TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Mavericks vs. Timberwolves

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Timberwolvesof Mavericks, Timberwolves
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$772,977
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$762,357

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $772,977 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf3db…0b3cbacked Mavericks13c111,857$14,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,441.441936.8%7 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5646…3819backed Mavericks13c68,063$8,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,769.9612938.8%50 W · 79 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00d6…aa44backed Mavericks11c52,843$5,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,812.745815.5%9 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b71…8044backed Mavericks13c25,308$3,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2908939.3%35 W · 54 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Mavericks0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Mavericks12c24,253$2,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,910.362,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Mavericks0c19,550$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.3164517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Mavericks0c13,221$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.728820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd461…1d6cbacked Mavericks13c12,665$1,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,59815228.3%43 W · 109 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-27.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Mavericks12c11,000$1,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,329.991,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf922…e9c7backed Mavericks1c10,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002030%6 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-51.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Mavericks7c10,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.9976850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Mavericks4c9,324$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.671,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa710…4173backed Mavericks12c8,333$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.964035%14 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Mavericks11c8,247$929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$928.5685742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3e4…9241backed Mavericks13c7,692$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003432.4%11 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid+21.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Mavericks0c6,312$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.127211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2900…af64backed Mavericks12c5,555$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.62045%9 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Mavericks13c5,050$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.51,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Mavericks14c4,910$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.281,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Mavericks12c4,587$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.412,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc65…fd17backed Mavericks12c4,167$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Mavericks12c3,766$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.9244648%214 W · 232 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x022b…b28cbacked Mavericks12c3,400$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.9616730.5%51 W · 116 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x19fd…5838backed Mavericks11c3,333$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.125925.4%15 W · 44 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x77c9…d567backed Mavericks7c3,048$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.182133.3%7 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+27.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Mavericks0c3,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Mavericks13c3,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39073649.9%367 W · 369 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Mavericks0c2,937$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.168783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Mavericks13c2,908$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37848938.7%189 W · 300 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Mavericks3c2,790$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.391,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb97c…a418backed Mavericks7c2,611$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.232931%9 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8c2…39edbacked Mavericks11c2,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22010635.8%38 W · 68 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x830d…3f0ebacked Mavericks13c1,923$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25016532.1%53 W · 112 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Mavericks12c1,703$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.3626038.1%99 W · 161 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Mavericks14c1,645$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.4347028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc7f1…dcbbbacked Mavericks13c1,538$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20070%0 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2fd2…1e85backed Mavericks13c1,538$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009131.9%29 W · 62 L-0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Mavericks13c1,538$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9462539.4%246 W · 379 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Mavericks12c1,500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18078445.8%359 W · 425 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95bb…ec41backed Mavericks7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100714.3%1 W · 6 L0.0wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-44.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mavericks12c1,315$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.82,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1142…a9bfbacked Mavericks13c1,200$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1563053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0838…f0f6backed Mavericks13c1,154$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6b64…dab3backed Mavericks9c1,150$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1057448.6%36 W · 38 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb0b…66f5backed Mavericks13c1,007$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+45%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4108…a80dbacked Mavericks14c1,000$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.5518239%71 W · 111 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69c2…40cfbacked Mavericks13c1,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13048132.6%157 W · 324 L-2.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Mavericks7c1,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7095641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Mavericks5c888.55$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9020…2cfcbacked Mavericks6c833.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502133.3%7 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick20cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa7f2…9b10backed Mavericks12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007953.2%42 W · 37 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5061…1b03backed Mavericks6c800$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4816540%66 W · 99 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Mavericks13c800$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1041,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf571…3a5dbacked Mavericks15c764.43$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.0217345.7%79 W · 94 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7de0…7c66backed Mavericks13c758.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040536.5%148 W · 257 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd87…dd8bbacked Mavericks7c749.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.54912.2%6 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick10cpaid+13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ae3…bc70backed Mavericks11c653.85$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7011149.5%55 W · 56 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6765…ef9dbacked Mavericks13c615.38$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+22.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b24…f36abacked Mavericks2c612.65$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.923644.4%16 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8343…5be0backed Mavericks12c593.67$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.241717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Mavericks11c546.2$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0824634.1%84 W · 162 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41f8…cdb3backed Mavericks13c538.46$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-35.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8161…99dabacked Mavericks13c500$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653450%17 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5bfa…b734backed Mavericks2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.22133.3%7 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdefe…bdb8backed Mavericks12c499.98$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604725.5%12 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-32.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb612…dc37backed Mavericks9c492.86$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434139%16 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Mavericks13c468.28$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.622,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fbf…6cf7backed Mavericks13c461.54$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609956.6%56 W · 43 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f8c…29fbbacked Mavericks13c456.08$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.29616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-69.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a68…6525backed Mavericks12c450$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545026%13 W · 37 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick21cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf75…7623backed Mavericks6c445.65$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.55127.5%14 W · 37 L-8.7wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-57.6%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xf531…b062backed Mavericks12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5054838%208 W · 340 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x714c…f68dbacked Mavericks13c400$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523225%8 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick25cpaid-34.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7137…6507backed Mavericks5c399.8$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9917331.2%54 W · 119 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed Mavericks12c399$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8828940.8%118 W · 171 L-1.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc57…78d2backed Mavericks13c393.62$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.17450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-26.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e62…0b71backed Mavericks8c390$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.283545.7%16 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Mavericks13c390$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.740648%195 W · 211 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e79…ff8bbacked Mavericks13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017456.9%99 W · 75 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Mavericks13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…1081backed Mavericks13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509457.4%54 W · 40 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Mavericks5c365.67$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.282,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3600…606fbacked Mavericks9c354.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Mavericks13c346$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.981,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2c0…466bbacked Mavericks12c340.51$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.22227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick33cpaid+12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8187…8b55backed Mavericks13c335.46$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.61616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-69.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x61e0…6199backed Mavericks13c330.77$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4330%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc89d…5909backed Mavericks15c314.55$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.58750.6%44 W · 43 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7c4…4eaabacked Mavericks13c311.69$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.52616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-69.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2ce…bca1backed Mavericks13c307.69$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4034747%163 W · 184 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x908d…1d99backed Mavericks10c250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.57640.8%31 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb133…c5adbacked Mavericks13c250$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.54344.2%19 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae4d…fc45backed Mavericks13c230.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011626.7%31 W · 85 L-16.8wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-36.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed Mavericks12c200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2434645.7%158 W · 188 L+12.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x94d2…d29cbacked Mavericks5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd50…c17bbacked Mavericks5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020443.6%89 W · 115 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35a4…17e3backed Mavericks13c192.31$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+66.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x23bf…805cbacked Mavericks12c189.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.457537.4%215 W · 360 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd08b…daa9backed Mavericks11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204858.3%28 W · 20 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.