TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x26b8…deb6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
65
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NBA, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 59 out of 100; worst CS2 at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1668.8%11 W · 5 L+3.2wins+0.20per pick49cpaid+49.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+249.6%+$184.69
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$124.44
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$211.55
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.88
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.55
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+203%+$142.73
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$75.06
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$218.64
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$24.7
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$11.28
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$11.28
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$45.57
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$60.48
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+51.7%+$21.18
All 16 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$47.82
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$55.26
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangersbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$28.17
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.54
New York Yankees vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.8
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-4.5)backed Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$121.65
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$70.34
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$92.31
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padresbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+98.5%+$54.15
All 15 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+27.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+498.7%+$174.54
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$35.29
United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$26.35
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$23.33
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.85
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$62
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 13 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-63.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.27
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$28.26
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winnerbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$40.28
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
All 8 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+353.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+525%+$78.75
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+181.6%+$172.53
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$41.69
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$44
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+56%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreevabacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+117.9%+$252.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.