TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcc58…1dff

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
74
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 58 out of 100; worst Middle East at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT2556%14 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$4,555Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+86.7%+$3,946.53
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,887Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$3,213
76ers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Rockets vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Hornets vs. Pacers: 1H Moneylinebacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+100%+$15
Suns vs. Trail Blazersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+127.3%+$38.18
Pistons vs. Hawksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+100%+$13.17
Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+69.5%+$7.79
Bulls vs. Nuggetsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+122%+$60.98
Hornets vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+85.2%+$63.89
Knicks vs. Heatbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Hawks vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Bulls vs. Jazzbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$27.43
Warriors vs. Spursbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+138.1%+$39.26
Clippers vs. Mavericksbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+150%+$32.27
Hawks vs. Jazzbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+81.8%+$12.27
1H Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+96.1%+$10.57
Warriors vs. Spursbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+44.9%+$125.8
Bucks vs. Hornetsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$18.1
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+98.3%+$44.24
Spurs vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$17.27
Wizards vs. Pistonsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Thunder vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$23.04
All 25 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-33.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+44.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)backed Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$29.04
Panthers vs. Falconsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+100%+$56.78
Chargers vs. Jaguarsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Jaguars vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+193.4%+$22.1
Ravens vs. Vikingsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+96.1%+$14.7
Bills vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+75.4%+$11.32
All 6 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jackets vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Blues vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+97.7%+$123.04
Canadiens vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+93.4%+$16.37
Kings vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+92.3%+$23.08
Stars vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$14.13
All 5 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-63.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+131%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+25.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$723.39
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankeesbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$225
All 3 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-33.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Western Michigan (-6.5)backed Western Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+88.7%+$44.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Utrecht win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+56.3%+$5.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bruce Harrell win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team (BO3)backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$12.73
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.