CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf6634473ac5f58f43ea2192d6af044443f07a24181077e2bf5fdee1c922ac93
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TheMongolzof Natus Vincere, TheMongolz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,868
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,726
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,868 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked TheMongolz | 59c | 8,394$4,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,400.15 | 5,028 | 55%2,763 W · 2,265 L | +112.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed TheMongolz | 59c | 6,211$3,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,527.61 | 2,610 | 51.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L | +16.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed TheMongolz | 60c | 6,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 303 | 40.3%122 W · 181 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked TheMongolz | 58c | 5,410$3,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,272.3 | 361 | 52.6%190 W · 171 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e71…e570backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 4,024$1,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,609.49 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f05…9c86backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 3,545$1,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,416.73 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf886…2620backed TheMongolz | 59c | 3,100$1,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271 | 103 | 59.2%61 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed1…eedbbacked Natus Vincere | 41c | 2,491$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.31 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bae…885abacked Natus Vincere | 42c | 2,317$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.97 | 276 | 58%160 W · 116 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…6eacbacked Natus Vincere | 41c | 1,972$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.78 | 203 | 58.1%118 W · 85 L | +22.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +25%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 1,829$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.88 | 352 | 36.4%128 W · 224 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked TheMongolz | 60c | 1,759$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.67 | 277 | 53.8%149 W · 128 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6a…925fbacked TheMongolz | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.67 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked Natus Vincere | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615 | 345 | 59.1%204 W · 141 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Natus Vincere | 40c | 1,450$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.06 | 231 | 45.9%106 W · 125 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Natus Vincere | 11c | 1,432$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.49 | 2,429 | 44.6%1,083 W · 1,346 L | -63.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked TheMongolz | 60c | 1,333$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.33 | 751 | 45.4%341 W · 410 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e69…7f76backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 1,200$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 323 | 46.1%149 W · 174 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 1,010$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.3 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…d3c7backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ea…59a1backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 192 | 38%73 W · 119 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0b…f901backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 999.96$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.98 | 359 | 53.2%191 W · 168 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed TheMongolz | 59c | 949.96$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.08 | 554 | 41.2%228 W · 326 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Natus Vincere | 39c | 941.58$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.22 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Natus Vincere | 40c | 887.98$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.19 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x054a…3c39backed TheMongolz | 59c | 862.28$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…a7abbacked TheMongolz | 60c | 750$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.76 | 164 | 47%77 W · 87 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 736.24$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.56 | 480 | 40%192 W · 288 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf055…02b5backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eab…4822backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed TheMongolz | 61c | 661.77$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.25 | 500 | 51.4%257 W · 243 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed TheMongolz | 60c | 613.06$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.27 | 470 | 53.2%250 W · 220 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…d731backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 588.75$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.5 | 198 | 40.9%81 W · 117 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed TheMongolz | 57c | 576.4$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.51 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Natus Vincere | 41c | 527.56$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.3 | 183 | 36.6%67 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Natus Vincere | 41c | 519.51$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214 | 325 | 42.2%137 W · 188 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed TheMongolz | 59c | 509.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.19 | 1,998 | 53.7%1,073 W · 925 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…afabbacked Natus Vincere | 41c | 505$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.05 | 496 | 51.2%254 W · 242 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Natus Vincere | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed TheMongolz | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Natus Vincere | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…8472backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d95…9e68backed TheMongolz | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Natus Vincere | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 314 | 51.6%162 W · 152 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…72a1backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 402.27$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.91 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9943…67b7backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 388.9$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.45 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Natus Vincere | 42c | 382.68$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.12 | 1,476 | 51.8%765 W · 711 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64f4…b38ebacked Natus Vincere | 40c | 375$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f41…547cbacked TheMongolz | 60c | 363.82$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.53 | 244 | 47.1%115 W · 129 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed TheMongolz | 56c | 262$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.28 | 261 | 55.2%144 W · 117 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked TheMongolz | 63c | 257.62$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.53 | 1,768 | 59.2%1,047 W · 721 L | +105.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Natus Vincere | 41c | 251.22$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 633 | 41.9%265 W · 368 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked Natus Vincere | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 391 | 57.5%225 W · 166 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Natus Vincere | 42c | 240$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed TheMongolz | 58c | 239$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.38 | 738 | 54.5%402 W · 336 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 236.89$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.12 | 2,309 | 45.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L | -62.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 227.12$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.58 | 219 | 45.7%100 W · 119 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 982 | 48.3%474 W · 508 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked TheMongolz | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Natus Vincere | 40c | 196.25$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.5 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee4b…43dcbacked Natus Vincere | 40c | 187.26$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.48 | 380 | 51.3%195 W · 185 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52be…801ebacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 181.12$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.76 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fb…3f95backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 175.61$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69dc…0cf5backed TheMongolz | 65c | 171.8$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.28 | 78 | 66.7%52 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Natus Vincere | 39c | 171.79$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5537…f9c8backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 167.83$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 302 | 59.3%179 W · 123 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8c…e548backed TheMongolz | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb27d…3cc3backed TheMongolz | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88f2…a6c1backed TheMongolz | 60c | 154.75$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.41 | 130 | 53.1%69 W · 61 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked TheMongolz | 59c | 150$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 821 | 46.3%380 W · 441 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x626f…cdfabacked Natus Vincere | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 319 | 33.5%107 W · 212 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked TheMongolz | 60c | 139.99$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked TheMongolz | 56c | 136.8$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 979 | 52.4%513 W · 466 L | +26.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5338…f428backed TheMongolz | 61c | 132.79$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.79 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39e4…f089backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 128.9$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.85 | 317 | 38.8%123 W · 194 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8494…814abacked Natus Vincere | 38c | 128.43$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 125$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.25 | 374 | 53.2%199 W · 175 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc40…4c26backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 124.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda33…cd9abacked Natus Vincere | 40c | 124.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 148 | 56.1%83 W · 65 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Natus Vincere | 40c | 119.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 132 | 40.9%54 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf54b…91f7backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 118.6$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 165 | 38.8%64 W · 101 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x320b…6057backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 104.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 210 | 63.3%133 W · 77 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b8…deb6backed TheMongolz | 61c | 103.28$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.28 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57e1…c97fbacked Natus Vincere | 40c | 102$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | +10.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…da67backed TheMongolz | 60c | 100.06$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.06 | 387 | 54.8%212 W · 175 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed TheMongolz | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 358 | 57.8%207 W · 151 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb974…6be7backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Natus Vincere | 41c | 98.76$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.76 | 305 | 45.9%140 W · 165 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbb…3df5backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 95$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.95 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed TheMongolz | 60c | 89.45$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.36 | 347 | 50.7%176 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 87.71$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2846…267fbacked Natus Vincere | 40c | 87.49$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d515backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 87.17$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.61 | 205 | 56.6%116 W · 89 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…5152backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 84.48$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | +12.0wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4b…c865backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 82.93$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cf…80febacked TheMongolz | 74c | 81.19$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…3bbebacked Natus Vincere | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 384 | 52.1%200 W · 184 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3Natus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 WinnerTheMongolz won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs TheMongolz (+3.5)TheMongolz won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs TheMongolz (+3.5)TheMongolz won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs TheMongolz (+3.5)Natus Vincere won
- Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Natus Vincere won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.