NHL · resolved market
Kraken vs. Oilers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x210071bcac8b7c8dfdc187c9985adc044997055bfd7ed90287e5e3be6bd193d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oilersof Kraken, Oilers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $200,404
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $209,605
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $200,404 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 281 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Kraken | 35c | 27,323$9,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,563 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Oilers | 65c | 14,350$9,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,022.5 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Kraken | 36c | 12,358$4,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,449.05 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91cc…18c3backed Oilers | 67c | 11,903$7,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,926.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Kraken | 0c | 10,853$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7440…24fdbacked Kraken | 33c | 9,700$3,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,201 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Oilers | 64c | 9,600$6,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,455.99 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee83…3848backed Kraken | 33c | 9,100$3,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,003 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6764…6383backed Oilers | 67c | 8,400$5,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,772 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 56cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…7985backed Kraken | 33c | 7,950$2,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,623.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Kraken | 34c | 7,902$2,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,686.8 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Oilers | 64c | 7,075$4,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550.62 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…a198backed Oilers | 67c | 6,500$4,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,145 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 56cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Oilers | 64c | 6,201$3,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,201.6 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Oilers | 65c | 5,500$3,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,951.5 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Kraken | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kraken | 11c | 4,676$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.11 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Kraken | 37c | 4,300$1,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,591 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…2e01backed Oilers | 65c | 4,000$2,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b68…6f4ebacked Kraken | 33c | 3,800$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253.98 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32eb…0c1bbacked Oilers | 64c | 3,725$2,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,341 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Oilers | 64c | 3,500$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.98 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe20…c1d8backed Kraken | 33c | 3,400$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Oilers | 65c | 3,100$2,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Oilers | 64c | 3,100$1,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…1e8bbacked Oilers | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd6…3779backed Kraken | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63d0…87ccbacked Kraken | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Oilers | 66c | 2,903$1,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.93 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Kraken | 33c | 2,811$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.76 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x461f…582fbacked Kraken | 33c | 2,800$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Oilers | 71c | 2,583$1,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.08 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Kraken | 38c | 2,105$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 73 | 17.8%13 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x826d…9947backed Oilers | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…325dbacked Oilers | 64c | 1,897$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.88 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50d3…af3ebacked Oilers | 67c | 1,800$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…3e55backed Oilers | 67c | 1,800$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Kraken | 36c | 1,680$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.6 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5806…5863backed Oilers | 67c | 1,600$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7340…4656backed Oilers | 67c | 1,500$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…2516backed Oilers | 67c | 1,500$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…4ec7backed Oilers | 67c | 1,500$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf507…b7d1backed Oilers | 67c | 1,500$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21d8…ad91backed Kraken | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Oilers | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Oilers | 66c | 1,405$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.68 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c8…f6e0backed Oilers | 67c | 1,400$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a89…bfddbacked Oilers | 67c | 1,400$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Kraken | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a8…3d3fbacked Kraken | 35c | 1,360$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Oilers | 64c | 1,319$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.2 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Oilers | 66c | 1,270$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.88 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Kraken | 36c | 1,250$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Oilers | 65c | 1,181$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.01 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Kraken | 1c | 1,137$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…86d2backed Kraken | 25c | 1,117$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.66 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc908…f949backed Kraken | 11c | 1,074$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.5 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -36%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Oilers | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Oilers | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fad…b5b2backed Kraken | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x612b…080bbacked Kraken | 6c | 862.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…e67cbacked Kraken | 36c | 833.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Oilers | 65c | 811.7$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.41 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Kraken | 30c | 798$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.72 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -8.8wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kraken | 32c | 675$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.25 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Oilers | 64c | 619$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.77 | 222 | 48.2%107 W · 115 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Oilers | 64c | 570$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.2 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Kraken | 17c | 546$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.21 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Oilers | 65c | 500.07$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.03 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Oilers | 65c | 465.1$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.95 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Kraken | 38c | 457$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.85 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01db…16e3backed Kraken | 34c | 441.18$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef8…8712backed Kraken | 36c | 416.67$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6125…fb3abacked Kraken | 36c | 416.67$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Oilers | 63c | 376$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.12 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Kraken | 33c | 351.89$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.12 | 487 | 48.3%235 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Kraken | 7c | 340$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 598 | 52.3%313 W · 285 L | +34.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1a…4f77backed Kraken | 36c | 336.06$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.98 | 386 | 45.1%174 W · 212 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Oilers | 63c | 311.48$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.25 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -10.5wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc352…2ccbbacked Oilers | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Kraken | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Kraken | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Oilers | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6a…2720backed Kraken | 8c | 294.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43e7…1f62backed Kraken | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 250 | 50.4%126 W · 124 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed Kraken | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Oilers | 63c | 276.62$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.35 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Kraken | 23c | 260.87$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…32a0backed Kraken | 34c | 250$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb080…5eddbacked Oilers | 64c | 249.99$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 162 | 46.9%76 W · 86 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Oilers | 64c | 248$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.05 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Kraken | 34c | 230.11$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.24 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdab5…bd0cbacked Kraken | 25c | 207$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe131…174abacked Kraken | 25c | 204$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe86c…02c2backed Kraken | 25c | 204$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb91f…06f2backed Kraken | 25c | 204$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d54…8d9abacked Kraken | 25c | 204$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf67f…46b5backed Oilers | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Kraken | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Oilers | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 318 | 51.9%165 W · 153 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kraken vs. Oilersthis page
- Kraken vs. Oilers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)Oilers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.