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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Iona Gaels vs. Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Iona Gaelsof Iona Gaels, Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$110,546
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$132,149

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,546 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1e3a…4033backed Iona Gaels60c42,000$25,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,80011662.1%72 W · 44 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens40c40,900$16,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,36069142.8%296 W · 395 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x387c…57b3backed Iona Gaels57c17,496$9,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,499.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-41.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens43c12,712$5,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,482.1312,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens47c5,000$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3505944.1%26 W · 33 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens42c4,188$1,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,762.085,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Iona Gaels57c3,265$1,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,387.9915557.4%89 W · 66 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Iona Gaels53c2,250$1,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,057.574649.2%367 W · 379 L+1.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6723…a540backed Iona Gaels56c1,898$1,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.765662.5%35 W · 21 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens44c1,785$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787.7623158.9%136 W · 95 L+23.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+10.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens41c1,635$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.181,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens46c1,334$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.741,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens45c1,156$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.53,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens30c1,113$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.699641.7%40 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens45c973.66$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.845,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9413…0fe4backed Iona Gaels56c905.36$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.362100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea81…eeaebacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens43c800$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3441,22727.8%341 W · 886 L-0.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Iona Gaels53c763$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.6112853.1%68 W · 60 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f4f…6dddbacked Iona Gaels56c564.25$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.184440.9%18 W · 26 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x014d…144cbacked Iona Gaels54c425.64$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.76450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5384…9d80backed Iona Gaels57c387.33$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.341560%9 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+28.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens36c316.67$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1142227.3%6 W · 16 L-3.9wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-45.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Iona Gaels57c300$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12917051.2%87 W · 83 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Iona Gaels55c288$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.0263551.5%327 W · 308 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec30…f1aabacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens45c277.78$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-30%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Iona Gaels47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7739144.5%174 W · 217 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b28…66f0backed Iona Gaels55c208.17$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.176346%29 W · 34 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9082048.2%395 W · 425 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens45c187.59$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.3852928.4%150 W · 379 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens45c120$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5429444.6%131 W · 163 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens46c109.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8810037%37 W · 63 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-30.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6981…8ac5backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens49c103.82$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.872850%14 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Iona Gaels55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4535243.2%152 W · 200 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc54f…dce8backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2464322.9%147 W · 496 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Iona Gaels59c89.99$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.911,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens43c89.1$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.91,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Iona Gaels77c81$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.634738.3%18 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Iona Gaels57c66.67$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.6711055.5%61 W · 49 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Iona Gaels54c63.52$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.2255657.4%319 W · 237 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Iona Gaels58c51.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.729871.4%70 W · 28 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x68bf…3e67backed Iona Gaels51c51$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.151861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+22.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b23…bbb5backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens47c48.07$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.59650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+82.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd13c…8938backed Iona Gaels55c45.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.452100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+110%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x91b0…4da1backed Iona Gaels47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.552650%13 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19bc…7d78backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens47c39.61$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.492147.6%10 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe91c…e9a2backed Iona Gaels55c36.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.542100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+87.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xce04…9496backed Iona Gaels55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.361136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x882e…e757backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens36c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-45.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xedb5…ce8ebacked Iona Gaels58c25.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.864562.2%28 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens47c25.17$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8334947.9%167 W · 182 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b74…b58fbacked Iona Gaels76c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66373%46 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7e0…a433backed Iona Gaels61c22.5$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.715246.7%71 W · 81 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x00a0…890fbacked Iona Gaels54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick57cpaid+44.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.