TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9079…420c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
106
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: CS2, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 53 out of 100; worst Crypto Milestones at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT10153.5%54 W · 47 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 101 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$511Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$511.2
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.43
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,001Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+87.1%+$871.26
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$801Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$800.71
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$81
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$43.99
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$82.88
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$302.1
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.6
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$64
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.2
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$92.8
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$27
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$216.24
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.99
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.06
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$55
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.5
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.8
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.2
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$123.21
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$43.7
Showing 25 of 101 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$681Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+61.3%+$417.6
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,622Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+56.8%+$921.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,001Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,001.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$3,470Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$3,469.7
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.