La Liga · resolved market
Will Valencia vs. Real Betis end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a9eedc0b39d93502b0f7f9125a9f15fb26c2eef59c6419b8d8d1c851dd3cb7a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,381
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,710
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,381 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 1c | 11,111$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.11 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +15.1wins | +0.30per pick | 14cpaid | +663.6%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes | 29c | 3,528$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,505.32 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 71c | 2,916$2,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,078.76 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 55c | 2,260$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,232.65 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Yes | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 41c | 1,769$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.78 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 28c | 1,429$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.57 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 71c | 1,180$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.87 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 28c | 535.71$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.71 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…6786backed Yes | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1142…a9bfbacked No | 68c | 500$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 59c | 470.63$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.14 | 157 | 50.3%79 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…6116backed Yes | 70c | 437.99$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.4 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 52cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…a465backed Yes | 54c | 367.2$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.2 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 14c | 361.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.62 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 144 | 27.8%40 W · 104 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 28c | 341$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.52 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Yes | 27c | 333.11$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.17 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.19per pick | 28cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8985…2e25backed Yes | 28c | 300$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf35b…06c8backed Yes | 28c | 285.71$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Yes | 26c | 270.27$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 238 | 55.9%133 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 45c | 212$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.22 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed No | 48c | 209.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked Yes | 54c | 187$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.02 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x651a…a2ccbacked Yes | 65c | 183.67$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.67 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5f…446bbacked Yes | 28c | 145$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.4 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79f0…964ebacked Yes | 66c | 127.92$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.02 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x485f…f682backed Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 70c | 110.8$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.29 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…3e38backed Yes | 46c | 109.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.13 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +6.3wins | +0.33per pick | 40cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1486…432cbacked Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.14 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…385abacked No | 73c | 105.48$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 40 | 85%34 W · 6 L | +6.9wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed No | 55c | 103.64$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95a5…4f7cbacked Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed No | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 72c | 80.02$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.07 | 290 | 38.6%112 W · 178 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 74.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.24 | 141 | 66.7%94 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x446b…c75cbacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd2…f9aebacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 72c | 60$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbc…6d64backed Yes | 36c | 55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b68…0060backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1db5…79f4backed Yes | 62c | 48.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe08…40bebacked No | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x779d…5f8dbacked No | 70c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc02…958abacked Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x604a…8379backed Yes | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…eea2backed Yes | 40c | 35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 71c | 34.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x413d…d704backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x845d…dc86backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +105.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6651…49b2backed Yes | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9fa…c365backed Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…67bebacked Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefb2…b043backed No | 59c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb3…8b32backed No | 73c | 22.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.31per pick | 58cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xafa2…e7c0backed No | 73c | 21.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x709f…635abacked Yes | 71c | 14.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.13 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f42…5b96backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Valencia vs. Real Betis end in a draw?this page
- Will Real Betis win on 2025-11-09?No won
- Will Valencia win on 2025-11-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.