TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd13c…8938

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
65
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 58 out of 100; worst NHL at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST2166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+104.1%+$26.02
Trail Blazers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+51.5%+$12.88
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Hornets vs. Netsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Clippers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+42.9%+$10.71
Bulls vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+29.9%+$7.47
Bucks vs. Wizardsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+42.9%+$10.71
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$105
Knicks vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Celtics vs. Nets: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Celtics vs. Nets: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Warriors vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+130.8%+$13.73
Spread: Nuggets (-13.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+100.9%+$13.12
Hornets vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+66.7%+$13.33
Bucks vs. Cavaliersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Warriors vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Clippers vs. Mavericksbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+66.7%+$33.33
Trail Blazers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+33.3%+$16.67
Heat vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+49.3%+$24.63
All 21 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST1233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-38.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kraken vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+25%+$2.5
Wild vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Utah vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+143.9%+$43.17
Ducks vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Blue Jackets vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Jets vs. Sabresbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+122.2%+$36.67
Panthers vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Utah vs. Ducksbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$10.63
Flyers vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Penguins vs. Predatorsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Islanders vs. Golden Knightsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+47.1%+$23.53
All 12 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-40.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: B8 vs 3DMAX (BO3)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TYLOO (BO3)backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs M80 (BO3)backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3)backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP (BO3)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+92.3%+$23.08
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Passion UA (BO3)backed fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: NIP vs NRG (BO1)backed NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO3)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+58%+$57.96
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs paiN (BO3)backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+85.2%+$42.59
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick32cpaid+232.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Memphis vs. East Carolinabacked East Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+68.1%+$8.79
Spread: Alabama (-6.5)backed Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+89.8%+$13.47
Clemson vs. Louisvillebacked Louisville · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+110%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UAB Blazers vs. Middle Tennessee Blue Raidersbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+138.1%+$34.52
Iona Gaels vs. Delaware Fightin' Blue Hensbacked Iona Gaels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+81.8%+$20.45
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Giants vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+31.6%+$7.89
Buccaneers vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+40.8%+$20.42
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club win on 2025-12-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will CA Barracas Central win on 2025-12-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-11-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+100%+$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+88.7%+$17.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+35.1%+$17.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Valencia win on 2025-11-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.