TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bulls vs. Nuggets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bullsof Bulls, Nuggets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,567,978
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,795,963

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,567,978 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,013 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf3db…0b3cbacked Bulls13c177,401$22,718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154,683.181936.8%7 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7606…2836backed Bulls32c169,260$54,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115,127.892365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+24.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Nuggets57c158,763$90,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90,553.51,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Nuggets47c137,492$64,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64,547.738248.7%186 W · 196 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5646…3819backed Bulls14c76,841$10,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65,987.8612938.8%50 W · 79 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Bulls17c56,300$9,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,56520253.5%108 W · 94 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Nuggets78c48,056$37,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,609.9825753.7%138 W · 119 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Bulls31c38,581$11,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,659.227917.9%50 W · 229 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b71…8044backed Bulls14c37,269$5,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,950.398939.3%35 W · 54 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x500e…5822backed Bulls54c33,530$18,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,304.024645.7%21 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00d6…aa44backed Bulls11c32,045$3,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,520.445815.5%9 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Bulls38c27,535$10,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,943.424,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe653…c4a7backed Bulls52c27,505$14,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,221.122457.1%128 W · 96 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ad4…3c1abacked Nuggets50c20,000$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0007748.1%37 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8605…750fbacked Nuggets1c20,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Nuggets1c18,150$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.564517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Nuggets44c17,183$7,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,502.511,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Bulls46c17,098$7,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,215.9126038.1%99 W · 161 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Bulls42c16,256$6,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,483.881,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Bulls46c16,252$7,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,787.511,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Nuggets51c15,803$8,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,134.641,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Bulls39c15,584$6,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,557.3925925.9%67 W · 192 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eef…76bbbacked Bulls14c14,980$2,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,882.81163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.25per pick38cpaid+126.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Bulls18c13,656$2,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,212.6766744.5%297 W · 370 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Nuggets34c13,585$4,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,627.261,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Nuggets74c13,359$9,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,908.3934645.4%157 W · 189 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Bulls27c13,173$3,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,592.1244459.7%265 W · 179 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Nuggets46c12,134$5,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,570.7680146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Bulls51c11,305$5,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,537.3234062.1%211 W · 129 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdeaf…dbaabacked Nuggets35c11,000$3,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,90037930.6%116 W · 263 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Bulls21c10,616$2,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,392.2885742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc568…1a8cbacked Nuggets49c10,106$4,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,956.083844.7%17 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Nuggets60c10,000$6,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,049.971,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Nuggets42c9,873$4,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,169.351,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Nuggets39c9,062$3,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,535.9281529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xddfc…38e5backed Nuggets51c8,672$4,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,419.492236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-32.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Nuggets64c8,432$5,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,389.1776850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Nuggets42c8,353$3,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,481.523,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf680…63eabacked Bulls12c8,300$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,304560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+120.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff0c…c3e4backed Bulls12c8,300$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,303.98580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+145.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4517…f700backed Bulls21c7,914$1,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,224.2317147.4%81 W · 90 L+13.7wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+36.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe3e4…9241backed Bulls13c7,898$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,898.273432.4%11 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid+21.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc701…f932backed Nuggets58c7,000$4,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,052.725250%26 W · 26 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3719…2df0backed Bulls51c6,500$3,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,174.992941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Nuggets57c6,194$3,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,537.495,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3d0…5c32backed Bulls45c6,125$2,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,341.984129.3%12 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Bulls12c5,050$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,4441,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Bulls14c5,000$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,274.91,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Bulls52c4,896$2,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,364.3648845.3%221 W · 267 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fd1…4ea6backed Bulls66c4,889$3,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,678.792544%11 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f4e…31cbbacked Nuggets61c4,617$2,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,832.8516750.9%85 W · 82 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc35a…e5d8backed Nuggets78c4,582$3,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,573.916440.6%26 W · 38 L-9.1wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-28.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Nuggets54c4,547$2,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,440.241,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Bulls12c4,257$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,745.52,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fd2…1e85backed Nuggets40c4,199$1,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,670.579131.9%29 W · 62 L-0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Nuggets34c4,146$1,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,397.527041.5%112 W · 158 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Nuggets69c4,000$2,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,75078445.8%359 W · 425 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Bulls36c3,874$1,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,477.531,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd3a…67cabacked Bulls15c3,800$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,243.2150838.2%194 W · 314 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed Bulls13c3,676$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,200.3424330.9%75 W · 168 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ddb…420bbacked Nuggets72c3,512$2,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,534.7629458.5%172 W · 122 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Bulls16c3,331$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,798.371,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Bulls13c3,255$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,838.752,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ff5…f136backed Bulls37c3,206$1,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,030.7526048.1%125 W · 135 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Nuggets5c3,100$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.1522243.7%97 W · 125 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x022b…b28cbacked Bulls11c3,100$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,748.8716730.5%51 W · 116 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Bulls13c3,000$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,61082442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Bulls55c3,000$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,35043051.4%221 W · 209 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1252…dec2backed Nuggets56c3,000$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6804052.5%21 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1bc…bd81backed Nuggets54c2,949$1,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,584.213558.5%79 W · 56 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Bulls12c2,920$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,569.192,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb406…4964backed Bulls56c2,864$1,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,250.954757.4%27 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f4b…e0dbbacked Nuggets70c2,586$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8002759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Nuggets17c2,550$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.192,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1013…87d5backed Bulls32c2,399$773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,625.688863.6%56 W · 32 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+5.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Bulls49c2,389$1,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,216.2785344%375 W · 478 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b4a…57fcbacked Nuggets75c2,367$1,769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,768.52333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22d0…6293backed Bulls22c2,343$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,827.2210451%53 W · 51 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Nuggets43c2,326$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00013153.4%70 W · 61 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf485…d672backed Bulls18c2,213$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,814.471163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+53.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb433…7705backed Bulls35c2,106$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,364.113036.7%11 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick25cpaid+25%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Bulls11c2,066$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,838.6734855.2%192 W · 156 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Nuggets42c2,013$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842.3320851.4%107 W · 101 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff12…09f9backed Bulls60c2,007$1,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810.819388.1%170 W · 23 L+48.6wins+0.25per pick63cpaid+46.2%equal weight75+0.22 edge/pick
0xdefe…bdb8backed Bulls13c2,000$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7404725.5%12 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-32.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Bulls11c2,000$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,78047535.8%170 W · 305 L+41.1wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Nuggets63c2,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,259.9929858.7%175 W · 123 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8331…965abacked Nuggets55c1,979$1,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,091.624755.3%26 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3605…1ae1backed Nuggets48c1,937$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92223043%99 W · 131 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20b9…9110backed Bulls46c1,929$887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,041.4213950.4%70 W · 69 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid+9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Bulls26c1,927$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,427.1931044.8%139 W · 171 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x045d…d649backed Nuggets43c1,865$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79712238.5%47 W · 75 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d71…87d5backed Bulls22c1,749$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,361.251833.3%6 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcbdd…5905backed Nuggets62c1,749$1,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0904156.1%23 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x830d…3f0ebacked Bulls12c1,713$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,507.4116532.1%53 W · 112 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Nuggets66c1,705$1,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,120.9719434.5%67 W · 127 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Bulls13c1,700$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,471.9933743.6%147 W · 190 L-1.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3dd…45d3backed Bulls12c1,667$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,466.676355.6%35 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6878…bec2backed Bulls16c1,667$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,406.677940.5%32 W · 47 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ca8…ddddbacked Bulls53c1,661$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781.2327846.8%130 W · 148 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.