AI · resolved market
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1ed2e6df582b055e94b3ff00b9dce996af9f04c5cc67e9a6fbfef487169c0e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,154,686
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,372,887
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,154,686 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2e3e…abeabacked Yes | 0c | 838,472$2,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,814.92 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c66…6b66backed Yes | 0c | 321,519$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.04 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb807…99cbbacked Yes | 0c | 199,999$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 141,929$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.41 | 149 | 1.3%2 W · 147 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdce4…dd91backed Yes | 0c | 72,891$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8f…722bbacked Yes | 0c | 59,166$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x409f…543abacked Yes | 0c | 52,934$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.93 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…0286backed Yes | 0c | 51,000$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 292 | 0.3%1 W · 291 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2179…bedbbacked Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc21e…0215backed Yes | 0c | 46,136$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.21 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa88d…9830backed Yes | 0c | 45,833$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4911…bbf7backed Yes | 0c | 44,000$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58fd…43a6backed Yes | 0c | 42,219$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.22 | 64 | 0%0 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff4e…5502backed Yes | 0c | 39,999$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 63 | 0%0 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 0c | 35,000$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 200 | 3.5%7 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 0c | 30,710$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.86 | 144 | 21.5%31 W · 113 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcecf…e206backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78ae…7412backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf31a…8fbcbacked Yes | 0c | 29,999$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fb…19dcbacked Yes | 0c | 28,640$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fff…8c1fbacked Yes | 0c | 26,887$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaae…3c3dbacked Yes | 2c | 24,953$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdb…d762backed Yes | 0c | 23,550$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…aa09backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7c…51b6backed Yes | 1c | 18,791$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.18 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d2…fb68backed Yes | 0c | 18,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bac…02b1backed Yes | 0c | 17,131$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.26 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0873…09e8backed Yes | 0c | 16,998$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 43 | 0%0 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0476…5794backed Yes | 0c | 16,737$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4e…b978backed Yes | 1c | 15,937$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.26 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +478.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92bb…1afbbacked Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d4…34dbbacked Yes | 0c | 12,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d7…9b6ebacked Yes | 0c | 12,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2506…93cabacked Yes | 0c | 10,900$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf040…3a86backed Yes | 0c | 10,742$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x000c…bcf3backed Yes | 0c | 10,335$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…c8d9backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb458…abc4backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea6…b950backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e89…9a0bbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 0c | 9,965$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5548…11fdbacked Yes | 0c | 8,164$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4354…756bbacked Yes | 1c | 7,682$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.66 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00ee…1128backed Yes | 0c | 7,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2015…3fbfbacked Yes | 1c | 7,150$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4385…45ecbacked Yes | 2c | 7,010$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x964f…79a8backed Yes | 1c | 6,109$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x569f…4ebebacked Yes | 0c | 5,643$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63fc…9084backed Yes | 0c | 5,593$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e4…64d0backed Yes | 0c | 5,443$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6800…2ea9backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…0cc1backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a12…daf6backed Yes | 3c | 4,537$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.19 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5f…55ccbacked Yes | 1c | 4,206$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.89 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…b464backed Yes | 1c | 4,167$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x022e…8ea2backed Yes | 0c | 4,029$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c4…865fbacked Yes | 0c | 3,979$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5553…a54bbacked Yes | 0c | 3,979$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf59b…94d9backed Yes | 0c | 3,929$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4955…e949backed Yes | 0c | 3,879$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8661…0e14backed Yes | 1c | 3,704$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1692…d6e4backed Yes | 0c | 3,667$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a21…d26abacked Yes | 1c | 3,479$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.73 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 3,435$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.19 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcff4…8b0ebacked Yes | 1c | 3,223$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 1c | 3,029$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 252 | 2%5 W · 247 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92eb…78adbacked Yes | 1c | 2,985$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12e2…36b0backed Yes | 3c | 2,859$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x173e…2d86backed Yes | 1c | 2,577$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 1c | 2,574$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 256 | 0.8%2 W · 254 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b2…2174backed Yes | 0c | 2,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b65…08ccbacked Yes | 0c | 2,319$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a59…a364backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -72%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…0ae8backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7391…a352backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45c8…3fdcbacked Yes | 2c | 1,859$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4e…47f0backed Yes | 1c | 1,750$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 1c | 1,638$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 279 | 2.5%7 W · 272 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0b…6946backed Yes | 1c | 1,456$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a7…320cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,365$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.42 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75cf…a0b7backed Yes | 2c | 1,300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07bd…b49fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,105$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4181…de86backed Yes | 1c | 1,050$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 88 | 15.9%14 W · 74 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a42…5ba5backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd28…9df9backed Yes | 2c | 999.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46fa…9a8cbacked Yes | 2c | 975$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83fe…6b61backed Yes | 2c | 975$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa909…6badbacked Yes | 2c | 975$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff54…9e29backed Yes | 2c | 944.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6225…5eb6backed Yes | 2c | 910$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1b…9e26backed Yes | 2c | 910$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7e…71b7backed Yes | 2c | 910$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x992e…53abbacked Yes | 1c | 863.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21de…cb92backed Yes | 2c | 811.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf093…f3b1backed Yes | 3c | 782.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3873…77c6backed Yes | 3c | 765.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…1592backed Yes | 1c | 686.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 21cpaid | -90.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d65…beb4backed Yes | 2c | 618.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e9…245dbacked Yes | 2c | 585$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb045…9c46backed Yes | 2c | 529.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?this page
- Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No won
- Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No won
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No won
- Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No won
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes won
- Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.