CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25077c9ba0a24cc9df5c575d69fc570a699eaf429dc5e928144e3dd652fd6661
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, TheMongolz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,804,254
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,995,652
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,804,254 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,321 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 149,999$92,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,384.97 | 502 | 54.2%272 W · 230 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e3…1be9backed TheMongolz | 29c | 99,998$29,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,999.51 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89dd…f662backed TheMongolz | 54c | 77,666$41,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,939.82 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 69,556$34,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,930.56 | 1,431 | 39%558 W · 873 L | -41.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked TheMongolz | 31c | 55,508$16,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,962.15 | 413 | 40.2%166 W · 247 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 50,275$22,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,435.34 | 766 | 57.8%443 W · 323 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked TheMongolz | 30c | 44,354$13,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,432.47 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…1183backed TheMongolz | 32c | 37,000$11,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,899.97 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 36,300$19,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,389.9 | 226 | 54.9%124 W · 102 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1610…ae49backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 33,357$21,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,949.54 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed TheMongolz | 29c | 32,982$9,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,564.75 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67a4…32a8backed TheMongolz | 30c | 25,743$7,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,723 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed TheMongolz | 55c | 24,345$13,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,389.64 | 233 | 55.4%129 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Natus Vincere | 78c | 20,597$16,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,485.52 | 224 | 68.8%154 W · 70 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed TheMongolz | 44c | 20,000$8,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,800 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed TheMongolz | 39c | 19,114$7,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,498.71 | 2,645 | 51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L | +21.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6902…b4cabacked Natus Vincere | 70c | 18,461$13,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,461.34 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Natus Vincere | 28c | 18,330$5,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,172.51 | 423 | 41.8%177 W · 246 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9854…6bf2backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 17,606$12,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,105.63 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54c2…23adbacked TheMongolz | 55c | 17,397$9,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,568.41 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…18a4backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 17,282$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,505.22 | 209 | 47.8%100 W · 109 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked TheMongolz | 30c | 17,135$5,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,140.49 | 653 | 51.9%339 W · 314 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…80c3backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 15,000$10,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,950 | 333 | 59.8%199 W · 134 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Natus Vincere | 71c | 14,609$10,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,236.53 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Natus Vincere | 34c | 14,347$4,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,459.07 | 92 | 32.6%30 W · 62 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…158ebacked Natus Vincere | 71c | 13,509$9,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,917.49 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa40a…fa62backed TheMongolz | 27c | 12,711$3,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,409.09 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe1…4d7fbacked TheMongolz | 34c | 12,335$4,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,208.42 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Natus Vincere | 65c | 12,000$7,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,199.99 | 361 | 52.6%190 W · 171 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…d87cbacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 11,957$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,456.52 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ac…2f1ebacked Natus Vincere | 59c | 11,138$6,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,538.04 | 278 | 51.4%143 W · 135 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…b3bbbacked TheMongolz | 44c | 10,510$4,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,573.3 | 291 | 27.5%80 W · 211 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked TheMongolz | 51c | 10,439$5,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,353.2 | 1,619 | 45.5%737 W · 882 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked TheMongolz | 54c | 10,410$5,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600.95 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed TheMongolz | 70c | 10,000$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,999.98 | 230 | 43.9%101 W · 129 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed TheMongolz | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,499.95 | 755 | 50.6%382 W · 373 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…509bbacked TheMongolz | 30c | 8,800$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,640 | 197 | 57.4%113 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed TheMongolz | 42c | 8,617$3,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,590 | 385 | 46.2%178 W · 207 L | -16.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a9…0c18backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 8,451$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…5040backed Natus Vincere | 79c | 8,208$6,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,703.46 | 90 | 71.1%64 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f1…5d81backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 8,198$5,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,541.43 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked TheMongolz | 54c | 8,000$4,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,347.11 | 1,060 | 49%519 W · 541 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed TheMongolz | 50c | 7,579$3,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,803.32 | 895 | 46.8%419 W · 476 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed TheMongolz | 30c | 7,522$2,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,253.11 | 172 | 40.7%70 W · 102 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed TheMongolz | 30c | 7,500$2,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,241.66 | 873 | 51.2%447 W · 426 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 7,123$4,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,208.05 | 114 | 39.5%45 W · 69 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc84…04b2backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 7,055$2,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,316.94 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 7,000$3,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,780 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 7,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.86 | 492 | 51%251 W · 241 L | -21.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 6,234$3,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,378.7 | 345 | 59.1%204 W · 141 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked TheMongolz | 29c | 6,000$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,739.98 | 285 | 38.2%109 W · 176 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 5,765$3,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960.09 | 178 | 61.2%109 W · 69 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 5,760$4,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,728 | 225 | 54.2%122 W · 103 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked TheMongolz | 55c | 5,707$3,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,165.45 | 1,790 | 59.2%1,060 W · 730 L | +106.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 5,638$2,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,811.82 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92ad…9706backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 5,634$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,633.8 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…6343backed TheMongolz | 34c | 5,577$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa83f…b857backed Natus Vincere | 31c | 5,500$1,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,811.78 | 127 | 49.6%63 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed TheMongolz | 60c | 5,376$3,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,230.29 | 878 | 47.9%421 W · 457 L | +16.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 5,345$3,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,105.32 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 5,287$3,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,918.04 | 2,365 | 45.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L | -58.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x314c…975fbacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 5,178$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,657.76 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c4…7433backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 5,040$3,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,557.52 | 133 | 45.1%60 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed TheMongolz | 29c | 5,000$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 379 | 46.4%176 W · 203 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e6…d471backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…be9dbacked TheMongolz | 34c | 5,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 312 | 53.5%167 W · 145 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Natus Vincere | 66c | 5,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.99 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1453…72d9backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 4,930$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,429.72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c05…9e9fbacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 4,822$2,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,603.74 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e23…e933backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 4,800$3,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,392 | 126 | 60.3%76 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 4,757$2,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,568.52 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked TheMongolz | 59c | 4,677$2,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,737.88 | 1,263 | 46.9%592 W · 671 L | +18.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Natus Vincere | 57c | 4,667$2,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,984.71 | 87 | 58.6%51 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e8…88a4backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 4,630$2,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,216 | 171 | 62%106 W · 65 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…6b17backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 4,587$2,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,302.47 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2b…afc5backed TheMongolz | 55c | 4,512$2,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,465.45 | 196 | 59.2%116 W · 80 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe111…685abacked TheMongolz | 30c | 4,500$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 175 | 40%70 W · 105 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ce…100fbacked Natus Vincere | 72c | 4,484$3,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.6 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked TheMongolz | 29c | 4,405$1,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277.32 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bae…885abacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 4,272$1,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,307.11 | 276 | 58%160 W · 116 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked TheMongolz | 26c | 4,091$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.61 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc50c…fe5dbacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 4,079$2,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,780.86 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 4,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.99 | 273 | 53.1%145 W · 128 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe6…7027backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 3,950$1,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,133 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 3,948$1,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,131.92 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked TheMongolz | 50c | 3,905$1,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,969.66 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked TheMongolz | 30c | 3,833$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 367 | 53.7%197 W · 170 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb2…79eebacked TheMongolz | 33c | 3,767$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…d698backed TheMongolz | 28c | 3,548$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.88 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked TheMongolz | 47c | 3,527$1,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,641.57 | 664 | 46.4%308 W · 356 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed TheMongolz | 28c | 3,500$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 114 | 34.2%39 W · 75 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed TheMongolz | 58c | 3,401$1,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,972.54 | 184 | 42.9%79 W · 105 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca3…b826backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 3,337$2,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.44 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a64…3c0abacked Natus Vincere | 20c | 3,332$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,667.49 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e71…e570backed TheMongolz | 30c | 3,223$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.2 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x118c…3fffbacked TheMongolz | 55c | 3,200$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 3,198$2,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.69 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x611f…b58fbacked TheMongolz | 29c | 3,183$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.15 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed TheMongolz | 1c | 3,121$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.19 | 203 | 44.3%90 W · 113 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked Natus Vincere | 66c | 3,100$2,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054 | 293 | 47.1%138 W · 155 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3this page
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 WinnerTheMongolz won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs TheMongolz (+3.5)TheMongolz won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs TheMongolz (+3.5)TheMongolz won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs TheMongolz (+3.5)Natus Vincere won
- Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Natus Vincere won
- Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)TheMongolz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.