NBA · resolved market
Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba6b2dcdcd6e16b5d0ffbb6c9fc84851051f89432707cdbdf6f7886e5311bbb4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Timberwolves, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,899
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,008
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,899 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Timberwolves | 50c | 50,000$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,000 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Mavericks | 50c | 34,034$17,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,017.11 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Mavericks | 50c | 13,760$6,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,879.92 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Timberwolves | 49c | 8,000$3,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,079.94 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffad…87fdbacked Mavericks | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mavericks | 51c | 2,900$1,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,472.36 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f1…dcbbbacked Mavericks | 53c | 1,888$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86d8…b853backed Mavericks | 51c | 1,880$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -38%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4932…9eb0backed Timberwolves | 49c | 1,880$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Timberwolves | 49c | 1,745$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.9 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…3308backed Mavericks | 53c | 1,475$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b1…a7b6backed Timberwolves | 50c | 904.4$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.2 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…1760backed Mavericks | 51c | 903.92$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +51%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Mavericks | 53c | 754.72$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed Timberwolves | 48c | 399.99$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.99 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Timberwolves | 49c | 280$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.23 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fab…ba37backed Mavericks | 51c | 250.35$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.68 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…c6d8backed Mavericks | 51c | 250.35$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.68 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x792f…cb67backed Mavericks | 51c | 250.35$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.68 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46c8…6239backed Mavericks | 51c | 250.35$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.68 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d17…bc4cbacked Mavericks | 51c | 250.35$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.68 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Mavericks | 52c | 249.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Mavericks | 51c | 233.2$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.93 | 356 | 51.1%182 W · 174 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Mavericks | 52c | 188.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.28 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Mavericks | 51c | 181.51$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.57 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 377 | 50.4%190 W · 187 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Mavericks | 50c | 144$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Mavericks | 50c | 144$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36be…30bcbacked Mavericks | 51c | 138.24$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed Mavericks | 52c | 100.26$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.14 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Mavericks | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fb…16d8backed Timberwolves | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Mavericks | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 346 | 45.7%158 W · 188 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aba…0831backed Mavericks | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 185 | 58.4%108 W · 77 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5da9…582ebacked Mavericks | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2de…6e5cbacked Mavericks | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…908dbacked Mavericks | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 166 | 50%83 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Timberwolves | 48c | 89.37$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.47 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Mavericks | 51c | 76.64$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.09 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Mavericks | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 331 | 47.4%157 W · 174 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffb2…3bb5backed Mavericks | 52c | 57.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Mavericks | 18c | 57.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8deb…d8e2backed Timberwolves | 49c | 50.55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.78 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Timberwolves | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a12…9d86backed Mavericks | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Mavericks | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Timberwolves | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Mavericks | 50c | 48.66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Mavericks | 50c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Mavericks | 50c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 312 | 50.3%157 W · 155 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Mavericks | 50c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Mavericks | 50c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 479 | 48%230 W · 249 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Mavericks | 50c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b8…68a5backed Mavericks | 51c | 47.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Mavericks | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…6d11backed Mavericks | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Mavericks | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 685 | 42.6%292 W · 393 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Mavericks | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 285 | 47.7%136 W · 149 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c9…8174backed Mavericks | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…7701backed Mavericks | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Timberwolves | 48c | 37.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Mavericks | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 734 | 45.5%334 W · 400 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Mavericks | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 317 | 54.6%173 W · 144 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Mavericks | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 340 | 53.8%183 W · 157 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Mavericks | 53c | 31.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46a0…f721backed Timberwolves | 48c | 31.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.06 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Mavericks | 50c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Mavericks | 50c | 30.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 273 | 50.9%139 W · 134 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…cad6backed Mavericks | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x310a…d559backed Mavericks | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Mavericks | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 342 | 54.1%185 W · 157 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd13c…8938backed Timberwolves | 50c | 26.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Mavericks | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 624 | 50%312 W · 312 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Mavericks | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 245 | 52.7%129 W · 116 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Mavericks | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Mavericks | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +20.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Mavericks | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Mavericks | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Mavericks | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Mavericks | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Mavericks | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 252 | 50.8%128 W · 124 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Mavericks | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 366 | 51.4%188 W · 178 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Mavericks | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 260 | 40%104 W · 156 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Mavericks | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Mavericks | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 273 | 53.8%147 W · 126 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Mavericks | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 315 | 51.1%161 W · 154 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Mavericks | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Mavericks | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Mavericks | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Mavericks | 51c | 20.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2d…356bbacked Mavericks | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 47cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f17…2332backed Timberwolves | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)this page
- Mavericks vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves won
- Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 227.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 229.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 230.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 231.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5Under won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-12.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-13.5)Timberwolves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.