NHL · resolved market
Blue Jackets vs. Maple Leafs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe79b84d4c0674bf5cc45062d146b1a37bca325e438c34794ee0f10eee19efcf3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blue Jacketsof Blue Jackets, Maple Leafs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $587,058
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $592,941
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $587,058 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 456 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c57…c94dbacked Blue Jackets | 51c | 182,101$92,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89,229.35 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Blue Jackets | 51c | 141,836$72,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,046.79 | 177 | 49.2%87 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 101,486$49,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,727.95 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Blue Jackets | 52c | 32,054$16,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,385.93 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 24,251$11,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,684.21 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 23,269$11,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,168.94 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Blue Jackets | 49c | 21,241$10,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,858.53 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Blue Jackets | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,600 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 17,282$8,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,435.36 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 16,494$7,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,917.27 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 16,366$7,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,855.5 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Maple Leafs | 50c | 16,000$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 163 | 46%75 W · 88 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 11,969$5,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,625.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Blue Jackets | 52c | 11,010$5,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,304.72 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 9,745$4,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,694.56 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Blue Jackets | 50c | 8,995$4,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,497.5 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 8,445$4,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,053.37 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Maple Leafs | 49c | 8,175$4,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,007.34 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 7,736$3,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,945.11 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 7,500$3,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,674.87 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ea…ad03backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 7,000$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,360 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 6,088$2,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,922.12 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,879.99 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 5,651$2,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,864.08 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 5,331$2,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,559.12 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 5,259$2,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,524.55 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 5,250$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 5,227$2,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,508.95 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Maple Leafs | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7670…2bb5backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x203c…b5ecbacked Blue Jackets | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.97 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 4,364$2,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,135.42 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Maple Leafs | 51c | 4,035$2,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,068.55 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa3…7479backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 4,010$2,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,005 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Maple Leafs | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Maple Leafs | 2c | 4,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 217 | 4.1%9 W · 208 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…e67cbacked Maple Leafs | 51c | 3,933$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8083…be16backed Blue Jackets | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6282…e8f2backed Blue Jackets | 64c | 3,628$2,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300.07 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Blue Jackets | 75c | 3,519$2,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.97 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 3,500$1,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,715 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 3,402$1,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,697.58 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 3,400$1,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,652 | 311 | 48.2%150 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…991bbacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 3,400$1,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,632 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 41cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Maple Leafs | 43c | 3,291$1,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,414.3 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 3,243$1,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,556.68 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 3,056$1,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,466.88 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…f244backed Blue Jackets | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Blue Jackets | 53c | 3,000$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420 | 265 | 47.5%126 W · 139 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc689…5250backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.97 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Blue Jackets | 51c | 2,941$1,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,437.27 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Blue Jackets | 66c | 2,899$1,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.35 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 2,858$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400.42 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d5…e1e2backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 2,800$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,371.98 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 2,779$1,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,361.71 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf98c…bf06backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 2,590$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 2,560$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.8 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Blue Jackets | 52c | 2,496$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.17 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Maple Leafs | 16c | 2,388$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.49 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 2,365$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.31 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 2,323$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.97 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…3aa5backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 2,292$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.16 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Maple Leafs | 26c | 2,222$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.72 | 133 | 63.2%84 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x631d…4759backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 2,200$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae2a…f808backed Blue Jackets | 51c | 2,100$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 2,019$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.22 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Blue Jackets | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba8…ab96backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…d4dabacked Maple Leafs | 49c | 2,000$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc9…8f7fbacked Maple Leafs | 50c | 1,950$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Maple Leafs | 50c | 1,916$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.24 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d04…d8a3backed Blue Jackets | 51c | 1,912$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Blue Jackets | 53c | 1,891$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.16 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Blue Jackets | 51c | 1,681$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.83 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 1,677$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.23 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Maple Leafs | 49c | 1,660$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.4 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8976…f8cdbacked Maple Leafs | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf48f…7426backed Blue Jackets | 51c | 1,569$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 1,531$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 295 | 51.9%153 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f32…1d64backed Blue Jackets | 53c | 1,509$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.43 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x107e…9d7bbacked Maple Leafs | 50c | 1,480$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191c…4afbbacked Blue Jackets | 51c | 1,451$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Blue Jackets | 52c | 1,400$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.99 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Blue Jackets | 52c | 1,250$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 1,224$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 1,200$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3afd…6319backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 1,150$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Maple Leafs | 1c | 1,145$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb441…6ff5backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 1,140$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1198…315dbacked Blue Jackets | 51c | 1,108$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Blue Jackets | 49c | 1,105$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.78 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Maple Leafs | 49c | 1,071$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.79 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blue Jackets vs. Maple Leafsthis page
- Blue Jackets vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)Maple Leafs won
- Spread: Maple Leafs (-1.5)Blue Jackets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.