NBA · resolved market
Hornets vs. Heat
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48d68a0001d33e692b8f3fa9e5958ee08100592384cb5476164daeb11d0e11be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heatof Hornets, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,933,608
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,969,027
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,933,608 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 458 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3987…259ebacked Hornets | 30c | 1,202,445$360,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360,733.49 | 80 | 22.5%18 W · 62 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Heat | 70c | 1,035,534$724,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310,660.2 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac25…433fbacked Hornets | 33c | 179,300$58,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,771.9 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Heat | 70c | 85,993$60,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,797.9 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Heat | 66c | 55,770$36,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,211.35 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Heat | 68c | 39,108$26,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,489.13 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Heat | 70c | 30,000$21,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,000 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Heat | 74c | 27,104$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,104.42 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Heat | 70c | 25,000$17,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,500 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b71…8044backed Hornets | 35c | 19,400$6,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,808 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Heat | 67c | 17,926$12,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,902.35 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Heat | 65c | 17,631$11,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,191.38 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Hornets | 27c | 16,921$4,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,562.77 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d8…2478backed Heat | 69c | 16,825$11,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,215.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 71cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Hornets | 30c | 16,365$4,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,982.04 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Heat | 70c | 15,000$10,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17c1…a606backed Heat | 71c | 14,889$10,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,377.91 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea34…0a92backed Heat | 67c | 13,456$9,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,442.6 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Hornets | 14c | 13,155$1,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840.75 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed Heat | 70c | 13,000$9,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,900 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa091…77fdbacked Hornets | 18c | 12,300$2,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,214 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed Heat | 79c | 11,649$9,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,453.37 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Heat | 67c | 10,432$7,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,418.33 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedff…7218backed Hornets | 5c | 10,065$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fa…ae2ebacked Heat | 64c | 10,000$6,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 67cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed Heat | 69c | 9,525$6,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,952.64 | 130 | 63.8%83 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ed…98afbacked Hornets | 11c | 9,468$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e81…a854backed Heat | 74c | 8,067$6,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,058.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hornets | 19c | 7,169$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,353.14 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Heat | 71c | 7,042$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,042.25 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Heat | 64c | 6,896$4,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,475.23 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Heat | 70c | 6,000$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596e…7b82backed Hornets | 31c | 5,419$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Hornets | 6c | 5,257$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.48 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Hornets | 29c | 5,100$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…372abacked Hornets | 29c | 5,000$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Heat | 66c | 5,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Hornets | 8c | 5,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…2e01backed Hornets | 32c | 4,369$1,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,418.06 | 167 | 49.1%82 W · 85 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Hornets | 36c | 4,310$1,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,551.6 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…da5ebacked Heat | 71c | 4,251$3,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.4 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Hornets | 35c | 4,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 181 | 42%76 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…353fbacked Hornets | 36c | 4,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.98 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Hornets | 31c | 3,825$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.29 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa727…8289backed Heat | 69c | 3,797$2,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.1 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Hornets | 36c | 3,580$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.63 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…67cabacked Hornets | 22c | 2,974$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.62 | 508 | 38.2%194 W · 314 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Hornets | 35c | 2,937$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.66 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Hornets | 16c | 2,935$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.79 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb43…9d70backed Heat | 71c | 2,813$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.64 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Hornets | 35c | 2,652$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9325…f40abacked Hornets | 37c | 2,500$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Hornets | 26c | 2,495$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.28 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe61f…8beebacked Hornets | 22c | 2,308$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee2e…f422backed Heat | 69c | 2,200$1,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Hornets | 35c | 2,149$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.7 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fdd…5feabacked Hornets | 24c | 2,089$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Hornets | 29c | 2,027$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.74 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c2…39edbacked Hornets | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 106 | 35.8%38 W · 68 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Hornets | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Heat | 69c | 1,969$1,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.07 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Hornets | 4c | 1,930$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.8 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Heat | 63c | 1,927$1,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.94 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e78…4d28backed Hornets | 28c | 1,818$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Hornets | 3c | 1,800$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.75 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…770cbacked Heat | 75c | 1,770$1,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.43 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Hornets | 26c | 1,764$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.65 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee0…37a4backed Heat | 64c | 1,700$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Hornets | 26c | 1,654$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.92 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dba…daa8backed Hornets | 37c | 1,644$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.19 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf890…f172backed Heat | 64c | 1,644$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.75 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Hornets | 29c | 1,606$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.67 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Heat | 68c | 1,600$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.06 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Heat | 68c | 1,510$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.29 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Heat | 66c | 1,503$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.62 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…fb63backed Hornets | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Hornets | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.99 | 194 | 41.2%80 W · 114 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Hornets | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x072a…3e85backed Hornets | 36c | 1,495$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.34 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00c7…bb17backed Heat | 71c | 1,408$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.45 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Hornets | 36c | 1,400$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.97 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Hornets | 34c | 1,391$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Hornets | 12c | 1,317$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.08 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Hornets | 1c | 1,303$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 185 | 18.4%34 W · 151 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8f…6202backed Heat | 64c | 1,300$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Hornets | 6c | 1,160$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.87 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Hornets | 27c | 1,149$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.99 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Heat | 74c | 1,140$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.56 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…6771backed Hornets | 33c | 1,126$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…dc1bbacked Heat | 76c | 1,125$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.21 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Heat | 68c | 1,044$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.17 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf967…8cd4backed Heat | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x730d…6cfabacked Hornets | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9644…d03bbacked Heat | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…4fdcbacked Heat | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Hornets | 22c | 1,000$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.01 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…8d6cbacked Heat | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd06a…837dbacked Heat | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35a8…feb4backed Hornets | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Hornets | 35c | 981.3$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.16 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hornets vs. Heatthis page
- 1H Spread: Heat (-2.5)Heat won
- Hornets vs. Heat: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Heat: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Heat: O/U 234.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Heat: O/U 235.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Heat: O/U 238.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Heat: O/U 239.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Heat: O/U 240.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Heat: O/U 242.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Heat: O/U 243.5Under won
- Spread: Heat (-4.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-5.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-6.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-7.5)Heat won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.