TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Falconsof Team Falcons, Monte
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$519,558
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$590,758

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $519,558 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 381 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x880b…c98bbacked Monte37c112,695$41,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,247.7941040%164 W · 246 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Team Falcons65c100,000$65,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,999.9923355.4%129 W · 104 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89dd…f662backed Monte32c54,014$17,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,172.956940.6%28 W · 41 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Team Falcons68c45,676$31,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,672.9776058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6373…a0b7backed Monte22c29,861$6,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,5484526.7%12 W · 33 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5faf…1183backed Team Falcons52c15,000$7,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,199.9910935.8%39 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb64f…ef50backed Monte0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe02…be9dbacked Team Falcons68c10,000$6,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,199.9831253.5%167 W · 145 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Team Falcons78c7,882$6,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,751.921,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1032…c372backed Team Falcons69c7,246$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,246.387157.7%41 W · 30 L+8.6wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+27.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xeb43…4201backed Monte50c5,544$2,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,766.061844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Monte30c5,319$1,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,588.251,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked Monte39c5,160$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0009232.6%30 W · 62 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96f7…d6aebacked Monte13c4,619$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.6522129.9%66 W · 155 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x634a…6de3backed Team Falcons67c4,600$3,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,496.9542651.6%220 W · 206 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa927…8d9fbacked Team Falcons60c4,594$2,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,851.534559.1%204 W · 141 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c05…9e9fbacked Monte24c4,168$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002920.7%6 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-48.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c30…54a2backed Team Falcons68c3,267$2,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.583066.7%20 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Monte38c3,001$1,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,138.978639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Falcons74c2,899$2,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.941,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf424…9723backed Monte25c2,262$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.9621135.5%75 W · 136 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked Team Falcons69c2,255$1,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.0732542.2%137 W · 188 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed Team Falcons78c2,131$1,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.6338868.3%265 W · 123 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+3.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Falcons69c2,019$1,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.56,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd92c…dd9abacked Monte46c2,000$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.055246.2%24 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x49ac…2f1ebacked Team Falcons54c1,853$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$853.3327751.6%143 W · 134 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40ba…7ea5backed Monte17c1,694$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.7742057.6%242 W · 178 L+19.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb726…4d2bbacked Team Falcons62c1,614$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.878741.4%36 W · 51 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Team Falcons59c1,600$944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65651252.3%268 W · 244 L+16.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Falcons65c1,500$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5252,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Monte40c1,500$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.2245455.1%250 W · 204 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5838…8ca6backed Team Falcons67c1,500$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4955152.9%27 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Team Falcons54c1,483$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.3375245.5%342 W · 410 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Team Falcons67c1,470$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.145639.3%179 W · 277 L-29.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd925…f36fbacked Team Falcons66c1,433$951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.429054.4%49 W · 41 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8cbf…0eb4backed Monte48c1,424$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.6737157.7%214 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9897…c033backed Monte32c1,420$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.397548%36 W · 39 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Falcons67c1,407$949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.481,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8ab…e495backed Monte41c1,329$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.061225%3 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-47%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe6f…b760backed Monte32c1,300$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.9931647.5%150 W · 166 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cc7…43e5backed Monte28c1,284$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.877716.9%13 W · 64 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-48%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a44…5770backed Team Falcons67c1,283$861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.55966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10b2…9ac1backed Monte39c1,272$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50021137.4%79 W · 132 L-9.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x969f…cbdcbacked Monte36c1,260$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.5962738.8%243 W · 384 L-31.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Monte38c1,260$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.444,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Monte31c1,213$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.992,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Team Falcons77c1,150$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.441,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Team Falcons75c1,124$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.723,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Team Falcons73c1,107$809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.721,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x495d…68d8backed Team Falcons47c1,065$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.6817554.9%96 W · 79 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed Monte16c1,024$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.7841716.5%69 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee80…f34ebacked Team Falcons67c1,010$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.2535460.7%215 W · 139 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x146c…b807backed Monte4c1,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4040048.8%195 W · 205 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Monte32c1,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32039548.6%192 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x951f…e430backed Team Falcons60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40012441.1%51 W · 73 L-7.6wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa76e…f812backed Team Falcons52c999.99$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4805446.3%25 W · 29 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Monte32c999.98$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.991,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9def…6eacbacked Team Falcons53c949.98$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.4920358.1%118 W · 85 L+22.4wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+25%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Team Falcons57c924.05$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.0581751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x568d…87d0backed Monte33c909.09$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30028943.6%126 W · 163 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ab7…756bbacked Monte32c893.75$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28610337.9%39 W · 64 L-0.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d03…100ebacked Team Falcons68c882.35$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.3541069.3%284 W · 126 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1d9…5333backed Team Falcons69c869.56$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.5613253.8%71 W · 61 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b5a…1457backed Team Falcons72c804.36$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.7121143.1%91 W · 120 L-0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2785…ce75backed Team Falcons74c800.52$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.1413550.4%68 W · 67 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x370d…a9e0backed Monte32c800$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2566028.3%17 W · 43 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e43…6583backed Team Falcons68c799.9$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.9713360.2%80 W · 53 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1eab…4822backed Monte39c769.23$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011551.3%59 W · 56 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91e8…f1abbacked Monte41c762.67$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.4318654.8%102 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b97…b74fbacked Monte47c761.35$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.014443.2%19 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked Team Falcons50c750$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37517853.9%96 W · 82 L+0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed Team Falcons68c735.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.291,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Monte15c711.67$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.432,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc50c…fe5dbacked Team Falcons54c703.7$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.74660.9%28 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5113…b692backed Team Falcons56c701.38$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.63652.8%19 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Monte32c700$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22453444.9%240 W · 294 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5dd…642abacked Monte43c699.16$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Monte20c697.6$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.531,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Team Falcons67c671.64$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.6496545.7%441 W · 524 L+10.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc99…ce7ebacked Monte46c667.5$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.1818933.9%64 W · 125 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Team Falcons67c638.04$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.5544957.5%258 W · 191 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-5.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6787…e54abacked Team Falcons72c627.57$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.746858.8%40 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf280…d801backed Monte32c625$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008348.2%40 W · 43 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4891…2a07backed Monte40c621.79$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked Monte32c613.88$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.4425846.1%119 W · 139 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Monte49c612.65$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006854.4%37 W · 31 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x491d…f42bbacked Monte54c610.04$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.428758.6%51 W · 36 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e69…7f76backed Monte40c599.98$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.9932346.1%149 W · 174 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed Monte28c579.01$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.1261034.3%209 W · 401 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d95…9e68backed Monte37c545.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005440.7%22 W · 32 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x177e…c244backed Monte50c541.8$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.2116633.7%56 W · 110 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ac…c9f4backed Team Falcons80c534.84$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.0724756.7%140 W · 107 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecc7…01e0backed Monte19c519.38$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977839.7%31 W · 47 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+20.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Team Falcons65c507.69$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.6932844.8%147 W · 181 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb417…d931backed Team Falcons60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2006446.9%30 W · 34 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed Monte3c499.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155740%0 W · 574 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed Team Falcons53c499.99$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23523354.9%128 W · 105 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa453…b665backed Monte15c499.99$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759655.2%53 W · 43 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xddfb…d9bfbacked Monte54c499.98$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.99955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Team Falcons69c492.86$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.132,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.