AI · resolved market
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x644dd9e9dd31ed7bb8ea3780c8eff79a42a190756e2592bcb4a93aa484b4fb9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,431,463
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,954,419
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,431,463 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c66…6b66backed Yes | 0c | 414,666$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.33 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e9…88e5backed Yes | 0c | 377,489$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.47 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…0286backed Yes | 0c | 337,967$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.4 | 292 | 0.3%1 W · 291 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked Yes | 0c | 317,335$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.39 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 172,574$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.73 | 149 | 1.3%2 W · 147 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb36b…7804backed Yes | 0c | 143,933$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.93 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb807…99cbbacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Yes | 0c | 96,066$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.33 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf166…fb37backed Yes | 0c | 84,489$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.49 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2506…93cabacked Yes | 0c | 79,408$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.4 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc21e…0215backed Yes | 0c | 68,921$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.68 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa88d…9830backed Yes | 0c | 64,028$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.09 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2179…bedbbacked Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58fd…43a6backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 64 | 0%0 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d2…fb68backed Yes | 0c | 41,000$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff4e…5502backed Yes | 0c | 39,999$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 63 | 0%0 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3e…abeabacked Yes | 0c | 32,175$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.52 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78ae…7412backed Yes | 0c | 26,666$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3143…81b1backed Yes | 4c | 23,694$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.69 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x409f…543abacked Yes | 0c | 20,662$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7186…2556backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c8…c658backed Yes | 1c | 18,062$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.31 | 60 | 10%6 W · 54 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0873…09e8backed Yes | 0c | 16,664$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 43 | 0%0 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x173e…2d86backed Yes | 1c | 15,947$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bac…02b1backed Yes | 0c | 15,193$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.58 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4181…de86backed Yes | 5c | 15,172$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.25 | 88 | 15.9%14 W · 74 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92bb…1afbbacked Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf040…3a86backed Yes | 0c | 13,644$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.88 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d38…2078backed Yes | 1c | 12,600$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.1 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…b464backed Yes | 1c | 10,320$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.56 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…aa09backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c02…7555backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d0…9ddbbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fb…3cc8backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fff…8c1fbacked Yes | 0c | 9,628$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc4…7c1dbacked Yes | 0c | 8,005$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.02 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…0dfdbacked Yes | 0c | 7,302$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8f…722bbacked Yes | 0c | 7,167$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 0c | 7,120$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5548…11fdbacked Yes | 1c | 7,100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.41 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Yes | 4c | 6,531$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.44 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13b6…c633backed Yes | 1c | 5,821$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 70 | 0%0 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 1c | 5,216$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.11 | 252 | 2%5 W · 247 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 0c | 5,151$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 144 | 21.5%31 W · 113 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x517b…fe53backed Yes | 0c | 5,005$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…c8d9backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…0cc1backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…1154backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 117 | 23.9%28 W · 89 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x937f…8dd9backed Yes | 0c | 4,667$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3224…a6a1backed Yes | 1c | 4,608$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…145cbacked Yes | 1c | 4,490$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +135.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 4,200$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 200 | 3.5%7 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc271…3ba8backed Yes | 1c | 3,939$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1b…e401backed Yes | 1c | 3,939$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 1c | 3,319$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 256 | 0.8%2 W · 254 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 1c | 3,247$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 175 | 4%7 W · 168 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…7b94backed Yes | 1c | 3,243$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 3,162$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.64 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x458a…5941backed Yes | 1c | 3,125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79ce…dcfabacked Yes | 1c | 3,000$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 1c | 2,746$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 304 | 2%6 W · 298 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc484…4cd5backed Yes | 4c | 2,500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5a…8008backed Yes | 1c | 2,495$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.31 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +232.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 1c | 2,446$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 101 | 26.7%27 W · 74 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa29a…09c7backed Yes | 2c | 2,380$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5584…6e2abacked Yes | 1c | 2,265$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 1c | 2,115$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 279 | 2.5%7 W · 272 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa19…fb67backed Yes | 5c | 2,113$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.54 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a39…1d5dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,040$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e49…d44abacked Yes | 1c | 2,035$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a59…a364backed Yes | 5c | 2,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -72%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…032dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,976$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6229…4725backed Yes | 1c | 1,970$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7b…782fbacked Yes | 6c | 1,913$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.52 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 18cpaid | -91.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41c0…165cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,800$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…8f08backed Yes | 1c | 1,700$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 1cpaid | +1,076.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46ce…c842backed Yes | 2c | 1,685$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa899…f68dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,579$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.78 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9f…63f1backed Yes | 1c | 1,520$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc786…d82ebacked Yes | 6c | 1,415$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7c…cf4fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,377$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x392a…0975backed Yes | 8c | 1,296$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7171…7af9backed Yes | 1c | 1,283$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8242…cb6ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | +198.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa21f…d76abacked Yes | 9c | 1,125$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e66…41e7backed Yes | 1c | 1,116$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 42 | 0%0 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6816…b693backed Yes | 6c | 1,105$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.28 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b01…95a9backed Yes | 1c | 1,083$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bda…be47backed Yes | 2c | 999.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 4c | 995.7$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 38 | 13.2%5 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa751…ba09backed Yes | 3c | 850$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x157b…5b8cbacked Yes | 3c | 810$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Yes | 8c | 712.14$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 2c | 701.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 297 | 7.7%23 W · 274 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7c…51b6backed Yes | 14c | 700$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbba4…f8c6backed Yes | 6c | 700$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 22cpaid | -89%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8677…567cbacked Yes | 14c | 696.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 2c | 620.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 86 | 5.8%5 W · 81 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 12c | 600$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.71 | 457 | 38.9%178 W · 279 L | -31.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…6b6fbacked Yes | 10c | 500.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?this page
- Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No won
- Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No won
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No won
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes won
- Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No won
- Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.