Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Duke Blue Devils vs. UCLA Bruins (W)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3062784b25e6373e5e59face1e008233aaef5b89956e1c1128cbd46f229a45ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UCLA Bruinsof Duke Blue Devils, UCLA Bruins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,326
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,909
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,326 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Duke Blue Devils | 30c | 4,859$1,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,443.78 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf94f…9adabacked UCLA Bruins | 65c | 3,156$2,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x714d…6e05backed UCLA Bruins | 67c | 2,000$1,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.99 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked UCLA Bruins | 59c | 1,791$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.59 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed UCLA Bruins | 63c | 1,729$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.23 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Duke Blue Devils | 28c | 1,621$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.94 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 41cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…2812backed Duke Blue Devils | 7c | 1,450$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed UCLA Bruins | 74c | 1,380$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.79 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…b3b6backed Duke Blue Devils | 37c | 813.11$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Duke Blue Devils | 3c | 778.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Duke Blue Devils | 40c | 736$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.4 | 316 | 46.8%148 W · 168 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Duke Blue Devils | 15c | 661.11$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.17 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c08…3704backed Duke Blue Devils | 36c | 548.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Duke Blue Devils | 35c | 547.06$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.3 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed UCLA Bruins | 73c | 540.55$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.78 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Duke Blue Devils | 14c | 400$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.39 | 151 | 24.5%37 W · 114 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…efbcbacked Duke Blue Devils | 7c | 291.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 7cpaid | +585.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10bf…313abacked UCLA Bruins | 76c | 242.22$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6477…4243backed Duke Blue Devils | 23c | 238.38$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e55…ff92backed Duke Blue Devils | 47c | 213.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x103a…3e8cbacked Duke Blue Devils | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed UCLA Bruins | 56c | 196.32$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.92 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed UCLA Bruins | 57c | 195.26$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.86 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Duke Blue Devils | 39c | 152$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.28 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed UCLA Bruins | 74c | 140.14$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.94 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d56…a287backed Duke Blue Devils | 25c | 136.71$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.18 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6c…d024backed UCLA Bruins | 74c | 135.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Duke Blue Devils | 13c | 130.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 195 | 22.1%43 W · 152 L | -36.3wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed Duke Blue Devils | 47c | 125.91$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.88 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked Duke Blue Devils | 47c | 125.28$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.88 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b6…d7cebacked Duke Blue Devils | 47c | 125.28$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.88 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf22b…0ce3backed Duke Blue Devils | 36c | 123.93$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked UCLA Bruins | 75c | 120$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked UCLA Bruins | 78c | 119$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked UCLA Bruins | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed UCLA Bruins | 57c | 98.25$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9963…0cfdbacked Duke Blue Devils | 24c | 95.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Duke Blue Devils | 38c | 84.25$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.19 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed UCLA Bruins | 55c | 83.73$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.93 | 79 | 62%49 W · 30 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56cd…2ddcbacked Duke Blue Devils | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed UCLA Bruins | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 222 | 50%111 W · 111 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x917b…e433backed Duke Blue Devils | 47c | 62.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a56…478abacked Duke Blue Devils | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed UCLA Bruins | 55c | 55.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 67 | 65.7%44 W · 23 L | +8.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcf…f174backed Duke Blue Devils | 31c | 51.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76bb…4548backed Duke Blue Devils | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf829…5ee1backed Duke Blue Devils | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Duke Blue Devils | 37c | 48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 194 | 54.6%106 W · 88 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76a3…2aa6backed Duke Blue Devils | 38c | 37.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed UCLA Bruins | 68c | 34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…8b33backed Duke Blue Devils | 47c | 31.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62f9…ae42backed UCLA Bruins | 57c | 29.82$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x195f…8397backed Duke Blue Devils | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed UCLA Bruins | 54c | 25.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed UCLA Bruins | 77c | 22.49$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d90…3bbdbacked UCLA Bruins | 61c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed UCLA Bruins | 56c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd421…8531backed UCLA Bruins | 65c | 18.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2506…d291backed UCLA Bruins | 59c | 16.91$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed UCLA Bruins | 78c | 15.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…a6ddbacked UCLA Bruins | 77c | 13.49$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.1 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.