MLB · resolved market
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd13d5532bb192a612103a96cfd4873b8df02091fc2a599de0a2faff13e0a3f65
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minnesota Twinsof Chicago White Sox, Minnesota Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,281,014
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,397,923
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,281,014 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 508 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Chicago White Sox | 42c | 308,809$129,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129,867.68 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked Minnesota Twins | 58c | 100,000$58,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,000 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x535c…96babacked Minnesota Twins | 58c | 100,000$58,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,000 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 88,621$50,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,107 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Minnesota Twins | 59c | 59,999$35,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,869.74 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Chicago White Sox | 42c | 59,535$24,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,828.44 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72d8…5213backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 50,000$28,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,500 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +9.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago White Sox | 35c | 40,161$14,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,005.14 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Minnesota Twins | 65c | 35,939$23,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,520.8 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 35,921$20,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,446.05 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Minnesota Twins | 56c | 33,651$18,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,806.3 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1e…82c9backed Chicago White Sox | 34c | 29,730$9,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,984.92 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Chicago White Sox | 46c | 26,006$11,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,934.43 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 25,251$14,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,857.93 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Minnesota Twins | 57c | 20,000$11,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,675 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 17,544$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,543.86 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Chicago White Sox | 43c | 17,022$7,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,319.6 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Chicago White Sox | 44c | 16,400$7,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,216 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0a…a9bebacked Chicago White Sox | 44c | 16,000$7,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,040 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc08c…4b12backed Chicago White Sox | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Minnesota Twins | 64c | 14,236$9,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,080.01 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d01…7763backed Chicago White Sox | 32c | 13,700$4,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,391.4 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Minnesota Twins | 62c | 13,035$8,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,907.41 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Minnesota Twins | 66c | 11,691$7,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,958.76 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f92…1862backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 10,439$5,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,488.6 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 10,061$5,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,351.17 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 8,483$4,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,647.69 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Chicago White Sox | 34c | 8,354$2,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,802.97 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 7,883$4,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,318.47 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Chicago White Sox | 41c | 7,596$3,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,116.7 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Minnesota Twins | 57c | 7,000$3,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,010 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Chicago White Sox | 0c | 6,300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Minnesota Twins | 66c | 5,944$3,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,013.03 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfc…1818backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 4,862$2,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,042.04 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33d0…f7ebbacked Minnesota Twins | 57c | 4,854$2,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,087.05 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago White Sox | 33c | 4,817$1,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,597.99 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Chicago White Sox | 31c | 4,805$1,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489.42 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Minnesota Twins | 59c | 4,500$2,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,845 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 4,386$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,885.96 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c2d…6443backed Minnesota Twins | 56c | 4,315$2,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,898.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Chicago White Sox | 43c | 4,211$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Chicago White Sox | 33c | 4,062$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340.38 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 3,796$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,595.98 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Minnesota Twins | 62c | 3,744$2,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,428.41 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95c3…26abbacked Minnesota Twins | 58c | 3,647$2,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,531.74 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 3,554$2,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,528.24 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde76…7d17backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 3,498$1,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,503.93 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab4e…c4a0backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 3,486$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,485.58 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17e9…aba8backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 3,480$1,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…2485backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 3,450$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…65cebacked Minnesota Twins | 45c | 3,383$1,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,854.33 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf518…07bcbacked Chicago White Sox | 16c | 3,359$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.26 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -7.4wins | -0.23per pick | 42cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf7…645abacked Minnesota Twins | 58c | 3,350$1,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 3,336$1,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424.52 | 285 | 53.3%152 W · 133 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f72…0841backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 3,333$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,433.33 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff93…1239backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 3,332$1,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.44 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Chicago White Sox | 17c | 3,232$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.24 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Chicago White Sox | 46c | 3,226$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff92…0e6fbacked Minnesota Twins | 58c | 3,223$1,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.66 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9830…20f7backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 3,198$1,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.16 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf776…bd5cbacked Chicago White Sox | 40c | 3,185$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -56%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Chicago White Sox | 41c | 3,171$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Minnesota Twins | 56c | 3,157$1,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.14 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabd0…e262backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 3,088$1,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296.96 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Minnesota Twins | 59c | 3,060$1,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,252.16 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2f…3709backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 3,029$1,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.18 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Chicago White Sox | 17c | 3,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ab…8cefbacked Minnesota Twins | 58c | 2,924$1,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.08 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c9…0733backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 2,880$1,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.6 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2db…859bbacked Minnesota Twins | 58c | 2,845$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.9 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2b…9030backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 2,772$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.91 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 64cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bf…5c1bbacked Minnesota Twins | 58c | 2,742$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.64 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0b…dcd1backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 2,734$1,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.28 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b79…0149backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 2,709$1,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137.78 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x532d…0553backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 2,615$1,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.3 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2a…1fcabacked Minnesota Twins | 58c | 2,586$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.21 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9324…7fbdbacked Minnesota Twins | 58c | 2,565$1,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.3 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa252…dbf4backed Minnesota Twins | 80c | 2,500$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 50 | 70%35 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…a565backed Chicago White Sox | 44c | 2,446$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.09 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 2,438$1,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.47 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4c…fc89backed Chicago White Sox | 40c | 2,369$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 298 | 43.6%130 W · 168 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…e6d4backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 2,255$1,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.62 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1171…98dcbacked Minnesota Twins | 56c | 2,217$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.48 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…b16ebacked Minnesota Twins | 58c | 2,201$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.28 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…1a84backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 2,157$1,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.51 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 2,147$1,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.22 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Minnesota Twins | 77c | 2,116$1,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.25 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 2,100$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Chicago White Sox | 2c | 2,014$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.73 | 660 | 56.2%371 W · 289 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddc…03c3backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 2,004$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.63 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Minnesota Twins | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 241 | 50.6%122 W · 119 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Chicago White Sox | 31c | 1,978$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.75 | 84 | 31%26 W · 58 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…d601backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 1,930$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.21 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Chicago White Sox | 50c | 1,879$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.57 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…04d7backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 1,791$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.09 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Minnesota Twins | 69c | 1,791$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.94 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ee…5506backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 1,750$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Chicago White Sox | 41c | 1,729$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Minnesota Twins | 51c | 1,713$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.35 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Minnesota Twins | 60c | 1,677$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.8 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twinsthis page
- Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 10.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 11.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 5.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 6.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-2.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-3.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-4.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota TwinsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.