | 64c | 463.74$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.95 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Aurora Gaming | 64c | 452.99$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.08 | 349 | 43%150 W · 199 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Aurora Gaming | 68c | 433.37$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.68 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6754…e4fcbacked Aurora Gaming | 72c | 310.54$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.95 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +123.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Aurora Gaming | 64c | 310$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.6 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa50…dc15backed TheMongolz | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Aurora Gaming | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Aurora Gaming | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 687 | 53.9%370 W · 317 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeebe…5d9bbacked TheMongolz | 28c | 270$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 158 | 56.3%89 W · 69 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed TheMongolz | 26c | 209.95$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.47 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05df…e268backed Aurora Gaming | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +5.1wins | +0.21per pick | 55cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Aurora Gaming | 71c | 198.9$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…40e8backed TheMongolz | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Aurora Gaming | 64c | 171.43$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.71 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Aurora Gaming | 69c | 165.47$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.36 | 190 | 30.5%58 W · 132 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked TheMongolz | 28c | 160.83$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.45 | 488 | 45.7%223 W · 265 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x675c…4341backed TheMongolz | 29c | 155.17$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75bf…991cbacked TheMongolz | 29c | 150.68$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.56 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -7.5wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8b15…a031backed TheMongolz | 49c | 135.22$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.96 | 225 | 54.7%123 W · 102 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd68d…1f62backed TheMongolz | 27c | 110.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.86 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked TheMongolz | 27c | 110$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca5e…4af1backed TheMongolz | 26c | 109.46$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.46 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -32%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Aurora Gaming | 73c | 108.2$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7eb…bfbfbacked Aurora Gaming | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Aurora Gaming | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…f22abacked Aurora Gaming | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 217 | 41%89 W · 128 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Aurora Gaming | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed Aurora Gaming | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 145 | 45.5%66 W · 79 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Aurora Gaming | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 373 | 39.7%148 W · 225 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…57bbbacked TheMongolz | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 381 | 57.7%220 W · 161 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Aurora Gaming | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 185 | 45.4%84 W · 101 L | +9.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…4c79backed Aurora Gaming | 64c | 96.03$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.57 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed TheMongolz | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 333 | 54.4%181 W · 152 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Aurora Gaming | 74c | 80.54$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.54 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Aurora Gaming | 64c | 80$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7344…98f6backed TheMongolz | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6347…3047backed TheMongolz | 28c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 181 | 45.9%83 W · 98 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…73fdbacked Aurora Gaming | 70c | 69.79$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 256 | 55.1%141 W · 115 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Aurora Gaming | 69c | 67.75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 93 | 64.5%60 W · 33 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd468…f6febacked TheMongolz | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 460 | 42.8%197 W · 263 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Aurora Gaming | 65c | 61.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.57 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Aurora Gaming | 59c | 60.63$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.06 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed TheMongolz | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ad…827cbacked TheMongolz | 29c | 48.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 306 | 39.5%121 W · 185 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Aurora Gaming | 70c | 48$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2038…cebfbacked TheMongolz | 30c | 43.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 217 | 35%76 W · 141 L | -17.5wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe16…60bebacked TheMongolz | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Aurora Gaming | 64c | 41.67$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Aurora Gaming | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Aurora Gaming | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d2…386fbacked TheMongolz | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -6.1wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -48%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2260…ed12backed TheMongolz | 39c | 34.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed TheMongolz | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc187…7ac1backed Aurora Gaming | 64c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04e5…070fbacked Aurora Gaming | 72c | 26.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc83…e37bbacked Aurora Gaming | 74c | 25.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Aurora Gaming | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 340 | 36.5%124 W · 216 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Aurora Gaming | 64c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 500 | 56.6%283 W · 217 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b92…2241backed Aurora Gaming | 74c | 19.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c38…291fbacked Aurora Gaming | 64c | 18.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Aurora Gaming | 63c | 17.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed Aurora Gaming | 73c | 17.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.63 | 231 | 58.4%135 W · 96 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Aurora Gaming | 60c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f97…6aafbacked Aurora Gaming | 64c | 16.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed Aurora Gaming | 74c | 16.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Aurora Gaming | 67c | 16.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb0…20b4backed Aurora Gaming | 75c | 14.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.67 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group StageAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)Aurora Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.