TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pelicans vs. Mavericks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Mavericksof Pelicans, Mavericks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,270,801
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,334,021

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,270,801 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 839 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Pelicans28c80,000$22,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,399.9838248.7%186 W · 196 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0140…9028backed Pelicans39c70,000$27,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,099.974544.4%20 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ae5…8342backed Pelicans59c67,709$39,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,703.481346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Mavericks57c55,879$31,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,296.1534062.1%211 W · 129 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Mavericks61c48,747$29,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,063.242,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4335…fc2fbacked Pelicans39c40,000$15,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,60017354.3%94 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Mavericks61c40,000$24,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,6007946.8%37 W · 42 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Pelicans44c32,450$14,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,116.0826038.1%99 W · 161 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Mavericks61c25,555$15,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,966.4472648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x575a…bba6backed Mavericks20c24,953$5,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,897.3912529.6%37 W · 88 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Mavericks61c22,712$13,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,817.872,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Pelicans31c21,667$6,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,817.532,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Pelicans41c18,318$7,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,570.561,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Mavericks74c17,673$13,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,540.5673649.9%367 W · 369 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Mavericks62c17,000$10,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,46048448.8%236 W · 248 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Pelicans38c15,822$6,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,077.531,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pelicans53c14,688$7,782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,782.058,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ce2…e868backed Pelicans37c13,501$4,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,995.525850%29 W · 29 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Mavericks62c13,100$8,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,042.7547751.8%247 W · 230 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6ce…0772backed Mavericks61c12,787$7,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,986.9311741.9%49 W · 68 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Mavericks48c10,690$5,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,591.391,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Pelicans50c10,200$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,10059646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe12a…67efbacked Mavericks62c10,000$6,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,799.9915841.1%65 W · 93 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe734…8f6abacked Pelicans38c10,000$3,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,799.9719150.8%97 W · 94 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Mavericks48c9,890$4,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,101.2848046%221 W · 259 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Pelicans39c9,205$3,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,567.855346.8%259 W · 294 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Mavericks61c8,706$5,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,395.4970147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0d0…f32dbacked Mavericks59c8,700$5,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,566.98966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+48.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x53e5…6177backed Mavericks61c7,500$4,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,9256152.5%32 W · 29 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Mavericks61c7,319$4,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,818.2369852%363 W · 335 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd08b…daa9backed Mavericks58c6,789$3,907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,882.164858.3%28 W · 20 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e6c…d4dabacked Pelicans39c6,500$2,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,529.943145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+16.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Pelicans80c6,001$4,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,801.0914856.1%83 W · 65 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Pelicans40c5,916$2,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,360.944459.7%265 W · 179 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Mavericks61c5,878$3,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,292.4944648%214 W · 232 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Mavericks53c5,831$3,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7601,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ddb…420bbacked Mavericks57c5,800$3,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,464.9929458.5%172 W · 122 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Pelicans40c5,103$2,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,041.1766250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Mavericks63c5,088$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,887.9631044.8%139 W · 171 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Pelicans33c5,050$1,663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,662.9980146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Pelicans8c5,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Pelicans38c5,000$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,899.961,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ce3…3bc3backed Pelicans52c4,835$2,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,516.42755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Mavericks51c4,637$2,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,263.8581529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Mavericks61c4,500$2,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,754.9847748.8%233 W · 244 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Mavericks41c4,428$1,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,614.363,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3605…1ae1backed Mavericks50c4,127$2,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,067.1123043%99 W · 131 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Pelicans39c4,111$1,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,603.1126544.9%119 W · 146 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Pelicans51c3,941$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00015549.7%77 W · 78 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Mavericks42c3,452$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,001.8852460.1%315 W · 209 L+35.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Mavericks61c3,333$2,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,299.8728850.3%145 W · 143 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20cb…719bbacked Mavericks62c3,226$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,225.811662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdec6…1d8ebacked Mavericks50c2,986$1,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,502.663256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea68…ff92backed Mavericks71c2,969$2,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$846.788743.7%38 W · 49 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Pelicans52c2,938$1,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,527.3485344%375 W · 478 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Mavericks61c2,895$1,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,142.321,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe427…4c44backed Mavericks63c2,874$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,073.868951.7%46 W · 43 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Mavericks49c2,752$1,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,405.95,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Pelicans40c2,712$1,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,084.911,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Pelicans41c2,705$1,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1098846.6%41 W · 47 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Mavericks22c2,653$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,075.821,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Pelicans40c2,500$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00582442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Pelicans1c2,500$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1142…a9bfbacked Mavericks73c2,500$1,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6803053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pelicans40c2,474$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.279,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Mavericks51c2,419$1,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,185.393,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4278…0e92backed Pelicans40c2,398$959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.1241652.2%217 W · 199 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Pelicans1c2,266$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.938783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fb7…082dbacked Pelicans41c2,207$905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904.7213250%66 W · 66 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Mavericks51c2,194$1,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,073.441,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x045d…d649backed Mavericks32c2,152$681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,470.912238.5%47 W · 75 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Mavericks61c2,080$1,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.4548347.2%228 W · 255 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Mavericks62c2,000$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76076850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed Pelicans31c2,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.9735547.3%168 W · 187 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed Pelicans39c2,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.9911649.1%57 W · 59 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+30.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Pelicans40c2,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.9936248.9%177 W · 185 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Pelicans38c2,000$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.0475347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Pelicans38c2,000$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.952,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1bc…bd81backed Mavericks45c1,988$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,088.1313558.5%79 W · 56 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe356…56abbacked Pelicans41c1,951$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-53.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b3b…11f6backed Mavericks60c1,951$1,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.4560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+44.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcad…c851backed Mavericks56c1,927$1,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8463850%19 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-27.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xce99…637ebacked Pelicans38c1,870$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.577458.1%43 W · 31 L+6.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d90…1310backed Mavericks39c1,865$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,130.2215274.3%113 W · 39 L+22.2wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+24.3%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x8ffa…241dbacked Pelicans39c1,800$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7022147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31b0…8c4cbacked Mavericks56c1,784$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.9311750.4%59 W · 58 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb9d…38bebacked Pelicans41c1,745$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.631353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd162…0d24backed Mavericks48c1,731$831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900.254843.8%21 W · 27 L+4.8wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+33.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb9e3…81f7backed Pelicans46c1,726$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8004847.9%23 W · 25 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-19.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed Mavericks60c1,700$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68014356.6%81 W · 62 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Pelicans37c1,700$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.9861835.4%219 W · 399 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Pelicans42c1,697$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.794,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb6b…943abacked Mavericks61c1,674$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.7315461.7%95 W · 59 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b18…5055backed Mavericks61c1,639$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.34450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed Mavericks62c1,613$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.916251.9%84 W · 78 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b21…7da2backed Pelicans41c1,600$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6561020%2 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-44.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Mavericks61c1,567$956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.0695049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Pelicans40c1,565$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6262,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Mavericks47c1,548$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.9247856.5%270 W · 208 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Mavericks47c1,548$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.281,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.