TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1142…a9bf

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
55
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Premier League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 55 out of 100; worst La Liga at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST3053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+28.2%+$220
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+42.9%+$300
Mavericks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$511Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+37%+$189
Pelicans vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,820Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+37.4%+$680
Nets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$620
76ers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$192
Rockets vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,440Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$1,440
Grizzlies vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$660Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+51.5%+$340
Bulls vs. Nuggetsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+733.3%+$1,320
Mavericks vs. Timberwolvesbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$156
Clippers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,950Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+53.8%+$1,049.99
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$320.13
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$870Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$870
Magic vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$990Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$990
Nuggets vs. Kingsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,520Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+31.6%+$480
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$282
Cavaliers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$364Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+257.1%+$936
Spurs vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$144
Thunder vs. Grizzliesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+30.1%+$225.68
Rockets vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$596Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$595.9
Bulls vs. Cavaliersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$175
Warriors vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+34.4%+$275
Hornets vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+31.6%+$44.54
Rockets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+156.4%+$335.5
Pistons vs. Netsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$710Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+40.8%+$290
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick16cpaid+15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bills vs. Dolphinsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$948Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$948
Falcons vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,015Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+74%+$750.86
Raiders vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$766Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+43.6%+$334
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+352.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brentford win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+669.2%+$435
Will Brentford vs. Newcastle end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+35.1%+$130
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Korea Republic win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+92.3%+$720
Will Kazakhstan vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$569Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$568.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rangers vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$13.63
Senators vs. Bruinsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$286
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,001Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+150.2%+$1,503.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pakistan ODI Series: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka (Game 1)backed Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+53.8%+$111.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,332Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$2,331.66
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.