La Liga · resolved market
Will Valencia win on 2025-11-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x536c2e3835d459cd58aae3744a6d0939cfa68aa78b035a719751bd44df94acb1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,144
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,575
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,144 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3759…208ebacked Yes | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7540…47eebacked No | 76c | 4,325$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 73c | 3,078$2,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.96 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 29c | 3,050$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.57 | 155 | 16.1%25 W · 130 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 23c | 2,911$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.02 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes | 11c | 2,064$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Yes | 29c | 1,716$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.43 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Yes | 27c | 855.08$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.1 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 22c | 757.53$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.2 | 157 | 50.3%79 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 27c | 702.42$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.56 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked No | 77c | 652.81$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.81 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 17c | 538.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.41 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes | 23c | 535.24$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 69 | 31.9%22 W · 47 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked Yes | 19c | 437$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.81 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed No | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 72cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 72c | 369.93$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.58 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89de…9bc9backed Yes | 29c | 324.86$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.6 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01af…f34ebacked Yes | 28c | 310$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aac…1b1cbacked Yes | 28c | 285.71$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed No | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 28c | 254$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.12 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…ee32backed No | 75c | 199.92$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.92 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33ef…8694backed Yes | 31c | 194.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5dd…490bbacked No | 73c | 193.79$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.32 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -3.2wins | -0.35per pick | 69cpaid | -56%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7cff…6471backed Yes | 28c | 174.05$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.34 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7685…482cbacked No | 74c | 172.41$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.88 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed Yes | 30c | 166.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.08 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Yes | 28c | 165$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 72c | 155$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…a80dbacked Yes | 27c | 150$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes | 28c | 146.43$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…7650backed No | 73c | 145$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.15 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…ca74backed Yes | 25c | 121.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Yes | 27c | 120$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Yes | 28c | 117$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked Yes | 20c | 115$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked No | 73c | 102.74$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 147 | 59.2%87 W · 60 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b9…3d59backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 72c | 96.98$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.15 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Yes | 27c | 95$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 226 | 38.5%87 W · 139 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 31c | 87.14$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | +20.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…7b61backed No | 73c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x795f…1871backed No | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…aaecbacked No | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2c…e2fdbacked Yes | 30c | 66.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 28c | 64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6d…a980backed No | 73c | 61.64$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34cc…b00ebacked Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b43…467fbacked Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d55…1e94backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2383…e639backed No | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…8150backed No | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x897d…90c9backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9f…5b6fbacked Yes | 28c | 38.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed No | 73c | 38.36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba9…c2a0backed Yes | 28c | 35.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc2…4837backed No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 71c | 28.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 72c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e27…8346backed No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 67cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x428b…d8aebacked No | 73c | 27.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb3…8b32backed No | 72c | 23.1$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.31per pick | 58cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3f…43dcbacked No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x999d…62f6backed No | 74c | 13.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Valencia win on 2025-11-09?this page
- Will Real Betis win on 2025-11-09?No won
- Will Valencia vs. Real Betis end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.