TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb91f…06f2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
60
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: AI, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category AI at 53 out of 100; worst NHL at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST2326.1%6 W · 17 L-4.0wins-0.17per pick43cpaid-40.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NHL — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$51
Red Wings vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$51
Sabres vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+96.1%+$49
Kings vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$51
Lightning vs. Maple Leafsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$51
Blue Jackets vs. Capitalsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$51
Penguins vs. Starsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$51
Islanders vs. Panthersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$51
Canadiens vs. Maple Leafsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+127.3%+$64.91
Wild vs. Canucksbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$51
Red Wings vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$51
Jets vs. Oilersbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$51
Blackhawks vs. Kingsbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$51
Blues vs. Senatorsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+138.1%+$70.43
Utah vs. Flamesbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$51
Devils vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+108.3%+$55.25
Islanders vs. Lightningbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+170.3%+$86.84
Blue Jackets vs. Panthersbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$51
Capitals vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+127.3%+$64.91
Utah vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$51
Sabres vs. Jetsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$51
Golden Knights vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$51
Kraken vs. Oilersbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$51
All 23 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST1050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+38.9%+$21.39
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+48.3%+$25.24
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+117.4%+$35.22
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO3)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+85.2%+$46.85
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+284.6%+$145.15
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz (BO3)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$29.3
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$51
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Imperial (BO3)backed NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$51
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-36%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+162.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+52.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-34.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+28.2%+$28.21
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+44.9%+$44.93
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fenerbahce vs. Virtus Bolognabacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+29.9%+$15.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bengals vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$65.38
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.