TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf22b…0ce3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
63
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NHL, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT3246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Diego Padres vs. Texas Rangersbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.04
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.42
Cleveland Guardians vs. Houston Astrosbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.54
Spread: Texas Rangers (-3.5)backed Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.57
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.71
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$11.58
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+88.3%+$18.54
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)backed St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$4.87
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$11.05
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.49
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$67.38
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+68.2%+$55.25
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.75
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)backed Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.87
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.28
Spread: New York Mets (-5.5)backed New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$24.68
Spread: New York Mets (-3.5)backed Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.72
New York Mets vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.18
New York Mets vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$17.3
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.29
Chicago White Sox vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.93
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$74.63
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$30.92
Clippers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.71
Nets vs. Lakersbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Jazz vs. Nuggets: O/U 248.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$245.39
Bulls vs. Thunderbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.95
Spread: Rockets (-12.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$209.36
Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Celtics (-4.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$22.17
Clippers vs. Pacers: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Clippers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick69cpaid+19.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Predators vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Capitals vs. Golden Knightsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$48.24
Canucks vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$10
Canadiens vs. Predatorsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$97.95
Senators vs. Lightningbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$327Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$327.45
Panthers vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$386Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$198.74
All 6 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.15
Duke Blue Devils vs. UCLA Bruins (W)backed Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.08
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$103.55
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$73.71
All 4 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.