NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Grizzlies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62db3f0e7d2845e81d48c646c49216ff77daae463a3bc609776922934daebc17
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,459,896
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,493,735
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,459,896 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 422 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3987…259ebacked Grizzlies | 19c | 371,045$70,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,072.76 | 80 | 22.5%18 W · 62 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…1556backed Thunder | 50c | 75,000$37,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,519.64 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca5a…7e43backed Thunder | 57c | 68,780$39,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,504 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Grizzlies | 34c | 64,581$22,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,271.8 | 192 | 49.5%95 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Grizzlies | 43c | 59,162$25,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,509.91 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Grizzlies | 37c | 35,635$13,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,173.64 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Grizzlies | 32c | 25,090$8,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,078.49 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Grizzlies | 20c | 20,892$4,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,140.39 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Grizzlies | 42c | 20,142$8,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,539.07 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x575a…bba6backed Thunder | 68c | 19,756$13,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,256.1 | 125 | 29.6%37 W · 88 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Thunder | 65c | 12,337$8,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,269.26 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Thunder | 52c | 12,204$6,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,881.38 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa763…709ebacked Grizzlies | 1c | 11,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Grizzlies | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Thunder | 64c | 9,514$6,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,398.19 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Thunder | 69c | 9,500$6,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,990 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Thunder | 46c | 8,749$4,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,724.71 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed Grizzlies | 16c | 8,659$1,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,385.43 | 58 | 15.5%9 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Thunder | 55c | 8,584$4,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,895.3 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Grizzlies | 24c | 8,500$2,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,029.99 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Grizzlies | 18c | 7,330$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.3 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Thunder | 59c | 6,960$4,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,819.98 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb406…4964backed Grizzlies | 9c | 6,111$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Grizzlies | 40c | 5,715$2,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,286 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d22…ec35backed Grizzlies | 45c | 5,706$2,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,574.37 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Thunder | 79c | 5,306$4,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.41 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Grizzlies | 19c | 5,263$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.97 | 105 | 30.5%32 W · 73 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Grizzlies | 17c | 4,778$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.19 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcebe…b91ebacked Grizzlies | 45c | 4,681$2,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,104.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Grizzlies | 50c | 4,500$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Thunder | 42c | 4,449$1,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600.06 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Grizzlies | 17c | 4,418$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.07 | 489 | 44.2%216 W · 273 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Grizzlies | 18c | 4,050$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Grizzlies | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 181 | 42%76 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc701…f932backed Thunder | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Thunder | 54c | 3,670$1,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,694.66 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Grizzlies | 19c | 3,305$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.88 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Grizzlies | 18c | 3,124$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.28 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x019d…2b01backed Thunder | 53c | 2,916$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.03 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed Grizzlies | 17c | 2,916$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.9 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Thunder | 66c | 2,856$1,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.01 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Grizzlies | 50c | 2,803$1,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408.99 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x400f…e712backed Grizzlies | 37c | 2,714$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1161…ed62backed Thunder | 51c | 2,657$1,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.55 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +7.2wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Thunder | 51c | 2,460$1,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.42 | 169 | 42%71 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked Grizzlies | 35c | 2,274$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.89 | 246 | 34.6%85 W · 161 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Grizzlies | 35c | 2,002$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.08 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Grizzlies | 51c | 2,000$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.82 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Thunder | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 200 | 34%68 W · 132 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Grizzlies | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Grizzlies | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 136 | 25.7%35 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…353fbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Grizzlies | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.83 | 180 | 47.8%86 W · 94 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c1…06cebacked Grizzlies | 17c | 2,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.99 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Thunder | 48c | 1,795$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.08 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Grizzlies | 18c | 1,791$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.26 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Thunder | 74c | 1,680$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.13 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Grizzlies | 33c | 1,630$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.74 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Grizzlies | 39c | 1,600$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626 | 426 | 40.4%172 W · 254 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51e1…c98abacked Grizzlies | 17c | 1,513$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.21 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9725…2365backed Thunder | 77c | 1,500$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…2848backed Thunder | 67c | 1,491$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.04 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…1cedbacked Grizzlies | 19c | 1,480$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.17 | 243 | 23.9%58 W · 185 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bf…b567backed Thunder | 47c | 1,441$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.88 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Grizzlies | 18c | 1,400$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Grizzlies | 1c | 1,329$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…e12bbacked Thunder | 42c | 1,300$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bd…270cbacked Thunder | 67c | 1,276$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.94 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3bc…bf85backed Grizzlies | 18c | 1,272$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.93 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f8…3c9fbacked Grizzlies | 20c | 1,264$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 68 | 26.5%18 W · 50 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc732…097bbacked Grizzlies | 18c | 1,244$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cb…8501backed Grizzlies | 49c | 1,239$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9cc…f511backed Grizzlies | 19c | 1,232$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.01 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…51e3backed Grizzlies | 11c | 1,224$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.65 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Grizzlies | 23c | 1,184$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.94 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Thunder | 50c | 1,141$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.6 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc9…f722backed Grizzlies | 18c | 1,115$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…499ebacked Grizzlies | 58c | 1,100$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.2 | 440 | 40.5%178 W · 262 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Grizzlies | 5c | 1,080$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.98 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…805cbacked Grizzlies | 19c | 1,053$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 428 | 27.3%117 W · 311 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Thunder | 67c | 1,050$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.33 | 381 | 51.2%195 W · 186 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked Thunder | 39c | 1,026$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.15 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7de0…7c66backed Thunder | 49c | 1,018$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.24 | 405 | 36.5%148 W · 257 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7606…2836backed Grizzlies | 45c | 1,001$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.57 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Grizzlies | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9005…d988backed Grizzlies | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 25cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Grizzlies | 36c | 1,000$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.5 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Grizzlies | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb7…082dbacked Thunder | 49c | 980.86$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.24 | 132 | 50%66 W · 66 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Grizzlies | 39c | 978.86$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.06 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1142…a9bfbacked Thunder | 77c | 976$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.68 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…3e9fbacked Grizzlies | 21c | 900$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 92 | 27.2%25 W · 67 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf38e…397bbacked Thunder | 51c | 893.37$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.37 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Grizzlies | 17c | 875$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.12 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Thunder | 74c | 865.14$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.14 | 478 | 56.5%270 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb99…5d0fbacked Thunder | 60c | 858.01$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.01 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc174…66f2backed Thunder | 71c | 841.5$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.5 | 137 | 66.4%91 W · 46 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Grizzlies | 17c | 834.04$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.79 | 194 | 41.2%80 W · 114 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe2…b34bbacked Grizzlies | 41c | 827.83$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Grizzliesthis page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Thunder (-10.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Thunder won
- Thunder vs. Grizzlies: 1H MoneylineGrizzlies won
- Thunder vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Grizzlies: O/U 231.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Grizzlies: O/U 232.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Grizzlies: O/U 233.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Grizzlies: O/U 234.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Grizzlies: O/U 235.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.