MLB · resolved market
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfdbba7f905701ebf33b6c83d38d8d39a1c40c49ea0f36d86bf0571aed682f2c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Yankeesof Cleveland Guardians, New York Yankees
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $449,578
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $438,530
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $449,578 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 473 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cleveland Guardians | 28c | 46,657$12,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,838.47 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Cleveland Guardians | 40c | 35,985$14,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,393.88 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed New York Yankees | 66c | 23,136$15,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,949.12 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 21,953$8,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,561.51 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed New York Yankees | 70c | 19,487$13,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,874.43 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Cleveland Guardians | 40c | 18,300$7,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,320 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed New York Yankees | 64c | 15,625$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,625 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b5…484ebacked New York Yankees | 61c | 13,600$8,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,303.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed New York Yankees | 60c | 12,500$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed New York Yankees | 61c | 12,212$7,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,762.58 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed New York Yankees | 61c | 11,993$7,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,677.16 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 11,641$4,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,522.05 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0a…a9bebacked Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 10,100$3,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,790.58 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9e…1997backed New York Yankees | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,100 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Cleveland Guardians | 37c | 9,700$3,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,622.05 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 8,284$3,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,230.83 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed New York Yankees | 80c | 8,151$6,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,630.16 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Cleveland Guardians | 20c | 7,694$1,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,551.13 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed New York Yankees | 60c | 7,157$4,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,888.85 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed Cleveland Guardians | 40c | 6,250$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed New York Yankees | 65c | 6,181$4,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150.81 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Cleveland Guardians | 36c | 6,032$2,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,196.66 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed New York Yankees | 64c | 5,812$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,112.26 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed New York Yankees | 61c | 5,303$3,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,073.2 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked New York Yankees | 63c | 4,852$3,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,805.75 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 4,271$1,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,765.5 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed New York Yankees | 60c | 4,167$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.67 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 4,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 241 | 50.6%122 W · 119 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cleveland Guardians | 30c | 3,606$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.53 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 3,420$1,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333.78 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed New York Yankees | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.35 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed New York Yankees | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed New York Yankees | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 2,935$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.65 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 40c | 2,782$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.62 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Cleveland Guardians | 40c | 2,618$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.11 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…ddd7backed New York Yankees | 59c | 2,477$1,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.41 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5762…90eebacked Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 2,314$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.73 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 2,129$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.51 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.99 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe98c…8792backed New York Yankees | 46c | 1,993$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.26 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 1,985$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.2 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed New York Yankees | 59c | 1,867$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.67 | 252 | 47.6%120 W · 132 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 1,579$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed New York Yankees | 60c | 1,511$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.96 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed New York Yankees | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd0…08f6backed New York Yankees | 65c | 1,488$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33d5…7146backed New York Yankees | 14c | 1,460$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +181%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed New York Yankees | 60c | 1,354$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.99 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 1,351$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.96 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed New York Yankees | 61c | 1,300$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…81afbacked Cleveland Guardians | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3129…22edbacked New York Yankees | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 1,233$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.87 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcff0…fa1abacked New York Yankees | 15c | 1,216$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.81 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +117.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Cleveland Guardians | 20c | 1,170$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.08 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed New York Yankees | 64c | 1,159$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.21 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Cleveland Guardians | 40c | 1,099$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.6 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc58…1dffbacked Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 1,071$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cleveland Guardians | 40c | 1,054$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.48 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed New York Yankees | 60c | 1,010$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03e3…b91dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3b…cb80backed New York Yankees | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -57%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed New York Yankees | 63c | 999.97$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.29 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 990$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.4 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…31f9backed New York Yankees | 62c | 932.77$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.59 | 224 | 45.5%102 W · 122 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed New York Yankees | 60c | 900$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked New York Yankees | 61c | 899.04$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.59 | 377 | 48.8%184 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked New York Yankees | 56c | 888.46$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.96 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cleveland Guardians | 27c | 880.76$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.99 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Cleveland Guardians | 12c | 811.92$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.43 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked New York Yankees | 60c | 808$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.2 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked New York Yankees | 60c | 800$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed New York Yankees | 61c | 799.97$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.99 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 769.23$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed New York Yankees | 41c | 735.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.57 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Cleveland Guardians | 33c | 699.99$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.99 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba9…768abacked Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 692.5$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ebf…a29bbacked New York Yankees | 61c | 682.55$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed New York Yankees | 60c | 666.67$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.67 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1bf…e36bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 37c | 660.98$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.06 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked New York Yankees | 49c | 659.03$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.11 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed New York Yankees | 44c | 657.69$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.67 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c73…6dafbacked New York Yankees | 65c | 646.15$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.15 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 637.31$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7288…9ec5backed New York Yankees | 22c | 625$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.5 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 21cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b76…c036backed New York Yankees | 22c | 625$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.5 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.15per pick | 21cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6535…063fbacked New York Yankees | 22c | 625$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.5 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Cleveland Guardians | 40c | 625$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf85…6174backed New York Yankees | 61c | 600$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +91.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78f4…4a4abacked New York Yankees | 20c | 600$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 12cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f70…ce77backed New York Yankees | 20c | 600$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 11cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…492dbacked New York Yankees | 20c | 600$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +334.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd3…5896backed Cleveland Guardians | 40c | 600$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65e5…0cadbacked New York Yankees | 20c | 600$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 597.68$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.63 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…2504backed Cleveland Guardians | 40c | 571.73$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.69 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27fa…d8c4backed Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 564.58$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.54 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…ca73backed New York Yankees | 65c | 528.69$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.04 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 31c | 515.8$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.12 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankeesthis page
- Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees: O/U 10.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees: O/U 11.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees: O/U 4.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees: O/U 5.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-3.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-3.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-4.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. New York YankeesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.