TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Real Betis win on 2025-11-09?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$123,530
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$119,741

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,530 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed No56c35,000$19,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,40017248.8%84 W · 88 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Yes44c30,945$13,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,615.665040%20 W · 30 L-7.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-31.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No58c13,553$7,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,729.694,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No55c11,832$6,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,372.1327453.6%147 W · 127 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd814…7f65backed Yes45c10,005$4,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,502.141643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-34.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No57c7,274$4,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,127.1915750.3%79 W · 78 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd7e…1d5abacked Yes46c6,510$2,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,994850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes47c5,520$2,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,580.963145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes34c5,248$1,767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,767.493,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed No67c5,077$3,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,688.337445.9%34 W · 40 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2839…0efebacked Yes46c3,512$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6001338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27b2…865ebacked Yes38c3,122$1,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,197.541233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-39.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes35c2,832$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.3329038.6%112 W · 178 L-1.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8193…0e5abacked Yes17c2,642$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes42c2,459$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.815940.7%24 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf327…34dbbacked No64c1,561$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+42.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked No55c1,454$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.5510956.9%62 W · 47 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes40c1,288$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52028342.8%121 W · 162 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1488…409dbacked Yes45c1,231$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5542951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dcf…146ebacked Yes35c1,052$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3671942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes65c1,014$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.5325872.9%188 W · 70 L+23.2wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+12.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x985c…e5d2backed Yes45c962.99$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4301020%2 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-67.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No62c953.8$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.1617155%94 W · 77 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes42c950$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.3920255%111 W · 91 L-0.6wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7aba…7442backed Yes46c940.32$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.477045.7%32 W · 38 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes45c777.78$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35010250%51 W · 51 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bae…55b5backed Yes45c772.86$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.022425%6 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-34%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xde17…68d2backed Yes24c691.48$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.43964.1%25 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Yes44c681.82$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002770.4%19 W · 8 L+4.2wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+30.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked No54c676.94$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.395740.4%23 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a54…f7f9backed Yes45c666.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No55c595.17$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.8325648.4%124 W · 132 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf67c…2f87backed Yes27c582.19$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Yes45c577.93$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26011444.7%51 W · 63 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed No54c527.97$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.863455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3b9…203bbacked Yes45c522.64$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes33c500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1652454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes32c500$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1608550.6%43 W · 42 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No53c452.15$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.5129545.4%134 W · 161 L-0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa429…792bbacked Yes45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006035%21 W · 39 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x27df…e67cbacked Yes47c427.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.8wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-43.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8c67…63fcbacked Yes45c406.06$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.459158.2%53 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8a0…f967backed Yes41c388$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.483246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No55c374.02$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.8253246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No55c369.97$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.498939.3%35 W · 54 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02d…16cabacked Yes42c366.25$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15420047.5%95 W · 105 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No67c360.67$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.0955941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked Yes39c331.69$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1302142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Yes73c330$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.422859.6%136 W · 92 L+18.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+55.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x13b4…6426backed Yes46c304.28$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.9720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Yes46c300.92$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.655367.9%36 W · 17 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x97b5…42f9backed Yes34c300$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1022138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-35.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes40c292.24$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.3112338.2%47 W · 76 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3504…e042backed Yes45c290$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.51573.3%11 W · 4 L+5.4wins+0.36per pick38cpaid+117.4%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x5dc9…30c1backed Yes45c288.89$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes34c288.24$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+28.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes44c273$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.1248934.4%168 W · 321 L+26.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa4f…8921backed Yes13c257.73$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.42236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes44c256.97$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.0714540.7%59 W · 86 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35fb…4ce5backed Yes32c250$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-39.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf133…928dbacked Yes45c223.84$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4caf…6de9backed Yes45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61e1…adf1backed Yes45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+25.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4aa1…f2a0backed Yes46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-41.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7180…bdbabacked Yes46c215.61$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006639.4%26 W · 40 L-8.9wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-25.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9ea2…a465backed Yes72c200$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1441080%8 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+36.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x35b9…1d44backed No55c199.99$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.992347.8%11 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2212…b427backed Yes26c192$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.927853.8%42 W · 36 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed Yes45c177.87$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809557.9%55 W · 40 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2173…d713backed Yes46c174.7$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.361163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0e6…7358backed Yes43c173.88$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751650%8 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x064a…9c2fbacked Yes46c172.06$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick61cpaid-28.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4935…4662backed Yes39c163.58$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+47.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0db7…5c06backed Yes45c156.24$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.3111137.8%42 W · 69 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes46c151$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.466035%21 W · 39 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a5f…446bbacked Yes46c150$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No54c148$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.0835054%189 W · 161 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506833.8%23 W · 45 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2149…3a74backed Yes38c144.65$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa43…3215backed Yes28c142.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-55.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506443.8%28 W · 36 L+6.7wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+33.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9006…385abacked No57c135.09$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.094085%34 W · 6 L+6.9wins+0.17per pick68cpaid+27.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xdcc4…01e2backed Yes46c120.75$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-39.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1166…a8e1backed Yes44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505442.6%23 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x443d…017fbacked Yes45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf64…92bdbacked Yes45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505648.2%27 W · 29 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e6…1abcbacked Yes45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-29.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d5a…1427backed Yes45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503020%6 W · 24 L-6.6wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-53.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x8a9d…69fbbacked Yes37c108.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed No20c106.93$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.548940.4%36 W · 53 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf26…39a6backed Yes46c105.65$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.62951.7%15 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6651…49b2backed Yes45c104.44$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes52c103.61$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.9340033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes45c102.22$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4617643.8%77 W · 99 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8cb…797abacked Yes45c101.29$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.58425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02d7…2d86backed No57c100.18$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.18425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-56.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4dc4…306fbacked Yes45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-24.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0be2…d514backed Yes41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413842.1%16 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8adb…50bcbacked Yes45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.