AI · resolved market
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2db6688c6df422104ee751fad721b03ade9c50a8b3c85588cfe4a20ae62ff63
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,440,864
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,370,419
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,440,864 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 340 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x714a…ab2fbacked Yes | 2c | 206,481$4,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,903.86 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4181…de86backed Yes | 3c | 133,910$4,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,419.98 | 88 | 15.9%14 W · 74 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd600…b66ebacked Yes | 3c | 124,067$3,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,193.35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x469c…309bbacked Yes | 2c | 109,931$2,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,441.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe917…9612backed Yes | 3c | 94,829$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650.02 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd311…61b4backed Yes | 2c | 78,867$1,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,704.12 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80cc…b5a4backed Yes | 3c | 58,823$1,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,722.63 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…0286backed Yes | 0c | 49,761$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.55 | 292 | 0.3%1 W · 291 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff4e…5502backed Yes | 0c | 40,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 63 | 0%0 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4e…d0c6backed Yes | 4c | 37,049$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,353.32 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 5cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 3c | 35,201$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.73 | 63 | 4.8%3 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -90.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 1c | 32,668$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.79 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x000c…bcf3backed Yes | 4c | 26,342$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.22 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 2c | 25,937$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.52 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 2c | 25,511$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.44 | 149 | 1.3%2 W · 147 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6602…089fbacked Yes | 5c | 25,046$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.69 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b25…26e8backed Yes | 10c | 21,918$2,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,257.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3d…c306backed Yes | 15c | 21,376$3,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,291.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 1c | 20,000$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 263 | 12.9%34 W · 229 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef4e…06c8backed Yes | 2c | 20,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 3c | 19,268$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.96 | 144 | 21.5%31 W · 113 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3143…81b1backed Yes | 14c | 18,100$2,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,452.3 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fb…5d92backed Yes | 2c | 15,000$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 6c | 13,065$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.18 | 101 | 26.7%27 W · 74 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 3c | 12,282$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.91 | 304 | 2%6 W · 298 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8d…8f77backed Yes | 6c | 11,855$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.58 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -88.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc086…b1afbacked Yes | 4c | 11,151$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6268…6031backed Yes | 2c | 10,041$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.34 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5104…a114backed Yes | 2c | 9,067$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Yes | 2c | 8,865$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.1 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f70…5948backed Yes | 2c | 8,407$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.57 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 8c | 7,952$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.15 | 38 | 13.2%5 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…1154backed Yes | 2c | 7,438$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.39 | 117 | 23.9%28 W · 89 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 6c | 7,400$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.96 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ef…df85backed Yes | 6c | 7,180$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes | 3c | 7,169$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.51 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c8…c658backed Yes | 3c | 7,099$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.43 | 60 | 10%6 W · 54 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 1c | 7,029$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.88 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6842…b520backed Yes | 1c | 6,855$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes | 3c | 6,636$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.91 | 79 | 0%0 W · 79 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf82…17febacked Yes | 3c | 6,147$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 6,040$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.8 | 200 | 3.5%7 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb994…2fa8backed Yes | 0c | 6,021$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7656…194bbacked Yes | 2c | 6,000$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 17cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…3e88backed Yes | 6c | 5,972$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.94 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 14cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked Yes | 3c | 5,945$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.24 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes | 3c | 5,583$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.42 | 73 | 1.4%1 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf31a…8fbcbacked Yes | 3c | 5,517$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b3…9989backed Yes | 2c | 5,200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.6 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 4cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9864…5d72backed Yes | 3c | 5,090$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 4c | 5,059$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.29 | 279 | 2.5%7 W · 272 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6816…b693backed Yes | 11c | 4,986$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.86 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7171…7af9backed Yes | 2c | 4,970$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.2 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6a…e86dbacked Yes | 2c | 4,828$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.09 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42d5…00f0backed Yes | 2c | 4,761$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2521…a27cbacked Yes | 1c | 4,656$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47f5…934dbacked Yes | 12c | 4,304$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.55 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dd…b598backed Yes | 4c | 4,224$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df5…9dd6backed Yes | 2c | 4,115$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2015…3fbfbacked Yes | 7c | 4,048$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.82 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b91…982dbacked Yes | 3c | 4,047$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.12 | 33 | 0%0 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…0dfdbacked Yes | 2c | 3,966$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 9c | 3,958$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.62 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 25cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1232…6158backed Yes | 1c | 3,869$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 4c | 3,492$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.86 | 183 | 11.5%21 W · 162 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ee…a8aebacked Yes | 4c | 3,465$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -57%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcecf…e206backed Yes | 3c | 3,460$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…1990backed Yes | 3c | 3,449$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.4 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…8d04backed Yes | 1c | 3,324$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.11 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba6b…c8c0backed Yes | 10c | 3,203$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x294e…fc93backed Yes | 11c | 3,182$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa899…f68dbacked Yes | 12c | 3,118$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.38 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75b1…2e30backed Yes | 11c | 3,099$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 2c | 2,979$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.25 | 47 | 4.3%2 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -93.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99b4…b8dfbacked Yes | 8c | 2,971$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07df…8be6backed Yes | 2c | 2,920$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.57 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b9…de55backed Yes | 1c | 2,906$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.68 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 3cpaid | +235.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c2…735dbacked Yes | 2c | 2,875$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 2c | 2,854$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.07 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4162…31eebacked Yes | 7c | 2,835$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37ca…55f3backed Yes | 11c | 2,792$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc3…1f1fbacked Yes | 4c | 2,779$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.77 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 7c | 2,739$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.37 | 256 | 0.8%2 W · 254 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54cd…0e3bbacked Yes | 8c | 2,702$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4406…eabfbacked Yes | 11c | 2,645$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e6…9139backed Yes | 3c | 2,503$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.69 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -61%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,500$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 217 | 13.4%29 W · 188 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d80…765abacked Yes | 7c | 2,475$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 2,407$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.94 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 6c | 2,378$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.22 | 252 | 2%5 W · 247 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a3…f38dbacked Yes | 7c | 2,362$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb71c…dd68backed Yes | 8c | 2,338$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.32 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5a…8008backed Yes | 14c | 2,334$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.12 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +232.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…145cbacked Yes | 1c | 2,320$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.21 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +135.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…051cbacked Yes | 8c | 2,261$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f3…e710backed Yes | 2c | 2,212$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03b3…9aafbacked Yes | 2c | 2,163$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.07 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9559…42e5backed Yes | 7c | 2,154$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0918…2d34backed Yes | 10c | 2,154$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fba…5048backed Yes | 11c | 2,131$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?this page
- Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No won
- Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No won
- Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No won
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes won
- Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No won
- Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.