TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Minnesota Twinsof Chicago White Sox, Minnesota Twins
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,102
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,040

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,102 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Chicago White Sox17c1,192$201 inLost-$201.038,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Minnesota Twins70c708.21$499 inWon+$209.4611,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Minnesota Twins64c468.58$300 inWon+$168.6910,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae51…0d08backed Chicago White Sox36c468.58$169 inLost-$168.6936440.1%146 W · 218 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Chicago White Sox29c415.55$121 inLost-$120.514,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Minnesota Twins70c319.92$225 inWon+$94.524,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb885…e677backed Chicago White Sox31c319.88$98 inLost-$97.884443.2%19 W · 25 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a8…6764backed Chicago White Sox29c313.69$91 inLost-$90.9726438.3%101 W · 163 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Minnesota Twins70c203.4$143 inWon+$60.251,05648.3%510 W · 546 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc37e…9e64backed Chicago White Sox29c137.93$40 inLost-$4029553.2%157 W · 138 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6513…5ba3backed Chicago White Sox27c102.96$28 inLost-$281030%3 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Chicago White Sox28c96.7$27 inLost-$27.085,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Chicago White Sox30c90.54$27 inLost-$26.843,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked Minnesota Twins72c55.56$40 inWon+$15.5613672.1%98 W · 38 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick74cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20c7…bc23backed Chicago White Sox31c54.84$17 inLost-$1710536.2%38 W · 67 L-8.4wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-18.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Minnesota Twins62c51.85$32 inWon+$19.8545952.9%243 W · 216 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0905…e5c0backed Chicago White Sox47c50$24 inLost-$23.51,66143.5%722 W · 939 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Minnesota Twins71c48$34 inWon+$13.9278155.6%434 W · 347 L+28.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Minnesota Twins70c42.85$30 inWon+$12.8694549%463 W · 482 L-38.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Chicago White Sox28c39.31$11 inLost-$11.013,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbf3…70e3backed Minnesota Twins71c28.16$20 inWon+$8.1714057.9%81 W · 59 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Minnesota Twins66c18.78$12 inWon+$6.311,70849.9%852 W · 856 L-17.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Minnesota Twins70c15$11 inWon+$4.51,17249.1%575 W · 597 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.