MLB · resolved market
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1812275913f5bef39700613529b88b4f03c64cc6ce196511d54f0a531ac3bbf9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philadelphia Philliesof San Diego Padres, Philadelphia Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,156,172
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,173,495
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,156,172 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 505 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked San Diego Padres | 34c | 445,957$151,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151,165.69 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 264,513$174,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89,934.51 | 505 | 53.5%270 W · 235 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked San Diego Padres | 33c | 220,000$72,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72,599.98 | 133 | 40.6%54 W · 79 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Philadelphia Phillies | 67c | 120,000$80,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,600 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed San Diego Padres | 33c | 92,381$30,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,485.69 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 84,000$55,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,559.97 | 771 | 53.8%415 W · 356 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 67c | 63,278$42,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,881.74 | 925 | 54.1%500 W · 425 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Philadelphia Phillies | 67c | 42,960$28,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,176.94 | 883 | 49.3%435 W · 448 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Philadelphia Phillies | 68c | 27,051$18,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,638.32 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked San Diego Padres | 7c | 23,506$1,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,545.96 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked San Diego Padres | 33c | 17,000$5,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,609.96 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f92…1862backed Philadelphia Phillies | 67c | 16,824$11,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,551.88 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 67c | 15,312$10,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,052.96 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 15,000$9,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 1,301 | 50.2%653 W · 648 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 14,000$9,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,759.96 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 67c | 13,773$9,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,568.35 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 13,000$8,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,420 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 12,098$7,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,113.3 | 277 | 53.1%147 W · 130 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 67c | 11,970$7,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,005.75 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Philadelphia Phillies | 67c | 10,919$7,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,603.21 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9e…1997backed Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 10,052$6,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,417.69 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe16e…c3c7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 67c | 10,002$6,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300.65 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 67c | 9,986$6,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,261.58 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 70c | 9,750$6,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,966.97 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 9,100$5,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,173.99 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Philadelphia Phillies | 67c | 7,777$5,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,566.41 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Philadelphia Phillies | 71c | 7,641$5,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,194.23 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed San Diego Padres | 15c | 7,234$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.4 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Philadelphia Phillies | 70c | 6,059$4,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,810.06 | 970 | 44.9%436 W · 534 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 5,997$3,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,038.82 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed San Diego Padres | 35c | 5,203$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked San Diego Padres | 24c | 4,963$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.55 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Philadelphia Phillies | 76c | 4,358$3,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.55 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 67c | 4,000$2,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7d…c130backed San Diego Padres | 17c | 3,924$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.83 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed San Diego Padres | 19c | 3,819$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.74 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 67c | 3,482$2,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.68 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd2…43f3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 67c | 3,464$2,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.28 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 3,255$2,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.56 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 74c | 3,200$2,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked San Diego Padres | 35c | 3,162$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.67 | 2,310 | 52.6%1,215 W · 1,095 L | +27.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed San Diego Padres | 33c | 3,038$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.37 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed San Diego Padres | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.99 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ee…89a4backed San Diego Padres | 36c | 2,778$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +7.7wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…65cebacked San Diego Padres | 33c | 2,284$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.73 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…d601backed San Diego Padres | 33c | 2,284$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.73 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 2,190$1,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.69 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed Philadelphia Phillies | 67c | 2,100$1,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36c8…53a9backed San Diego Padres | 35c | 2,083$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab4e…c4a0backed San Diego Padres | 34c | 2,059$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked San Diego Padres | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.99 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07e2…4b9cbacked San Diego Padres | 9c | 1,834$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.59 | 274 | 50.7%139 W · 135 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed San Diego Padres | 33c | 1,800$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.99 | 624 | 47.6%297 W · 327 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 1,792$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.14 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7885…1173backed San Diego Padres | 1c | 1,772$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.11 | 133 | 57.9%77 W · 56 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…ddd7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 67c | 1,721$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.07 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Philadelphia Phillies | 69c | 1,658$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.04 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7147…9a01backed San Diego Padres | 34c | 1,611$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed San Diego Padres | 27c | 1,565$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.41 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed San Diego Padres | 34c | 1,471$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 1,433$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.05 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 1,416$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.39 | 241 | 50.6%122 W · 119 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa252…dbf4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 80c | 1,400$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 50 | 70%35 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed San Diego Padres | 33c | 1,400$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.98 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed San Diego Padres | 33c | 1,315$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.95 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked San Diego Padres | 39c | 1,279$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.51 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Philadelphia Phillies | 67c | 1,250$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.5 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0267…7f7ebacked San Diego Padres | 36c | 1,210$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.18 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Philadelphia Phillies | 67c | 1,200$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed San Diego Padres | 34c | 1,185$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.6 | 1,418 | 43.4%616 W · 802 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed San Diego Padres | 31c | 1,139$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed San Diego Padres | 35c | 1,061$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.52 | 296 | 49.7%147 W · 149 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x372f…182abacked San Diego Padres | 1c | 1,052$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Philadelphia Phillies | 68c | 1,018$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.81 | 384 | 53.6%206 W · 178 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…dbbbbacked San Diego Padres | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 999.91$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.97 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked San Diego Padres | 3c | 899.19$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2df…1198backed Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 896.83$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.53 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed San Diego Padres | 34c | 882.35$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb197…4e02backed San Diego Padres | 34c | 859.98$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.11 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8413…5921backed Philadelphia Phillies | 69c | 820.77$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x104f…04aabacked San Diego Padres | 34c | 802.24$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.76 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 800$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked San Diego Padres | 34c | 799.97$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.99 | 712 | 53.4%380 W · 332 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 795$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.3 | 1,538 | 48.6%747 W · 791 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed San Diego Padres | 19c | 791.89$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.46 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf81f…1c7cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 71c | 786.52$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…0ac5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 783.52$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.9 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.58 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Philadelphia Phillies | 74c | 756.73$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.21 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Philadelphia Phillies | 67c | 739.3$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.97 | 484 | 46.7%226 W · 258 L | -33.7wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5999…bdbebacked San Diego Padres | 34c | 728.88$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.82 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed San Diego Padres | 34c | 714.29$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.86 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42ab…0d2dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 68c | 664.71$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.71 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked San Diego Padres | 34c | 654.99$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.7 | 1,326 | 44%583 W · 743 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1631…072dbacked San Diego Padres | 32c | 631.03$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.19 | 773 | 53.9%417 W · 356 L | +35.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed San Diego Padres | 34c | 621$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.24 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed San Diego Padres | 34c | 608.67$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.85 | 1,293 | 43.5%562 W · 731 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77ad…ba8abacked San Diego Padres | 10c | 604.73$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.12 | 64 | 15.6%10 W · 54 L | -8.0wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Philliesthis page
- San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 10.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 3.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 4.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 5.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 6.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-3.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-3.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia PhilliesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.