MLB · resolved market
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc272bccb0b75c597c79a2ea6693017d467ab1580d74ac24194b1fcfae4923709
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Boston Red Soxof Atlanta Braves, Boston Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,024,548
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,027,615
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,024,548 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 468 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 302,980$154,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148,460.06 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 186,412$91,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91,341.88 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Boston Red Sox | 50c | 99,998$50,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,732.32 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Atlanta Braves | 49c | 95,053$46,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,575.97 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Atlanta Braves | 48c | 62,513$30,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,006.17 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 55,170$27,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,257.21 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 49,443$25,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,732.56 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Atlanta Braves | 43c | 45,273$19,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,261.9 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 39,950$21,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,127.79 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Atlanta Braves | 47c | 32,153$15,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,070.91 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 30,000$14,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,100 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Atlanta Braves | 56c | 24,890$13,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,990.3 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…f29bbacked Atlanta Braves | 49c | 20,797$10,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,191.6 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d6…be17backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 20,618$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Atlanta Braves | 49c | 20,000$9,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,699.99 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Boston Red Sox | 53c | 18,543$9,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,729.57 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 15,503$7,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,185.84 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 15,483$7,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,524.31 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 15,371$7,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,525.99 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 14,067$7,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,752.03 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0a…a9bebacked Atlanta Braves | 34c | 13,000$4,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,384.91 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc71…2c40backed Atlanta Braves | 5c | 12,946$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Atlanta Braves | 48c | 12,000$5,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,759.94 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Boston Red Sox | 52c | 11,600$6,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,568 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb56d…d621backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 10,226$5,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,010.8 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Atlanta Braves | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,799.85 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 9,434$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 8,770$4,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200.55 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb38f…5048backed Atlanta Braves | 51c | 7,641$3,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,920 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 7,607$3,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,727.45 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Atlanta Braves | 51c | 5,972$3,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,060.61 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Boston Red Sox | 48c | 5,756$2,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,993.24 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Boston Red Sox | 49c | 5,621$2,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,838.92 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 5,197$2,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,494.78 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,449.9 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 4,887$2,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,420.81 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 4,783$2,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,343.46 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 4,717$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed Boston Red Sox | 80c | 4,668$3,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.58 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 4,516$2,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,194.25 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Boston Red Sox | 52c | 4,263$2,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,046.46 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab4e…c4a0backed Boston Red Sox | 48c | 4,161$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,161.18 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x548a…e58abacked Atlanta Braves | 3c | 3,955$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.26 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Boston Red Sox | 51c | 3,675$1,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,783.64 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1a…41d5backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 3,614$1,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 3,467$1,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,634.82 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 3,237$1,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,607.69 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.99 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Boston Red Sox | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.96 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 2,752$1,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,354.15 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Boston Red Sox | 48c | 2,737$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,423.25 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Boston Red Sox | 47c | 2,604$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.12 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Boston Red Sox | 47c | 2,562$1,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,357.86 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Atlanta Braves | 1c | 2,505$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Atlanta Braves | 48c | 2,100$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Boston Red Sox | 49c | 2,020$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.81 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Atlanta Braves | 48c | 2,005$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.86 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Atlanta Braves | 1c | 2,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 1,946$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.84 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…d601backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…65cebacked Boston Red Sox | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 1,881$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.75 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Boston Red Sox | 74c | 1,852$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.89 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 1,709$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.32 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Boston Red Sox | 52c | 1,667$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.16 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Atlanta Braves | 29c | 1,643$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.35 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Boston Red Sox | 49c | 1,634$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.26 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9905…add3backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 1,633$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Boston Red Sox | 51c | 1,607$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.3 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19bd…ae36backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 1,596$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.52 | 186 | 52.7%98 W · 88 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Boston Red Sox | 60c | 1,528$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.84 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Atlanta Braves | 48c | 1,500$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 1,418$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.34 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb333…c7eebacked Atlanta Braves | 57c | 1,411$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.73 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Atlanta Braves | 51c | 1,388$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.87 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…3e8fbacked Atlanta Braves | 54c | 1,364$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.09 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -6.9wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 1,347$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.5 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Atlanta Braves | 17c | 1,307$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.18 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 1,300$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Atlanta Braves | 49c | 1,224$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…dbbbbacked Boston Red Sox | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 1,167$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.38 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 1,066$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.34 | 449 | 53.7%241 W · 208 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Boston Red Sox | 43c | 1,066$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.39 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Boston Red Sox | 48c | 1,050$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.8 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Atlanta Braves | 7c | 1,049$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.11 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 1,047$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.16 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Atlanta Braves | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 192 | 46.9%90 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 1,019$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Boston Red Sox | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Atlanta Braves | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5406…20b0backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 999.98$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.99 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0602…a12ebacked Atlanta Braves | 45c | 939.54$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.83 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Soxthis page
- Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 11.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 5.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 6.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-3.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-5.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red SoxNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.