MLB · resolved market
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2dd76e222095079be0505d65c22f59c8c2d0815ee368e1ba9197ae264977514
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Diego Padresof Philadelphia Phillies, San Diego Padres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $135,768
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $138,080
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,768 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed San Diego Padres | 34c | 30,899$10,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,268.64 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked San Diego Padres | 37c | 24,817$9,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,749.46 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Philadelphia Phillies | 72c | 23,548$16,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,948.96 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0a…a9bebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 13,064$6,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,531.94 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 12,437$5,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,978.42 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 11,185$5,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,430.99 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 10,443$5,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,068.08 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 6,638$3,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,319.17 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Philadelphia Phillies | 70c | 4,483$3,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,135.29 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Philadelphia Phillies | 74c | 4,064$3,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,006.28 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed San Diego Padres | 52c | 3,895$2,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,885.65 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked San Diego Padres | 34c | 3,496$1,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,292.73 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 2,080$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.6 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 2,033$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.13 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed San Diego Padres | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 241 | 50.6%122 W · 119 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 1,595$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.5 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 77c | 1,529$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.98 | 660 | 56.2%371 W · 289 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 1,461$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.88 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Diego Padres | 27c | 1,420$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.24 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 1,378$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.03 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe478…28eabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 1,224$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked San Diego Padres | 50c | 1,132$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 1,030$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked San Diego Padres | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked San Diego Padres | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed San Diego Padres | 34c | 746.21$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.26 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 708.42$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.18 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed San Diego Padres | 27c | 589.33$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.72 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 74c | 540.08$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe046…9bc6backed Philadelphia Phillies | 75c | 533.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 111 | 58.6%65 W · 46 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1026…e794backed Philadelphia Phillies | 75c | 531.19$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…a4d5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 75c | 494.04$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.53 | 99 | 60.6%60 W · 39 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0e…704abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 75c | 494.04$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.53 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…0adfbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 75c | 491.42$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.19 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked San Diego Padres | 35c | 451.81$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.77 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked San Diego Padres | 53c | 419$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.93 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 412.81$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.15 | 296 | 56.1%166 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 410.62$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.2 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 410$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.9 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed San Diego Padres | 52c | 396.99$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.41 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 71c | 396.5$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.86 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Philadelphia Phillies | 75c | 377.24$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.83 | 726 | 55.4%402 W · 324 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 333.33$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 128 | 52.3%67 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…9613backed San Diego Padres | 68c | 329.41$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 228 | 67.1%153 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed San Diego Padres | 27c | 301.07$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.78 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 297.48$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.79 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed San Diego Padres | 27c | 282.02$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.77 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 262$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.38 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…005fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 260$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 260$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 299 | 50.5%151 W · 148 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 72c | 247.25$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.08 | 701 | 54.2%380 W · 321 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7772…0e56backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 204$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 208 | 48.6%101 W · 107 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 200.1$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.34 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked San Diego Padres | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 72c | 160.89$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.68 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75b6…8ad0backed San Diego Padres | 28c | 160.71$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.71 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 155.45$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.85 | 507 | 48.7%247 W · 260 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed San Diego Padres | 52c | 153.85$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.85 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed San Diego Padres | 35c | 153.07$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.76 | 694 | 47.6%330 W · 364 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked San Diego Padres | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed San Diego Padres | 53c | 132.08$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.08 | 475 | 49.7%236 W · 239 L | +17.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 131.64$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.51 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed San Diego Padres | 55c | 127.44$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.44 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25c1…7e8ebacked San Diego Padres | 52c | 126.92$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.92 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…375cbacked San Diego Padres | 13c | 125.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.26 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +33%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff68…8379backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f18…c075backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 115.58$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.95 | 411 | 52.3%215 W · 196 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58b6…c324backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 114.54$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.69 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked San Diego Padres | 36c | 109.19$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.82 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd190…e445backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 108$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…a9f2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 102$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.12 | 468 | 54.5%255 W · 213 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 102$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.12 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked San Diego Padres | 53c | 101.89$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.89 | 546 | 51.3%280 W · 266 L | +29.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked San Diego Padres | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.29 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.53 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdda1…7b5ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 76c | 91.5$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…3824backed San Diego Padres | 52c | 89$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.72 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf22b…0ce3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 88.43$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.87 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0c…14cebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 87.22$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.74 | 145 | 55.9%81 W · 64 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x372e…4ed8backed San Diego Padres | 34c | 87.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…f74bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 86$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed San Diego Padres | 39c | 84.16$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.47 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked San Diego Padres | 53c | 83.02$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.02 | 312 | 50%156 W · 156 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed San Diego Padres | 52c | 77$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 478 | 48.5%232 W · 246 L | -15.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed San Diego Padres | 28c | 72.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed San Diego Padres | 29c | 70.94$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.44 | 455 | 50.3%229 W · 226 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Philadelphia Phillies | 76c | 70.33$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.45 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed San Diego Padres | 52c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9af…f4f7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 72c | 66.4$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.02 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed San Diego Padres | 49c | 65.58$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.45 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5965…d26dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 63.14$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 164 | 50.6%83 W · 81 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked San Diego Padres | 28c | 63.07$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.41 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda09…16debacked Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed San Diego Padres | 27c | 60$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)this page
- San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia PhilliesPhiladelphia Phillies won
- San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 10.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 3.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 4.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 5.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 6.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-3.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-3.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia PhilliesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.