NHL · resolved market
Islanders vs. Lightning
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ac6c295d955c787ee9abc33c9bac87cbd6c1188d7cbfe396028da659b047a41
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Islandersof Islanders, Lightning
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $172,712
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $170,970
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $172,712 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 220 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Islanders | 38c | 30,072$11,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,629.45 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Lightning | 62c | 25,000$15,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,499.99 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Lightning | 62c | 15,823$9,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,810.56 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Islanders | 42c | 13,067$5,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,584.16 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Islanders | 38c | 12,785$4,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,923.75 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Islanders | 43c | 10,180$4,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,801.18 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Lightning | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,900 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Islanders | 38c | 9,000$3,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,580 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Lightning | 58c | 5,824$3,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,377.88 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Lightning | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,149.97 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Lightning | 62c | 4,474$2,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,767.47 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Lightning | 58c | 4,034$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,339.99 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Lightning | 60c | 4,000$2,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,390 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Lightning | 18c | 3,746$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.32 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Lightning | 57c | 3,333$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.81 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Lightning | 58c | 3,186$1,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,847.88 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lightning | 58c | 2,896$1,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,677.99 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lightning | 47c | 2,896$1,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.29 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Lightning | 60c | 2,859$1,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,705.89 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Lightning | 1c | 2,222$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Lightning | 56c | 2,220$1,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243.02 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Islanders | 44c | 2,199$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.44 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Islanders | 38c | 2,130$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,316.3 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Lightning | 59c | 2,062$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.76 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Islanders | 40c | 2,028$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216.51 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Lightning | 60c | 1,921$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.46 | 484 | 52.3%253 W · 231 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Lightning | 60c | 1,903$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.92 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Islanders | 38c | 1,881$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,156.89 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Islanders | 42c | 1,851$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.11 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2195…16f9backed Islanders | 42c | 1,667$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.66 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Lightning | 57c | 1,637$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.64 | 247 | 49.8%123 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Lightning | 59c | 1,493$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.39 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lightning | 27c | 1,408$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.74 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Islanders | 48c | 1,246$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.39 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51e1…c98abacked Islanders | 44c | 1,234$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.09 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Islanders | 53c | 1,225$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.72 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lightning | 27c | 1,071$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.06 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Lightning | 59c | 1,060$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.04 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Lightning | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Lightning | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Islanders | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Islanders | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 324 | 51.2%166 W · 158 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Islanders | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 318 | 51.9%165 W · 153 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed Lightning | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Lightning | 59c | 999.99$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.99 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Islanders | 52c | 862.43$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.69 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Islanders | 42c | 800$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464 | 353 | 49.6%175 W · 178 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Islanders | 37c | 786.86$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.72 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Lightning | 59c | 750$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.75 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Islanders | 55c | 750$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.5 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…e67cbacked Islanders | 43c | 732.56$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.56 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Lightning | 58c | 689.66$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lightning | 40c | 647.76$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.22 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Islanders | 37c | 625$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.75 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Islanders | 44c | 563.93$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.8 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Lightning | 56c | 555.43$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.04 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Lightning | 58c | 537.48$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.74 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Lightning | 62c | 514.68$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.63 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x019e…af1dbacked Lightning | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc89d…5909backed Lightning | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…d649backed Lightning | 57c | 447.08$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.98 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Islanders | 43c | 444$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.08 | 311 | 48.2%150 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Islanders | 37c | 405.41$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.41 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e7…1f62backed Islanders | 37c | 405.41$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.41 | 250 | 50.4%126 W · 124 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…005fbacked Islanders | 43c | 380$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.4 | 142 | 45.1%64 W · 78 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Lightning | 54c | 369.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 158 | 39.9%63 W · 95 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ff…5e00backed Lightning | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56db…171cbacked Lightning | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +7.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Islanders | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Islanders | 40c | 299.99$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.75 | 439 | 44.6%196 W · 243 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Islanders | 42c | 288.78$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.49 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Islanders | 37c | 280.53$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.73 | 487 | 48.3%235 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Islanders | 44c | 272.73$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.73 | 784 | 43.8%343 W · 441 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Islanders | 38c | 270$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.4 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Islanders | 38c | 270$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.4 | 470 | 51.5%242 W · 228 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…ddaabacked Islanders | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 206 | 43.2%89 W · 117 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Islanders | 46c | 250$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 724 | 48.3%350 W · 374 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Islanders | 45c | 240.63$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.41 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b8…5cf9backed Islanders | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Islanders | 44c | 230$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.8 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…02adbacked Islanders | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…f035backed Islanders | 44c | 221.36$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +116.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Lightning | 59c | 215.98$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.91 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Lightning | 25c | 213.07$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.81 | 601 | 41.9%252 W · 349 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac00…aa5ebacked Islanders | 37c | 208$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…4854backed Islanders | 37c | 208$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d6…38a1backed Islanders | 37c | 208$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc843…6303backed Lightning | 63c | 206$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc18d…9915backed Lightning | 63c | 204$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf7c…7999backed Lightning | 63c | 204$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…236ebacked Lightning | 63c | 200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Islanders | 41c | 200$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.66 | 352 | 45.2%159 W · 193 L | -19.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c75…9148backed Lightning | 63c | 196$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa928…f58fbacked Islanders | 37c | 196$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6880…1073backed Lightning | 63c | 196$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…328abacked Islanders | 37c | 194$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191d…2f32backed Islanders | 37c | 192$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Lightning | 58c | 190$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.2 | 312 | 57.4%179 W · 133 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Lightning | 53c | 176$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.95 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Islanders | 70c | 175$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Islanders vs. Lightningthis page
- Islanders vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5Under won
- Islanders vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Lightning (-1.5)Islanders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.