NHL · resolved market
Blues vs. Maple Leafs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a3abddf5c05682310518660e643f7b5287d5636ebe9fdec9be5d1eeffbe8a73
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maple Leafsof Blues, Maple Leafs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $618,602
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $627,928
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $618,602 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 811 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Blues | 52c | 122,784$63,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,847.79 | 177 | 49.2%87 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 122,636$61,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,237.33 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Blues | 30c | 105,000$31,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,499.99 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Blues | 49c | 102,635$50,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,659.09 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Blues | 49c | 53,455$26,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,193.06 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 45,841$22,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,452.64 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Maple Leafs | 70c | 32,458$22,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,587.76 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Blues | 49c | 15,955$7,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,861.72 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 15,192$7,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,899.84 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 10,801$5,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,616.52 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 10,500$5,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,085 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 10,481$5,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,030.88 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 9,525$4,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,762.36 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Blues | 51c | 8,323$4,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,211.08 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 8,204$4,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,887.92 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 8,000$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,160 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,920 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Maple Leafs | 49c | 7,343$3,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,756.74 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Maple Leafs | 55c | 7,048$3,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,150.97 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Maple Leafs | 50c | 6,969$3,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,461.27 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 6,250$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 5,978$2,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,020.98 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 5,243$2,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,726.36 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Blues | 49c | 4,900$2,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,401.16 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ea…380dbacked Maple Leafs | 49c | 4,800$2,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,448 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -5.8wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Blues | 49c | 4,580$2,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,242.14 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 4,500$2,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,114.99 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 4,474$2,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,312.6 | 133 | 63.2%84 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…f2c3backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 4,020$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,969.61 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Maple Leafs | 55c | 4,016$2,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,807.11 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbdd…5905backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 3,877$1,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,887.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 3,823$1,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,987.92 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 3,730$1,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,865.02 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 3,244$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,663.58 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Blues | 19c | 3,142$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.06 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 2,966$1,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,453.15 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6282…e8f2backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 2,965$1,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,503.08 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 2,863$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363.1 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Blues | 50c | 2,807$1,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,411.58 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 2,803$1,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424.27 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 2,633$1,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365.18 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 2,609$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.84 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 2,599$1,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.19 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Blues | 44c | 2,325$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.99 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcfd…a50ebacked Maple Leafs | 51c | 2,300$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Blues | 1c | 2,222$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Blues | 51c | 2,205$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.55 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Blues | 49c | 2,046$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.43 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 2,010$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.18 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 1,930$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.6 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Blues | 52c | 1,909$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4635…9f6fbacked Maple Leafs | 53c | 1,893$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.09 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked Maple Leafs | 54c | 1,651$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.67 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc30b…1b6dbacked Blues | 45c | 1,607$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.08 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Maple Leafs | 50c | 1,566$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.94 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2476…2847backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 1,518$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 207 | 51.2%106 W · 101 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Blues | 50c | 1,420$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcddd…166cbacked Maple Leafs | 71c | 1,408$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Blues | 45c | 1,386$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.7 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfca5…7a81backed Blues | 50c | 1,350$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Blues | 42c | 1,332$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.4 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 1,255$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.53 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcb…5731backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 1,200$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +5.8wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Blues | 49c | 1,150$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.5 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 1,145$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.1 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81cc…26b9backed Blues | 44c | 1,100$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948d…409fbacked Blues | 49c | 1,041$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Maple Leafs | 51c | 1,029$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.21 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9508…b9f2backed Blues | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1382…b5dabacked Maple Leafs | 51c | 1,019$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63b9…0de2backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 1,009$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Blues | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2487…fa80backed Blues | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 45cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…bdb8backed Blues | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8980…d4f4backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.32per pick | 55cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d9…be50backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f17…af1dbacked Maple Leafs | 51c | 999.69$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d36…314bbacked Blues | 49c | 999.66$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8b…56a5backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 989.89$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f32…1d64backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6555…b650backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 980.18$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb622…9c0dbacked Blues | 49c | 979.27$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfa…cd8cbacked Maple Leafs | 54c | 962.96$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef6f…dfc0backed Blues | 47c | 962.77$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 962.5$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5276…74ddbacked Blues | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8422…69f7backed Blues | 49c | 958.9$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba5…1082backed Blues | 50c | 950$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb95c…46c0backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 900$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd4…2c2fbacked Blues | 51c | 860$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.6 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blues vs. Maple Leafsthis page
- Blues vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 5.5Under won
- Blues vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Maple Leafs (-1.5)Blues won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.