NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d8ec44b5875eda80777ab71a26f0ca0c0f9b4229f92e5dc3ddf3f9bef0445a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $395,309
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $394,713
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $395,309 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Thunder | 52c | 288,050$149,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138,606.88 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Grizzlies | 48c | 151,160$72,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72,556.71 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 53,226$25,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,832.92 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Grizzlies | 48c | 50,002$24,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,000.92 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68df…4815backed Grizzlies | 49c | 29,339$14,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,376.09 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…3c1abacked Thunder | 50c | 26,668$13,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,423.04 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb6…3009backed Thunder | 50c | 19,549$9,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,774.65 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 19,000$9,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,500 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Grizzlies | 48c | 15,694$7,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,598.26 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…d023backed Grizzlies | 51c | 11,472$5,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,850.72 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Grizzlies | 48c | 6,600$3,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,196.21 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Thunder | 20c | 6,271$1,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,029.65 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Grizzlies | 49c | 5,010$2,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,454.9 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 4,200$2,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,028 | 418 | 48.3%202 W · 216 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Grizzlies | 79c | 3,608$2,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,846.33 | 381 | 51.2%195 W · 186 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Grizzlies | 50c | 2,533$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.58 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Grizzlies | 49c | 2,222$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.78 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Grizzlies | 51c | 2,161$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.02 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Thunder | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Grizzlies | 48c | 1,759$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.4 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 1,458$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.13 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Grizzlies | 48c | 1,228$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.67 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Grizzlies | 50c | 951.9$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.95 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Thunder | 51c | 823$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.27 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Grizzlies | 49c | 700$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Grizzlies | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Thunder | 11c | 454$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.06 | 390 | 18.2%71 W · 319 L | +27.6wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe25d…801fbacked Thunder | 51c | 450.71$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.85 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 431$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.7 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02b1…c764backed Thunder | 23c | 420$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.7 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Grizzlies | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d6…36cbbacked Grizzlies | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 245 | 33.9%83 W · 162 L | -19.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Thunder | 49c | 305.95$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.04 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…c616backed Grizzlies | 70c | 300$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e430backed Thunder | 52c | 256.5$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.12 | 236 | 52.5%124 W · 112 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Thunder | 52c | 230$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.4 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69dc…336dbacked Thunder | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Thunder | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Thunder | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 403 | 46.2%186 W · 217 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Thunder | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 170 | 35.9%61 W · 109 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Thunder | 73c | 172.92$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.94 | 353 | 52.4%185 W · 168 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Grizzlies | 52c | 153.85$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 152 | 28.3%43 W · 109 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b8…68a5backed Thunder | 52c | 153.85$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.85 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Grizzlies | 52c | 153.16$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 249 | 55%137 W · 112 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe80…e0a6backed Thunder | 53c | 150.6$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.6 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d7…e943backed Grizzlies | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 64cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x647d…3cd9backed Thunder | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x661e…81d6backed Thunder | 51c | 147.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.06 | 157 | 59.9%94 W · 63 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Grizzlies | 48c | 140$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 624 | 50%312 W · 312 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Thunder | 52c | 134$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.32 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Grizzlies | 21c | 130$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x426f…e76bbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 113$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Grizzlies | 48c | 103.65$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.27 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09e3…cf81backed Thunder | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 189 | 55%104 W · 85 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa047…f4c5backed Thunder | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8a…b155backed Grizzlies | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cab…3280backed Thunder | 51c | 98.82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.82 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54ae…32c2backed Thunder | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…942cbacked Thunder | 52c | 97.93$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3854…862dbacked Thunder | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 94.49$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8f…a3dcbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 92.16$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Grizzlies | 50c | 83.75$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.69 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09e4…6c67backed Thunder | 51c | 80.39$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.39 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412c…43b4backed Thunder | 52c | 78.85$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.85 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 78.43$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.43 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe45d…f77ebacked Grizzlies | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 253 | 36.8%93 W · 160 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc164…d0e3backed Grizzlies | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3b…51dabacked Thunder | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Thunder | 49c | 56.48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Thunder | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4c…c962backed Thunder | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x375e…6c94backed Grizzlies | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -8.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Thunder | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2b…6a1dbacked Thunder | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Thunder | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Grizzlies | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1a…0559backed Grizzlies | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17a3…8dadbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -6.7wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x88bf…591abacked Thunder | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…3ca6backed Grizzlies | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e1…61edbacked Grizzlies | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9816…28a7backed Grizzlies | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b2…3886backed Thunder | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Thunder | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x162e…94a4backed Grizzlies | 52c | 30.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…3183backed Grizzlies | 52c | 30.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac7…03efbacked Thunder | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bca…2414backed Thunder | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Thunder | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e5…5a2cbacked Thunder | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0f…7037backed Grizzlies | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8296…e9cbbacked Thunder | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadd4…3ae9backed Thunder | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b83…ed1dbacked Grizzlies | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Thunder | 52c | 24.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 146 | 54.8%80 W · 66 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1729…4b10backed Thunder | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbd…6ffebacked Grizzlies | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-10.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Thunder won
- Thunder vs. GrizzliesThunder won
- Thunder vs. Grizzlies: 1H MoneylineGrizzlies won
- Thunder vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Grizzlies: O/U 231.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Grizzlies: O/U 232.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Grizzlies: O/U 233.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Grizzlies: O/U 234.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Grizzlies: O/U 235.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.