MLB · resolved market

Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f7b96b75c3bb143b528572959dd83a31366f361fa9fc085726cdd1c17d7aa88

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: May 27, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $30,281
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $30,647

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,281 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5268…135dbacked Over	47c	2,863$1,341 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,341.5	11,357	52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L	+209.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb91a…3987backed Over	47c	2,525$1,177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,177.26	135	61.5%83 W · 52 L	+15.2wins	+0.11per pick	50cpaid	+24.5%equal weight	61+0.09 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Under	53c	2,496$1,323 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,173.17	779	51.1%398 W · 381 L	+6.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Over	47c	2,403$1,123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,123.38	866	53%459 W · 407 L	+16.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Over	49c	2,000$980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$980	246	51.6%127 W · 119 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under	54c	2,000$1,090 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$909.99	1,063	48.2%512 W · 551 L	-11.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under	53c	1,723$913 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$810.02	3,453	51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L	+58.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Under	53c	1,555$824 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$730.85	1,352	50.8%687 W · 665 L	+13.3wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x914a…920fbacked Under	39c	1,117$435 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$681.99	49	59.2%29 W · 20 L	+4.3wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under	54c	1,087$587 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500.02	680	53.2%362 W · 318 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over	47c	1,050$494 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$493.5	737	48.4%357 W · 380 L	-7.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under	53c	1,000$530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$470	2,407	48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L	-62.3wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over	49c	909.82$445 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$445.01	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	46c	821.38$380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$441.62	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Over	45c	821$373 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$372.84	2,369	47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under	52c	800$416 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$384	859	52.6%452 W · 407 L	+7.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under	44c	765.8$339 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$426.6	3,792	45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L	-5.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Under	53c	614.95$326 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$289.03	655	49.3%323 W · 332 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Over	49c	600$294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$294	186	49.5%92 W · 94 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	69c	501.29$346 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$155.68	8,086	46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L	+29.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Over	47c	500$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235	550	52.4%288 W · 262 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under	54c	495.7$268 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$228.02	614	50.8%312 W · 302 L	+9.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	54c	429.37$232 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$197.51	5,401	50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L	+17.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over	48c	399.99$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.99	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Under	53c	308.42$164 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$143.98	1,056	48.3%510 W · 546 L	-16.2wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Under	55c	272.73$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.73	403	48.4%195 W · 208 L	-18.3wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa106…5abbbacked Under	55c	269.38$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121.22	197	52.3%103 W · 94 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under	51c	249.13$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121.32	9,728	46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L	+32.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Over	48c	247.92$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.02	890	53.1%473 W · 417 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2f0…78cfbacked Under	53c	206.29$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.29	28	60.7%17 W · 11 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	62cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over	59c	204.92$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.9	2,243	57.6%1,293 W · 950 L	+37.1wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Over	56c	197.84$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.77	5,234	56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L	+130.4wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x260b…aa9ebacked Over	48c	195.49$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.96	125	55.2%69 W · 56 L	+9.7wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under	54c	190$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.4	1,435	50%717 W · 718 L	+25.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over	40c	183.1$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.83	10,846	51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L	+137.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Under	53c	175$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.25	770	50.5%389 W · 381 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	37c	173.76$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.3	8,295	47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L	+72.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed Over	49c	165.31$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81	395	53.7%212 W · 183 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Under	52c	158.87$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.26	2,104	51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L	+11.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over	13c	158$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.45	996	24.6%245 W · 751 L	-70.1wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over	47c	150.09$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.1	1,062	49.2%523 W · 539 L	-11.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Over	45c	148.71$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.92	95	53.7%51 W · 44 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x085b…ab9fbacked Over	35c	141.94$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.68	339	34.5%117 W · 222 L	-9.3wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bfb…60febacked Over	45c	117.78$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa20d…eadebacked Over	45c	110.6$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	204	46.6%95 W · 109 L	-10.2wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4193…4853backed Under	55c	100$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45	846	51.5%436 W · 410 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x74dd…f3c5backed Under	78c	100$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22	112	54.5%61 W · 51 L	-6.5wins	-0.06per pick	60cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Under	55c	100$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45	465	57.2%266 W · 199 L	+11.3wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa04d…1488backed Over	36c	98.55$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.36	447	37.4%167 W · 280 L	-24.1wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc50…df9bbacked Under	52c	96.15$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.15	43	60.5%26 W · 17 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdf16…b409backed Under	53c	94.34$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.34	58	46.6%27 W · 31 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4dea…5e23backed Over	46c	83.74$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.57	425	50.1%213 W · 212 L	+8.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under	44c	80.72$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.46	3,208	51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L	+146.6wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over	35c	68$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.8	1,843	43.6%804 W · 1,039 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Over	46c	55$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.3	726	48.1%349 W · 377 L	-17.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x55d6…1f24backed Under	55c	53.54$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.2	312	58%181 W · 131 L	+15.0wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under	49c	50.77$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.78	5,786	43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L	-192.2wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Over	48c	50$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	1,498	45.3%678 W · 820 L	-8.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07c0…5dd2backed Under	53c	50$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.5	184	58.2%107 W · 77 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	56c	46.21$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.23	4,478	48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L	-47.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over	45c	45.73$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.58	994	47.3%470 W · 524 L	-6.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Under	45c	44$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.16	1,879	40.6%763 W · 1,116 L	-39.9wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ded…3350backed Over	71c	43.55$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.9	81	40.7%33 W · 48 L	-3.6wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8eae…f9d1backed Under	52c	41.35$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.85	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+1.1wins	+0.12per pick	43cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b2a…0a73backed Under	54c	37.04$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.04	254	48.4%123 W · 131 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e53…922dbacked Under	55c	36.36$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.36	297	47.1%140 W · 157 L	-7.7wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Over	42c	36.36$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.34	6,303	48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L	+181.4wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Over	45c	30$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	827	41.1%340 W · 487 L	-21.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over	49c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.7	619	48.6%301 W · 318 L	+5.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under	43c	25.12$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.32	1,218	55.6%677 W · 541 L	+94.9wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xff29…f008backed Under	51c	25$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.25	119	49.6%59 W · 60 L	-7.6wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe840…733cbacked Under	54c	24.41$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.23	125	41.6%52 W · 73 L	-13.5wins	-0.11per pick	52cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Over	42c	24$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.08	997	44.1%440 W · 557 L	-38.0wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a85…e543backed Under	52c	21.57$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.32	146	43.8%64 W · 82 L	-5.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Under	52c	20.9$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.03	704	55%387 W · 317 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5this page
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red SoxBoston Red Sox won
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5Under won
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 11.5Under won
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 5.5Over won
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 6.5Over won
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5Over won
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5Under won
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-3.5)Boston Red Sox won
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-5.5)Boston Red Sox won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red SoxNo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event